UK-UCLA opening line

revcort

Heisman
Feb 20, 2003
32,522
30,904
113
Kenpom says UK by 10. I think it will be a larger margin, by mid to upper teens. First road game for them (first time to leave California) and an early start, UK scoring as well as they are, but playing at home. I expect a great crowd at Rupp to understand the significance of this game. UK's defense is good enough to slow them down. It all spells a win for UK.
 

Kyspringcat

All-Conference
Oct 11, 2014
2,637
4,011
113
Kenpom says UK by 10. I think it will be a larger margin, by mid to upper teens. First road game for them (first time to leave California) and an early start, UK scoring as well as they are, but playing at home. I expect a great crowd at Rupp to understand the significance of this game. UK's defense is good enough to slow them down. It all spells a win for UK.
I think I agree with you, but I think the gamblers will buy into the hype and bet this game down even closer, maybe even down to 5 by tip.
 
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CatsnRoses

All-Conference
May 13, 2007
6,803
2,717
0
That's really low... thought it would open at UK -11/12.

Hopefully it stays close to 8 by the time my book opens up bets for the game.
 

Montana81

Heisman
Aug 12, 2004
82,726
29,410
113
Vegas has missed the opening line on this UK team pretty bad in every game and we've only failed to cover once.

They had Arizona State +16. We nearly tripled that.

If people are betting it down I'd wait a little and then hammer Kentucky if you're into that sort of thing.
 

CatsnRoses

All-Conference
May 13, 2007
6,803
2,717
0
I think I agree with you, but I think the gamblers will buy into the hype and bet this game down even closer, maybe even down to 5 by tip.

No chance. It'll move the opposite way, 100%. I'd be surprised if it closes in single digits.
 

Jkwo_rivals113955

All-American
Apr 6, 2007
28,225
7,410
0
Where do you guys go to lay bets? Is there a quick, safe site that doesn't require a bunch of hurdles?

I've never bet on sports before, but this is too much to pass up, particularly if the line gets even lower. If this thing gets down into the mid single digits, I'll feel cheated if I don't make some money off of it.

This team is sneakily in the same ballpark as '12 '15, but vegas hasn't figured it out yet, and UCLA only plays on one side of the ball and will be on 9 am local time.
 
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Aike

Heisman
Mar 17, 2002
75,452
46,418
90
I predicted it would open at -11. -8 is way too low. Got to be the Ball factor.

We are 7 points better on a neutral court. The offenses are roughly equivalent, while our defense is a great deal better.

Unless there are injury or ref issues that we're not privy to, UK should hammer this.
 

revcort

Heisman
Feb 20, 2003
32,522
30,904
113
Vegas has missed the opening line on this UK team pretty bad in every game and we've only failed to cover once.

They had Arizona State +16. We nearly tripled that.

If people are betting it down I'd wait a little and then hammer Kentucky if you're into that sort of thing.
Agreed. If I were a betting man and I see this line being bet down, I'd wait a bit and then bet on UK to cover. I think this UK-8 is almost a sure thing right now.
 

TheDude73

Heisman
Jan 7, 2006
24,292
24,056
113
I don't wanna jinx it but I still say we win by 13+. Hope I'm right. To many factors against them. A 9am game for them, and hell this is their 1st time leaving that liberal country they call Cali!
And there it is again...another jab at politics...can't you say "leaving that state they call Cali"? Ugh.
 

TheDude73

Heisman
Jan 7, 2006
24,292
24,056
113
No chance. It'll move the opposite way, 100%. I'd be surprised if it closes in single digits.
This. I predict it'll move back to 9, but probably around 10.5. Then again, I'm not a bettor, so what do I know.
 

toonces11

All-American
Mar 3, 2010
55,225
9,895
0
UK -8 Don't want to jinx anything but that seems like easy pickens......maybe UCLA is legit, but I just don't see it.
 
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LadyCaytIL

Heisman
Oct 28, 2012
33,007
34,613
113
UK -8 Don't want to jinx anything but that seems like easy pickens......maybe UCLA is legit, but I just don't see it.

They aren't faking those shooting %'s. any game they are hitting their averages.... they'll be more legit than opponents would like
 

toonces11

All-American
Mar 3, 2010
55,225
9,895
0
Where do you guys go to lay bets? Is there a quick, safe site that doesn't require a bunch of hurdles?

I've never bet on sports before, but this is too much to pass up, particularly if the line gets even lower. If this thing gets down into the mid single digits, I'll feel cheated if I don't make some money off of it.

This team is sneakily in the same ballpark as '12 '15, but vegas hasn't figured it out yet, and UCLA only plays on one side of the ball and will be on 9 am local time.

Bovada.lv is really easy. The only issue is its based out of iceland so occasionally your bank will flag the deposit from your CC thinking it may be fraud. Also----you can only withdrawal your winnings like $500 at a time(maybe 1K) per month
 
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toonces11

All-American
Mar 3, 2010
55,225
9,895
0
They aren't faking those shooting %'s. any game they are hitting their averages.... they'll be more legit than opponents would like
Agreed. I meant legit as in they can match up with UK's talent and keep it close. I def think they can---but it would require UK to play below their potential to achieve that. I do not believe the UK that showed up vs ASU could be challenged by UCLA
 

LadyCaytIL

Heisman
Oct 28, 2012
33,007
34,613
113
Agreed. I meant legit as in they can match up with UK's talent and keep it close. I def think they can---but it would require UK to play below their potential to achieve that. I do not believe the UK that showed up vs ASU could be challenged by UCLA

depends on what defense UCLA plays. If they make it a 3 pt shooting contest and just congest the lane.... they probably win