Scouting the spread: Penn State football a three-score favorite against Rutgers
Penn State Nittany Lions football welcomes the Rutgers Scarlet Knights to Beaver Stadium this Saturday looking to bounce back.
Story: Scouting the spread: Penn State football a three-score favorite against Rutgers
- Thread starter DavidEckert
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So, you think that the odds of Rutgers winning are about the same as PSU covering the spread?
The odds of one happening is 50%, while the odds of the other are about 15%…a market as big as college football is never that far off, so with all due respect, I hope you don’t gamble.
So, does that mean you are not going to give me 6 to 1 odds (that is about the payout for a Rutgers straight up win) on PSU -17.5?Trust me, I don't.
Because I'm willing and able at a bet amount of your choosing.
The spread hinges on Clifford staying in the game. Without Clifford in the game the spread is PSU -3.5pts. This is why I don’t bet.
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Actually the spread is -17.5 if Franklin stays home. If he is on the sidelines then it is -3.5. Heard this from a Vegas insider.
James has to definitely go on a recruiting trip this Saturday. He must have faith in his rank and file to manage the game.
No QB in the history of college of NFL has been worth 14 points to a line. Maybe 7 points for Clifford, and that would be relatively high compared to most college QBs.
I think you hit the key assumption and that is whether Clifford will stay in the game. More important, we don't know what his condition is to start the game. He was not in good shape at the end of Saturday's game.
He’s right…there is a reason that those making money long term don’t overreact to small sample sizes and can properly determine the value of things like injuries, home field advantage, and not putting too much stock in what happened in a team’s last game.
All kidding aside, there are so many factors going into this game. Penn State is the better team and as it relates to depth it’s not even close. Penn State at full strength will cover the spread. But on the flip side, Greg Schiano clearly has Rutgers on an upward trajectory and playing very hard. To me, everything hinges on Clifford’s Health and staying in the game.
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Had a great seat on about the 45 yd line yard line today behind the PSU bench in a seat back chair. It was a a really good day. I'll take cold and dry weather over cool and damp like it was the previous two home games any day. As noted above there's a reason I don't bet. I came back home today with a glass 1/2 full attitude. Amazing what a win can do.