It absolutely wasWasn’t that type of route. Just wrong.
It absolutely wasWasn’t that type of route. Just wrong.
Nice post. I appreciate the insight.Without getting too deep, it does have to be normalized.
Here is the relevant "Cliff's Notes"
On average, "not top 30" defenses give up around 26 points per game.
On average, Top 30 defenses give up around 20 points per game.
One would expect that a given offense would either score less than 20 against top defenses, AND less than 26 against average defenses.
Or more than 20, AND more than 26.... depending on how good their offense is.
Kotelnicki offenses have averaged around 32 against "not top 30" defenses (well over what would be expected given the quality of opposition), and around 17 against top 30 defenses (well below what would be expected given the quality of opposition)..... some folks won't understand that, and that's OK.
But what that means is you have performance that is very good - ALL things considered - against mediocre, but poor performance- ALL things considered - against quality. (Really, very similar to CJF PSU teams' W/L performance against good vs mediocre teams).
And that any offense, on average, would score roughly 6-7 ppg less against quality (top 30) teams.
Kotelnicki teams have scored 15 MORE against mediocre - or 15 LESS against quality (depending on how you want to look at it). A rather large and out of line disparity over 110 or so total games.
It is what it is.
So far, the same has played out at PSU for Kotelnicki (though it is a small sample size at PSU thus far)
Everything you've said has been dishonestWhat did I say that was dishonest? Quote me directly.
Where did I attack you? Quote me directly.
The bigger issue (at least on Saturday) is that the O-line is blowing their assignments.Allar needs to keep the ball more on the options. Right now, the defenses are guessing he is going to hand the ball off and not run it himself and they are right 100% of the time. Hopefully the coaches are telling him to hand it off because of the level of competition and chance of injury when he runs the ball. However, if you are not practicing your reads and when you should keep the ball, it may be hard to turn it on when the big games happen.
I think he's considerably better than Hackenberg.After my last posting screw, up I prob shouldn't say this, but He brings to mind Hackenberg.
Without getting too deep, it does have to be normalized.
Here is the relevant "Cliff's Notes"
On average, "not top 30" defenses give up around 26 points per game.
On average, Top 30 defenses give up around 20 points per game.
One would expect that a given offense would either score less than 20 against top defenses, AND less than 26 against average defenses.
Or more than 20, AND more than 26.... depending on how good their offense is.
Kotelnicki offenses have averaged around 32 against "not top 30" defenses (well over what would be expected given the quality of opposition), and around 17 against top 30 defenses (well below what would be expected given the quality of opposition)..... some folks won't understand that, and that's OK.
But what that means is you have performance that is very good - ALL things considered - against mediocre, but poor performance- ALL things considered - against quality. (Really, very similar to CJF PSU teams' W/L performance against good vs mediocre teams).
And that any offense, on average, would score roughly 6-7 ppg less against quality (top 30) teams.
Kotelnicki teams have scored 15 MORE against mediocre - or 15 LESS against quality (depending on how you want to look at it). A rather large and out of line disparity over 110 or so total games.
It is what it is.
So far, the same has played out at PSU for Kotelnicki (though it is a small sample size at PSU thus far)
Watch Caleb this year, tonite even. His first year he learned from the worst offensive mind in football. This year and throughout his rookie contract under the care of one of the nfls best offensive minds, watch him blossomRight there with you. I think he's a good to maybe even very good college QB but he's not great or elite yet. I also think if stays at very good we should be good enough to win a NC.
I just did 2021-2024 (not including this year, because that would really skew the results (the top 30 defenses so far this year are averaging only 7.9 ppg, for example), and the top 30 defenses averaged 18.6 ppg and "the rest" averaged 28.5. That's from the scoring defenses section of cfbstats.com.Without getting too deep, it does have to be normalized.
Here is the relevant "Cliff's Notes"
On average, "not top 30" defenses give up around 26 points per game.
On average, Top 30 defenses give up around 20 points per game.
One would expect that a given offense would either score less than 20 against top defenses, AND less than 26 against average defenses.
Or more than 20, AND more than 26.... depending on how good their offense is.
Kotelnicki offenses have averaged around 32 against "not top 30" defenses (well over what would be expected given the quality of opposition), and around 17 against top 30 defenses (well below what would be expected given the quality of opposition)..... some folks won't understand that, and that's OK.
But what that means is you have performance that is very good - ALL things considered - against mediocre, but poor performance- ALL things considered - against quality. (Really, very similar to CJF PSU teams' W/L performance against good vs mediocre teams).
And that any offense, on average, would score roughly 6-7 ppg less against quality (top 30) teams.
Kotelnicki teams have scored 15 MORE against mediocre - or 15 LESS against quality (depending on how you want to look at it). A rather large and out of line disparity over 110 or so total games.
It is what it is.
So far, the same has played out at PSU for Kotelnicki (though it is a small sample size at PSU thus far)
Is the offensive system consistent?Allar’s problem isn’t talent, it’s consistency.
He is good enough if he would simply remember he is playing a game and just have fun out there. He has all the tools, he just needs to as Franklin said, “let it rip”.Former 5* prized recruit and now third year starting QB - I think everyone can agree that Allar has IMPROVED every year since arriving at PSU. But is this another case of looks the part vs actual production?
What is Allar’s best game of his career? USC? He also threw two picks in that game. Likely, what we’d come up with was a game vs mediocre to bad competition. He has yet to put together a good performance against an elite defense in his career. His MENTAL aspect of the game doesn’t seem strong - emotional, visibly down, seems anxious and nervous in big moments.
He continues to make the same mistakes with his footwork which results in inaccuracies.
Is it finally to admit the deep ball issue is an Allar issue? The WR needs to be 10 yards wide open for him to even throw it, or he regularly under throws the WR. Does he change his mechanics too? It looks like he aims a deep pass.
I don’t want to ignore what we does well, of course - he has a canon of an arm and throws down the middle of the field + across the far hash better than any qb is college. He’s become a hell of an athlete and moves well out of the pocket as well. But after yesterday, I think it’s time to commit to running the ball and taking as much pressure off Allar as possible. Develop the OL and lean totally on our two elite RBs - I’m talking 40-50 rushing attempts a game.
Every OSU fan I know was asking the same question.Don't know if you recall the 2018 OSU game - white out. Last play PSU hands off to Sanders who gets dropped for a loss. I still wonder why they didn't put it the hands of McSorely.
Coaches didn't let it rip.Every OSU fan I know was asking the same question.
A better offense would help the qb, receivers, rbs and the ol.A better running game would help him.
Two direct challenges, two abject failures. Couldn't cite one example of anything I said that was dishonest. Couldn't cite one example of me attacking you.Everything you've said has been dishonest
Read your response to my stalker
You can't take accountability for your actions--just like Beau
The same guy who threw downfield yard across the line of scrimmage when he could’ve made a first down by running? That guy?Every OSU fan I know was asking the same question.
The whole thread is...I'm not quoting everything knowing you still won't own it. We've established that regardless of the gamed you want to playTwo direct challenges, two abject failures. Couldn't cite one example of anything I said that was dishonest. Couldn't cite one example of me attacking you.
Exactly as I predicted.
Yes, you are admitting defeat. I'm familiar with how arguments work, especially when people make claims they can't substantiate and then run away.The whole thread is...I'm not quoting everything knowing you still won't own it. We've established that regardless of the gamed you want to play
Right because that's what you're doing. Hence your familiarityYes, you are admitting defeat. I'm familiar with how arguments work, especially when people make claims they can't substantiate and then run away.
The mess is Lando. Nobody else. As I said, please Tom take out the trash, it's already been a month and this troll has taken over every thread with troll garbage.Where’s @Tom McAndrew to clean up this Calabrin v Lando argumentative mess?
False. This would be the second concurrent like-kind argument Calabrin has been in, and Calabrin got his hand slapped by Tom over that one. I know, because I was the other party. We were scolded. I know you have a hard-on for Lando, to the point where 95% of your posts are about him (obviously a problem unto itself) ... and Lando is obviously a problem ... but he's not the only one.The mess is Lando. Nobody else. As I said, please Tom take out the trash, it's already been a month and this troll has taken over every thread with troll garbage.
You are nuts. Mcsorley was the best player on the field that gameThe same guy who threw downfield yard across the line of scrimmage when he could’ve made a first down by running? That guy?
Maybe that poor decision factored in the play calling on the last play?
Did he or did he not throw a pass while under the line of scrimmage when he could’ve ran for a first down late in the game when a field goal would’ve won the game for Penn State?You are nuts. Mcsorley was the best player on the field that game
Well it's the 2nd year for it so I will say yes.Is the offensive system consistent?
There should have been more long runs especially from Singelton, but he does not appear to have awareness of cutback lanes. He likes to run straight ahead. He had lots of lanes vs FIU but he didn’t make the cut to the open. Same thing with Allar on an option play, several times on Saturday, if he kept the ball, he would still be running. Having Drew make some runs helps back off a defense and sets up other plays. Hell, even Clifford would run.I will say that the OC and Drew at times seem to be in the same incongruent space between skill set and play calling as Franklin was w/ Hack.
I don't think PSU has thrown the ball down the field as much as I expected. I guess I expected more possessions, but the defense and the running game hasn't provided them. I expected three or four 50+ yard runs by now.
Watch Caleb this year, tonite even. His first year he learned from the worst offensive mind in football. This year and throughout his rookie contract under the care of one of the nfls best offensive minds, watch him blossom
does Franklin/15 = eberflus/Caleb?
cheat code: yes
FFS let’s let him have a year damm broCaleb looked exactly the same with Ben. Hot first drive, then nothing for the next 55 minutes. First drive is usually scripted.
FFS let’s let him have a year damm bro
Yes, ur rite but too. “Watch Caleb this year, tonite even.”You said last night stud!
Nick seems disinterested and self-perturbed at coming back to PSU given the state of the OL.There should have been more long runs especially from Singelton, but he does not appear to have awareness of cutback lanes. He likes to run straight ahead. He had lots of lanes vs FIU but he didn’t make the cut to the open. Same thing with Allar on an option play, several times on Saturday, if he kept the ball, he would still be running. Having Drew make some runs helps back off a defense and sets up other plays. Hell, even Clifford would run.
Yes, ur rite but too. “Watch Caleb this year, tonite even.”
In fantasy land level speculation, would Clifford have done better than Allar in 2024 and thus far in first 2 games in 2025? I think Clifford would’ve beaten Notre Dame last season as he was stronger mentally in big games (but obviously by no means always great in those games.)
He had a huge week 1 for us last year as well--not sure how you think 2 games proves he's now goodI do think people can stop blaming the receivers for 2024. Harrison Wallace's performance so far this year is demonstrating that he was not the problem with the passing game.