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Weekly RPI Watch

E

engie

Freshman
May 29, 2011
10,753
92
48
We're currently at #35, up from #39 last week, and #41 two weeks ago. The RPI doesn't much punish you for losing to good teams on the road, and it occasionally rewards you. Both Ole Miss and Florida are considered GOOD RPI teams. The key to having a decent/good RPI is to defend home court at all times and sneak up and win a few good ones on the road.

We are 12-0 against teams ranked worse than #100. No "bad" losses.
Against RPI 51-100, we are 2-2.
Against RPI 1-50, we are 3-3.

All of our "bad losses" are starting to look better and better. Akron is up to RPI #59, and Warren Nolan now projects them to finish at #39. Arkansas is at RPI #51, and is projected to finish at #64. Hopefully, they outperform this prediction by a bit and can get into final the top 50. Baylor is RPI #3, Florida is #15, OM is #39. Ideally, all 5 of these teams finish within the RPI top 50. IF we manage to finish with NO losses outside the top 50, it'll play VERY WELL in our favor when it comes time for seeding.

Of our "good" wins, Arizona and A&M are GREATLY underperforming, with RPIs of #89 and #142 respectively. Ideally, we need AZ in the top 50, and A&M in the top 100. It's looking very questionable of either achieving this goal, although I give A&M a better chance, because they play a ton of quality opponents on their stretch run. At the same time, West Va HAD been overperforming, getting up to #12 in RPI, before losing at home last night to Pitt, dropping them back to #26.

Our logical goal going forward should be to finish ranked in both major polls and in the top 25 in the final RPI rankings, as well as playing deep into the SEC tourney. This gets us NO worse than a 6-seed in the NCAA's, and ideally could get us a #5 slot in Nashville. To accomplish this, we will need to go 11-5 in conference. We can NOT afford to lose either game to Auburn(#141), the road game @South Carolina(#165), or the home game against Georgia(#111). Lose ANY ONE of those 4 games, and this ideal situation goes out the window, and we likely finish with an RPI in the 40s(almost bubble-worthy). Win them all, and we have 8-wins in conference. Then, we have to take 3 of these 5: @LSU, OM, KY, ARK, @Bama. That part will be tough, but is still attainable at this point....
 
DawgatAuburn

DawgatAuburn

All-Conference
Apr 25, 2006
10,972
1,726
113
The NCAA doesn't give five seeds proximity advantages. To wit, last years 5-12 games were:

West Virginia - Clemson in Tampa. WVU was the 5, but 300 miles farther away.
K State - Utah State in Tucson. KState the 5 but 300 miles farther away.
Arizona - Memphis in Tulsa. Arizona was the 5, but 700 miles farther away.
Vandy - Richmond in Denver. Vandy was the 5. Vandy was 500 miles closer.
 
H

Hanmudog

Redshirt
Apr 30, 2006
5,853
0
0
Is it at the Predators arena or at Vandy's place? With our record in Vandy's gym I think I would rather play in Romania.
 
E

engie

Freshman
May 29, 2011
10,753
92
48
Said it was a logical goal, and is furthermore something good to hope for. Using a single year as an example(one in which Nashville didn't host and MS had zero schools in the dance) is quite unfair, and a bit of a statistical anomaly. Mississippi will likely have 4 teams dancing this year.

Also, assuming "proximity advantage" for State in Nashville is asinine. Just because it is the closest regional to "our school" doesn't mean it's closer for us than everyone else. Using Lunardi's current bracketology, and assuming a driving distance of 400mi or less(State is ~275mi away), there are approx 21 teams currently projected to make the dance within that range of distance. That's approximately 1/3 of the total field. That includes 5 teams projected in the east regional, an additional 6 teams in the west, 3 in the midwest, and 7 in the south.

Would State have more people show up to the game? Maybe. There's no doubt we'd have more fans show up in Nashville than any other projected regional site, but let's not pretend that we'd necessarily own Nashville against teams a similar distance away just because we recently owned it for a bowl game. Our current projection(8-9 vs Purdue) theoretically would provide approx a 50/50 crowd in Nashville. Purdue is 351mi from Nashville, and has a bit larger basketball following overall than we do.
 
F

Forrest4Moore

Sophomore
Nov 14, 2011
605
168
43
DawgatAuburn said:
The NCAA doesn't give five seeds proximity advantages. To wit, last years 5-12 games were:
Click to expand...
Texas was once a 6 in Dallas. Just drawing from 2 easy ones that we all remember. I realize last year had bad locations for the 5 seeds, but could it have been that no locations were extremely close to those schools? Obviously, Arizona would have had much more of an advantage in Tucson than we would have in Nashville. So I understand why they wouldn't give Arizona a 5 in Tucson. Still think it is completely plausible for us to get a 5 in Nashville, simply judging from the fact that our best locations historically have been as middle seeds.

8 seed in Little Rock, 9 seed in Charlotte (although we had to play Duke, the UNC fans were cheering for us), and the 5 seed in Birmingham. As a 3 we were shipped to Dallas matched up with a higher seed from Texas, and as a 2 were were sent to Tampa or something and had no advantage at all against the hottest team in the country, Xavier.
 
QuaoarsKing

QuaoarsKing

All-Conference
Mar 11, 2008
5,761
2,316
113
The committee won't give the 5 seed an obvious advantage over the 4, like it would have if Arizona had gone to Tucson, but I don't think Nashville qualifies as close enough for that. Maybe against a West Coast team, but I imagine we they'd let us play any Eastern (not New England) team in the round of 32 in Nashville as a 5. <div>
</div><div>At least, that's how it's supposed to go. We were a 3 and had to play 6 Texas in Dallas once.</div>
 
R

RonnyAtmosphere

Redshirt
Jun 4, 2007
2,883
0
0
this is actually a basketball facility named The KFC Yum! Center.


I wonder if the 8 year old girl who named this arena has a staute erected in her honor on the The KFC Yum! Center premises.
 
O

Ol Blue.sixpack

Redshirt
May 1, 2006
1,681
0
0
RonnyAtmosphere said:
this is actually a basketball facility named The KFC Yum! Center.

I wonder if the 8 year old girl who named this arena has a staute erected in her honor on the The KFC Yum! Center premises.
Click to expand...
It was actually a 58 year old CEOnamed David Novak.He's only knocked down about $199MM over the last 5 years, so what does he know, right? If he had any sense at all, he would have managed to squeak out at least an even $200MM.

I'm guessing in your world you would have told a local company with a $13.5MMcheck to go jump into the Ohio River?
 
R

RonnyAtmosphere

Redshirt
Jun 4, 2007
2,883
0
0
..is an embarrassment to multi-millionaire CEO's everywhere.


I guess David Novak figured putting smiley faces & butterflies behind his Yum™ would be considered extreme, so he decided to compromise & merely use !.
 
O

Ol Blue.sixpack

Redshirt
May 1, 2006
1,681
0
0
RonnyAtmosphere said:
..is an embarrassment to multi-millionaire CEO's everywhere.

I guess David Novak figured putting smiley faces & butterflies behind his Yum™ would be considered extreme, so he decided to compromise & merely use !.
Click to expand...
Yeah,TriconGlobalRestaurants rolls off the tongue alot easier - a much better name for a company with $11B in sales and 38K stores.

I figured most people this side of Occupy Louisville would understand why a Fortune 500companywhose headquarters are in Louisvillewould pay for the naming rights of a brand new downtown arena.

But then again, you aren't like most people.
 
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