let's examine shall we?
Defense? I believe this is basically a wash between the two teams. Neither team has a real advantage over the other to make a huge difference.
Then why will State be better you ask? It's simple- offense.
<span style="text-decoration:underline">Mississippi's offense</span>- this unit will be in the lower third of the SEC this season. New QB, new RB carrying the majority of the load, and a decent but unspectacular group of WR's. The loss of Pat Patterson hurt this group. Offensive line? Bradley Sowell is being touted as the best one of this group. I rest my case.
Nutt runs the I and mixes in some "Wild Rebel". He doesn't have the OL to move people around when he needs to run the ball like you have to in the I. And he doesn't have the QB that scares anyone enough making throws to help back-up the defense either. This is going to be a decent offense at best. While overall stats may be cosmetically ok at the end of the season, in SEC games only the Rebels will be in the bottom 1/3 at season's end.
Are they going to be terrible? No. Will they be as good as the last couple of years? No
<span style="text-decoration:underline">State's offense</span>
State has an improved OL from last season and is also in year 2 of Mullen's scheme. This unit has depth and will be very good in 2010. This unit also runs very few I-formation plays and doesnt have to push the defense backward. It does more angle blocking which is easier for lineman
State will be better at the WR position. Bumphis was very good for a true freshman but Heavens was lost. Heavens will be much a much better player with a year under his belt now. As will Berry who adjusted from juco last season. And by better, I mean- running better routes, blocking much better, catching the ball more consistently, and knowing their QB's alot better.
State will not be as good overall at the RB position. But with the shift of the offense more on the QB's shoulders, they don't have to be. About 100 of all those carries Dixon got last year will go to Relf this season. And again- when was the last time State didnt have a pretty good RB in the backfield? We will definitely have a couple good enough to make our offense work.
State will be better as a whole at the QB position. Tyson Lee was a smart player and threw the ball very accurately up to 25 yards- however, his lack of vision in the pocket, lack of ability to throw the ball deep, and propensity to turn the ball over at the worst of times erased all the good things he actually did.
State is going to be run-heavy again in 2010, but the load will be shared more by the QB. You are going to see a ball-control, option based offense that throws quick screens and play-action passes. If Relf can stay healthy and throw it even decently, State's offense will indeed be a top-half SEC offense. If he can't, life will suck in Starkville. But Relf is the top running QB returning in the SEC, and one of the top in the nation. He will get his yards this Fall.
You will not see alot of Tyler Russell, but you will see some because he has to get a little experience. But just like Tyson Lee turning it over when he was pressured, Russell did the same thing in the Spring Game. And he even knew in the Spring he wasnt going to get hit- this Fall that won't be the case. If Russell has to play a significant amount in 2010, State won't be in a bowl game. He is not ready, nor does he have the WR's to support him to lead a pass-first Spread offense.
in summary, State's offense is going to look like Fla's under Tebow- lots of QB runs, numerous RB's getting carries, misdirection and play-action passes, and hot routes in the middle of the field to beat the blitz...I predict State to average 400 yards a game- 235 on the ground, 165 in the air
Defense? I believe this is basically a wash between the two teams. Neither team has a real advantage over the other to make a huge difference.
Then why will State be better you ask? It's simple- offense.
<span style="text-decoration:underline">Mississippi's offense</span>- this unit will be in the lower third of the SEC this season. New QB, new RB carrying the majority of the load, and a decent but unspectacular group of WR's. The loss of Pat Patterson hurt this group. Offensive line? Bradley Sowell is being touted as the best one of this group. I rest my case.
Nutt runs the I and mixes in some "Wild Rebel". He doesn't have the OL to move people around when he needs to run the ball like you have to in the I. And he doesn't have the QB that scares anyone enough making throws to help back-up the defense either. This is going to be a decent offense at best. While overall stats may be cosmetically ok at the end of the season, in SEC games only the Rebels will be in the bottom 1/3 at season's end.
Are they going to be terrible? No. Will they be as good as the last couple of years? No
<span style="text-decoration:underline">State's offense</span>
State has an improved OL from last season and is also in year 2 of Mullen's scheme. This unit has depth and will be very good in 2010. This unit also runs very few I-formation plays and doesnt have to push the defense backward. It does more angle blocking which is easier for lineman
State will be better at the WR position. Bumphis was very good for a true freshman but Heavens was lost. Heavens will be much a much better player with a year under his belt now. As will Berry who adjusted from juco last season. And by better, I mean- running better routes, blocking much better, catching the ball more consistently, and knowing their QB's alot better.
State will not be as good overall at the RB position. But with the shift of the offense more on the QB's shoulders, they don't have to be. About 100 of all those carries Dixon got last year will go to Relf this season. And again- when was the last time State didnt have a pretty good RB in the backfield? We will definitely have a couple good enough to make our offense work.
State will be better as a whole at the QB position. Tyson Lee was a smart player and threw the ball very accurately up to 25 yards- however, his lack of vision in the pocket, lack of ability to throw the ball deep, and propensity to turn the ball over at the worst of times erased all the good things he actually did.
State is going to be run-heavy again in 2010, but the load will be shared more by the QB. You are going to see a ball-control, option based offense that throws quick screens and play-action passes. If Relf can stay healthy and throw it even decently, State's offense will indeed be a top-half SEC offense. If he can't, life will suck in Starkville. But Relf is the top running QB returning in the SEC, and one of the top in the nation. He will get his yards this Fall.
You will not see alot of Tyler Russell, but you will see some because he has to get a little experience. But just like Tyson Lee turning it over when he was pressured, Russell did the same thing in the Spring Game. And he even knew in the Spring he wasnt going to get hit- this Fall that won't be the case. If Russell has to play a significant amount in 2010, State won't be in a bowl game. He is not ready, nor does he have the WR's to support him to lead a pass-first Spread offense.
in summary, State's offense is going to look like Fla's under Tebow- lots of QB runs, numerous RB's getting carries, misdirection and play-action passes, and hot routes in the middle of the field to beat the blitz...I predict State to average 400 yards a game- 235 on the ground, 165 in the air