I think to many are misunderstanding the reasons for all the cancellations and school closings. It’s not because this is some overtly deadly bug. Most people that get it will recover easily.
The problem is that it is many, many, many more times contagious than the flu and a lot of those older Americans who contract it will need hospitalization. There are currently only about 1 million hospital beds in a country of 330 million. If we continued to congregate in the thousands the virus has proven that it will spread very quickly. Most of those people will be fine. But it will send enough to the ER to overload an already overloaded system. If you’ve ever had to go to the ER in Tupelo and had to wait 2 hours to be seen then you know what I’m talking about. Once ER’s and hospitals become swamped what happens to the heart attack, stroke, and car wreck victims? Where do they go? How soon will they be seen? And in time to save THEIR lives?
That’s the sound reasoning behind most of these cancellations/postponements. Yes the same number of people will eventually get the virus whether we cancel or not. But canceling spreads the cases out over a longer period of time allowing hospitals to adequately deal with those that need hospitalization from the virus while also being able to handle normal emergency care. Sometimes it’s better to just rip off the bandaid all at once, but only if you’re prepared to handle what’s under said bandaid. The US is prepared to treat and hospital 500k-1,000,000 of those most severely afflicted with virus, but only if spread out over a month or two, not all once.
The threat isn’t that millions will die from this virus, it’s how many people that have other emergencies won’t get care in time because of the potentially full hospitals. Then when people feel helpless because they can’t get care for their loved ones they get desperate, that’s when social order begins to breakdown.
This may not be a popular opinion but it is the truth. If the cancellations have the desired effect and renders the virus manageable then this will seem like it was over hyped and overdone. But it will only seem that way because the virus and it’s collateral damage will have far fewer victims than it might have. And that’s the whole point.
A stitch in time saves nine.