Your annual reminder that ESPN’s AllState Playoff Predictor is total hot garbage clickbait

[Perd Hapley]

Below is a simulation for UGA. They are given a 48% chance of making the CFP at 9-3, with losses to CHARLOTTE and Ga Tech to finish the season, and not making the conference championship game. Essentially a coin flip for a 9-3 team with a home loss to Charlotte, and only one decent win.

This thing is a complete joke.

 

[85Bears]

 

[Perd Hapley]

View attachment 1007282

I have no clue who #13 even is. But hey, 38% chance, good for them. Another potential Lebby replacement.

 

[patdog]

Yeah. 3-loss Georgia has maybe a 5% chance. And I’m being generous. All these computer predictions are only as good as the formulas they use. And those are often garbage.

 

[85Bears]

They are showing 5 sec, 3 big ten, 2 big 12 no ACC. I think politics gets its nose under the tent. I hear a lot of sqwauking from MIAMI backers and the acc

 

[patdog]

They are showing 5 sec, 3 big ten, 2 big 12 no ACC. I think politics gets its nose under the tent. I hear a lot of sqwauking from MIAMI backers and the acc

4 SEC, 3 Big 10, 2 Big 12, 1 ACC, 1 G5, Notre Dsme.

 

[85Bears]

4 SEC, 3 Big 10, 2 Big 12, 1 ACC, 1 G5, Notre Dsme.

Who in the ACC ? Miami is a legit top 12 team but I don’t see an ACC team getting in

 

[patdog]

Who in the ACC ? Miami is a legit top 12 team but I don’t see an ACC team getting in

Whoever the champion is. It’s either ACC champion or 2 G5 champions.

 

[85Bears]

Whoever the champion is. It’s either ACC champion or 2 G5 champions.

yes, this is where the format , conference championship games need to be eliminated like the old days. Let the conference records determine the champion. In the ACC teams like Virginia are a joke, so is Louisville, smu. MIAMI has underperformed but they have the talent to hang with anybody. Lots of nfl players on that roster.

 

[Perd Hapley]

Whoever the champion is. It’s either ACC champion or 2 G5 champions.

Which means it’s the ACC champion. There are three ACC teams in the Top 20, its just that no one knows who will win the league.

 

[Perd Hapley]

4 SEC, 3 Big 10, 2 Big 12, 1 ACC, 1 G5, Notre Dsme.

That’s not what this is currently showing.

5 SEC (#’s 3, 4, 6, 8, 11)
3 B1G (#’s 1, 2, 7)
1 B12 (#5)
1 Independent (#9)
1 G5 (#10 -or- #13….but not both)
1 ACC (only one out of #15, 16, -or-20)

Utah is #12 on the list but they are the odd team out since there is not an ACC team anywhere in the Top 12. Of course, this isn’t really a ranking….it’s just a predictive model. And currently it favors 5 SEC teams making the field.

And again, it’s a very crappy model. I certainly think 5 SEC teams is a possibility, but not because of this. I mean they have Texas there with a 20% chance….Texas chances are 17ing zero. They are cooked.