Why the hell is State +9 today?

[bigrob24]

I know anything can happen, but we usually play well at Florida, and winning at Vandy is probably a tougher task than winning at the "O" dome right now....I think we have a good chance to win this thing outright, but I definitely don't see Florida spanking us by double digits...Any thoughts?

 

[drt7891]

signature wins we have and 2 pretty bad losses, yet they are getting all kinds of love and respect from them. I think this game will be closer than double digits... IF we show up to play.

 

[bigrob24]

Especially, add to the fact that we were down big to Vandy at half and were still able to get it together and have a double digit lead in the second half. I would like to think that if we start the game even remotely better than we did at Vandy, this team should have the confidence to keep it close throughout or know they make a run if they fall behind a bit. Predicition: State 80 Florida 74

 

[tupelotim]

[No message]

 

[She Mate Me]

add the homecourt advantage and you will get pretty close to the line in most games:

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/bkt1112.htm

Oddsmakers don't do anything special, they piggyback off of these type of statistical models for predicting scores.

 

[bafbafbaf1969]

ouch!!!