Teams
Teams
Fan Sites
Forums
Shows
College
College Football News
College Football Player Rankings
College Football Rankings
College Football Playoff
College Basketball News
Women's Sports
NIL
NIL News
NIL Valuation
NIL Deals
NIL Deal Tracker
Sports Business
Transfer Portal
Transfer Portal News
NCAA Transfer Portal
Transfer Portal Rankings
Transfer Portal Team Rankings
Recruiting
Football Recruiting
Basketball Recruiting
Database
Team Rankings
Player Rankings
Industry Comparison
Commitments
Recruiting Prediction Machine
High School
High School News
Schools
Rankings
Scores
Draft
NFL Draft
NFL Draft News
Draft By Stars
College Draft History
College Draft Totals
NBA Draft
NBA Draft News
Pro
NFL
NASCAR
NBA
Culture
Sports Betting
About
About
On3 App
Advertise
Press
FAQ
Contact
Log in
Register
Message Boards
Rivals300
Recruiting Board
NIL Valuation
Transfer Portal
Andy & Ari On3
New posts
Menu
Install the app
Install
True freshmen who could start Week 1 of 2025 college football season
Deion Sanders health update: Doctors reveal Coach Prime cured of bladder cancer
USA Today ranks Top 25 college football stadiums ahead of 2025 season
Steve Sarkisian honest about how Manning family handles attention on Arch: 'This isn't about how many eyeballs they can get'
Chicago Cubs legend Ryne Sandberg dead at 65
Reply to thread
Forums
West Virginia
Mountaineer Message Board
Still doubt numbers? 5 Big 12 teams in Elite Eight still possible
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Message
<blockquote data-quote="WVUALLEN" data-source="post: 132364979" data-attributes="member: 1112294"><p>You claimed the numbers would have 10 Big 12 teams in the Tournament.</p><p></p><p>You claimed 8 would make the elite 8.</p><p></p><p>Your numbers are about the wrong thing. Your looking at score and not real statistics. </p><p></p><p>Quantitative Analysis in Sports by Brian Skinner</p><p></p><p>Skinner says, that team A and team B each have the same chance of scoring on a given shot but that A passes the ball twice as fast as B. Conventional wisdom would indicate that team A's best prescription for success would be to shoot twice as often as B. However, Skinner's equations show that for a scenario in which if team B shoots, on average, every 20 seconds, team A should shoot every 13 seconds rather than every 10. The extra 3 seconds allows team A to be more selective about which shots to take, which turns out to be the winning strategy.</p><p></p><p>Skinner realized that most of the mathematical equations and variables used in analyzing traffic flow could also be applicable to basketball and the movement of the ball in the game. His analysis, published at arXiv.org, concentrated on the movement of the ball as it approached the hoop.</p><p></p><p>Skinner’s model aimed to find out how likely the shot is to go in before the player should make the shot. Shots more likely to go in were classed as higher quality shots, and the model assumed that the quality of shot opportunities falls randomly.</p><p></p><p>The goal is movement and quality shots. WVU does neither. They rely on put backs and second opportunities plus the foul shot attempts. So if they don't get to the line often then they're not going to win.</p><p></p><p>The percentage of Quality shots vs percentage of poor shots can and will decide games majority of the time.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="WVUALLEN, post: 132364979, member: 1112294"] You claimed the numbers would have 10 Big 12 teams in the Tournament. You claimed 8 would make the elite 8. Your numbers are about the wrong thing. Your looking at score and not real statistics. Quantitative Analysis in Sports by Brian Skinner Skinner says, that team A and team B each have the same chance of scoring on a given shot but that A passes the ball twice as fast as B. Conventional wisdom would indicate that team A's best prescription for success would be to shoot twice as often as B. However, Skinner's equations show that for a scenario in which if team B shoots, on average, every 20 seconds, team A should shoot every 13 seconds rather than every 10. The extra 3 seconds allows team A to be more selective about which shots to take, which turns out to be the winning strategy. Skinner realized that most of the mathematical equations and variables used in analyzing traffic flow could also be applicable to basketball and the movement of the ball in the game. His analysis, published at arXiv.org, concentrated on the movement of the ball as it approached the hoop. Skinner’s model aimed to find out how likely the shot is to go in before the player should make the shot. Shots more likely to go in were classed as higher quality shots, and the model assumed that the quality of shot opportunities falls randomly. The goal is movement and quality shots. WVU does neither. They rely on put backs and second opportunities plus the foul shot attempts. So if they don't get to the line often then they're not going to win. The percentage of Quality shots vs percentage of poor shots can and will decide games majority of the time. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Name
Post reply
Forums
West Virginia
Mountaineer Message Board
Still doubt numbers? 5 Big 12 teams in Elite Eight still possible
Top
Bottom