As the resident numbers guy, that is brutal. We are a middle of the pack team that makes the NCAAs when we perform well against lower level competition. When we have a year like this year, with four sub-100 losses, we don't make the NCAAs.
Check this out:
In 2004-05, we went 16-2 against sub-100 teams and 5-7 against top 100 teams. Result: NCAA Tournament
In 2005-06, we were 12-3 against sub-100 teams and 3-11 against top 100 teams. We sit at home.
In 2006-07, we were 10-2 against sub-100 teams and 7-10 against top 100 teams. NIT
In 2007-08, we were 16-0 against sub-100 (we won the games we should have) and 5-9 against the top 100. NCAA Tournament
In 2008-09, we were 12-4 against sub-100 and 7-8 against top 100. We make the NCAA Tournament because we win the SEC Tournament.
This year, we were 14-4 against sub-100, and we have a winning record (7-6) against the top 100. I fully believe if we were 16-2 against the sub-100, we would be a lock.
Look at 04-05, we were 16-2 against sub-100 and had a LOSING record against top 100 and we were a lock of a 9 seed. This year we have a WINNING record against the top 100 and have a 14-4 record against sub-100 and we are in the same boat we were last year, having to win the SEC Tournament.
IF WE ARE GOING TO PLAY 16-18 SUB-100 TEAMS A YEAR, WE HAVE TO WIN ALL OF THEM!