This is a weird team

[615dawg]

You look at the schedule and they could realistically win 10 of their next 11, and end up 13-3 in the SEC.

Or they could go 5-6 in their next 11 and end up shooting for 7-9 in the SEC.

We moved up 70 spots in the RPI with that win last night. If you simulate (which is difficult to do with so many games left) a 13-3 SEC season where the two losses are Florida and Kentucky, our RPI gets up to 75. That's not good enough for a traditional at-large bid, we'd have to get one of those "They are a completely different team" bids.

Best 13-3 scenario is wins over Kentucky and Florida, and losses to Tennessee and Georgia. It gets our RPI to 70.

And just because I know someone will ask:
14-2 (loss to Kentucky): RPI 67
15-1: RPI 59
12-4: (losses to four highest): 90
11-5: (same): 98
10-6: (same): 114

Simulations are tough because Kentucky could end up 6-10 and South Carolina could be a 13-3 team, but based on the available info. Here's what we are shooting for. We need to roll off some victories in this stretch and at least get in the high 100s. Auburn is sub-300, by the way. We could go down by beating them.

 

[Irondawg]

So there's not real reason to worry about it.

Dee and Sidney bost played really, really well last night which helped. But our defense is still pretty bad most of the time and although we outrebounded them, we continue to give up a ton of offensive boards every game. Plus if Dee or Sidney ever gets into foul trouble (especially Dee), we're going to have problems scoring.

Even though that was our best game so far last night, I still see so many holes that I can't see better than 10-6. I might feel more optimistic if we hadn't imploded at home against Bama to start off the SEC schedule.

We really need Ravern to find his rhythm again. He's really pressing and sometims shooting just to shoot and thus taking some really bad shots.