Thunder and Lightning - O/U Topic

RiverCityDawg

All-American
Dec 30, 2009
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HD6, great topic on today's show. I think the over/under for Fitz passing yards (2500) was pretty good. I would go over at around 2700. I think the leading receiver at 600 yards was a really good number. I don't know which way to go on that... I do not think we'll have one guy separate himself based on the offensive scheme, but agree with you and Joel that we could have a couple/few guys around 500.

The number that was way off was Aeris over/under 1200 yards. Good grief, man. Do you not listen to what Huff and Moorhead say about this position? He and Kylin are going to split carries and they are looking for speed and explosiveness, so there's just no way Aeris gets close to 1200 unless Kylin gets hurt. He's not getting 200 carries or 6 ypc. Let's say he has his best year at State and gets 5.5. I think it would be a stretch to get even 175 carries, but let's say he does that too. That's just over 960 yards. Reading the tea leaves of what the coaches are putting out, plus what we've seen from Aeris in his career, I would say 150 carries and 5.5 are probably the high end data points, so about 825 yards.

This is NOT a bash Aeris post, it's just apparent that Kylin will be a key feature of the offense this year. Fitz will run it a lot too, just not by pounding it up the middle with an empty backfield, and we'll throw it more, so the Kylin carries will have to come mostly from Aeris. There's no way around it.

One thing you were exactly right about... Two kids is plenty enough (Congrats to Joel).
 

msudawg12

Senior
Dec 9, 2008
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The one thing I might adjust the RB O/U's to would be all-purpose yards. Moorhead has shown how much he likes to use RB's in the passing game and it will be interesting to watch how that develops
 

maroonmania

All-Conference
Feb 23, 2008
11,389
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Sorry I just have to get this off my chest but Supertalk has possibly the worst podcast player ever. First, its difficult to even find the T&L podcast on the app (maybe I'm not going about finding it the right way) and T&L is the only thing I really care to hear on there. Second, when you play the podcast if you ever pause the show and then start it back the show automatically reverts to starting all the way from the beginning. And then sometimes the show just quits and you have to start it back up and again, back to the beginning. The player obviously must have been designed by some barely qualified OM IT guys is all I can figure.
 

RiverCityDawg

All-American
Dec 30, 2009
3,371
5,338
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Sorry I just have to get this off my chest but Supertalk has possibly the worst podcast player ever. First, its difficult to even find the T&L podcast on the app (maybe I'm not going about finding it the right way) and T&L is the only thing I really care to hear on there. Second, when you play the podcast if you ever pause the show and then start it back the show automatically reverts to starting all the way from the beginning. And then sometimes the show just quits and you have to start it back up and again, back to the beginning. The player obviously must have been designed by some barely qualified OM IT guys is all I can figure.

Agree and I waited for it to be added to iTunes Podcasts. All is well now. It's on Google Play for non-Apple folks.
 

oh yeah

Redshirt
Aug 28, 2017
245
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I was in the line at Chick-fil-A this morning when he started discussing cheese on a chicken biscuit. I almost decided to try it.
 

maroonmania

All-Conference
Feb 23, 2008
11,389
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Somebody will go over 600 receiving yards, but it might be a RB or a TE

For comparison's sake:

2015 (pre-Moorhead) Hackenburg passes for 2525 yards
2016 (with Moorhead) McSorley passes for 3650 yards
2017 (with Moorhead) McSorley passes for 3772 yards

2015 (pre-Moorhead) PSU has 2 players go for over 250 yards receiving
2016 (with Moorhead) PSU has 6 players go for over 250 yards receiving
2017 (with Moorhead) PSU has 6 players go for over 250 yards receiving

2018 could easily see Fitz go over 3,000 yards passing (had 2170 last season). Receiving yardage will likely be spread around to a lot of different players though. Moorhead didn't have any player go over 1,000 yards receiving his 2 years at PSU.
 
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