Hard truths for UK fans:
1. Collins is the textbook example of ranking a kid based on potential. He is a sophomore in college and is still too skinny, raw, and looks completely lost on the floor. He's the type who could easily dominate high school basketball, be a dunking/blocking machine in AAU, and it all makes sense that he's lost in college.
2. Frederick was a ROLE player at Iowa. People are now expecting him to be a star at UK. He is what he is. Can't defend a lamp post. Not exactly Doron Lamb from the perimeter, either. Not even Lee Humphrey (Florida's sharp-shooter who played a huge role in their back-to-back titles) from what I can tell.
3. Wheeler is at best a back-up who should bring some energy/spark off the bench in situations. But Cal thinks he's Tyler Ulis, clearly, allowing him to shoot as many threes as he takes while getting so many minutes. If Cal wants to start him at PG and ride him into March like last season, just lower your expectations now. Need to watch the St. Peter's film to remind you? Go watch the Michigan State game and the last 5 mins of regulation and OT/OT, because it was the same disaster out of him.
4. Toppin is a role player. Athletic, limited basketball skills. There's a reason he was at Rhode Island and not exactly their go-to guy there, either. But for some reason, the UK hype machine has people expecting Toppin to be All-SEC. Ridiculous. He is NOT an NBA player.
5. Livingston is a nice player who *should* be in college at least 3 years. I observed/posted about him after watching a few of the televised high school games. He's Alex Poythress 2.0 and Cal will use him as such - i.e., try to jam him in there as a wing player, shooting corner 3's, instead of slashing to the rim. If he leaves UK after 1 year, he'll never be heard from again (unless it's to transfer and blossom elsewhere). Relying on him for much this season is going to lead to failed expectations. Too soon to tell what he could develop into, though.
6. If nobody transfers from this roster by January, consider that a miracle given Cal's track record and what we are currently seeing play out on the court w/ his lineup atrocities and mismanagement of players.
7. Calipari is washed. I don't know why it's so hard for some fans to admit it. He had a GREAT run, but it's over. If you need to see him screw up next year's recruiting class to finally understand, so be it. But we're going to be watching a lineup of guys born to run just pounding the ball into the floor, standing still, waiting until 6 seconds left on the shot clock before initiating movement, and losing games to teams UK should not lose because Cal limits the number of possessions and plays half-court basketball with a roster of athletes.
8. Wallace and Oscar. The rest are just college role players.