They have NO shot at the NCAA tournament anymore. Us winning is the worst thing in the world for Auburn. Had LSU won, I think an Auburn win over UT would be enough to get them in. Now, if they beat UT but lose to us in the SEC Title game, I think we steal their bid away from them.
I posted a bracketology update late in today's game. Carolina's out. Florida too. Right now, Auburn's one of my last four teams in (along with Maryland, Creighton, and St. Mary's).
At the moment, I'd say that Auburn has to beat Tennessee and MSU to make the NCAA tournament. If Auburn beats Tennessee, you can pretty much be assured of the Auburn-MSU winner being awarded a 12-or-13-seed.
I'll probably update it now that LSU, UNC, and Michigan State have all lost.
...our RPI is still too low. I agree with Jerry Palm-- no chance of an at-large bid for the Bulldogs, and MSU's RPI is more in line with the 13-seeds although there is still a slight possibility for a 12-seed.
I think we'll be higher if we get in. Georgia was a 13 last year, and we're a much better team than they were. I say we're a 10 or 11, 12 at the lowest.
...here are the seedings to last year's tournament. I remember one of the NCAA committee people being interviewed and he said that UGA's RPI was in line for a 14-seed, and it was. I'd seeded them as a 13-seed because of the conference strength even though their RPI meant they were deserving of a 14-seed.
If MSU wins tomorrow, the Bulldogs' RPI will likely be in the low 60s, maybe high 50s, which is in line with teams earning 13-seeds.