Weather experts

[Drebin]

That's the GFS for you. At the end of the run it always likes to bring in some storm for the history books. In the summer it's hurricanes, spring it's major severe weather outbreaks, and the winter it's snow.

But as for hurricanes, things are starting to get slightly more active as more waves start coming off the coast of Africa. Right now a massive Saharan dust layer is helping to keep the lid on any development, but if it starts to subside then we could start seeing tropical systems forming in the Atlantic. For now, the Gulf and Caribbean look quiet although a few of the ensemble models are wanting to develop a system down well south of Cuba and move it into the Gulf in the next 10 days or so. There's not enough consensus for the NHC to comment on it yet. but if one does form and move into the Gulf it will encounter more heat energy than a hurricane has seen in a long time.

That dome of high pressure that is giving us these brutal heat beatdowns is also protecting us from seeing much in the way of gulf hurricane activity. But that will change and I shudder at the thought of what could develop given how warm the water is in the gulf.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

The euro is in and it is showing a more realistic scenario of highs around 100 an heat indexes in the 110 range. For right now that is where I will hang my hat. Slightly cooler with higher humidity.

Typical 7+day GFS. That thing gets nutty with temps that far out. Back in mid July it was showing 120 degree highs in Iowa for the end of July. Ended up with highs in the 80s there.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

That dome of high pressure that is giving us these brutal heat beatdowns is also protecting us from seeing much in the way of gulf hurricane activity. But that will change and I shudder at the thought of what could develop given how warm the water is in the gulf.

You plagiarizin' again? SMH

Agree this crap is awful. But…..apparently it’s keeping hurricanes at bay

 

[Drebin]

You plagiarizin' again? SMH

I typically don't read your posts. But apparently you're like a broken clock - right a couple of times a day.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

That's the GFS for you. At the end of the run it always likes to bring in some storm for the history books. In the summer it's hurricanes, spring it's major severe weather outbreaks, and the winter it's snow.

But as for hurricanes, things are starting to get slightly more active as more waves start coming off the coast of Africa. Right now a massive Saharan dust layer is helping to keep the lid on any development, but if it starts to subside then we could start seeing tropical systems forming in the Atlantic. For now, the Gulf and Caribbean look quiet although a few of the ensemble models are wanting to develop a system down well south of Cuba and move it into the Gulf in the next 10 days or so. There's not enough consensus for the NHC to comment on it yet. but if one does form and move into the Gulf it will encounter more heat energy than a hurricane has seen in a long time.

Yeah, the GFS is always fun to watch. The end of the run is showing that a hurricane will be arriving on the Texas coast. Just in case you guys are curious:

GFS Start Page