Urban Meyer predicts Michigan to go under 9.5 wins in 2025

After posting an 8-5 overall record in his first season at the helm of Michigan, head coach Sherrone Moore is on the hunt for his first 10-win season. However, former Ohio State head coach Urban Meyer isn’t confident in Moore’s chances of achieving that goal in the 2025 campaign.

“I think they’re (an) eight or nine-win team. So, Vegas is right on looking at that schedule,” Meyer said on The Triple Option podcast. “So, I’m gonna go nine wins. I’m gonna say that they’re going to play good defense and let the quarterback develop.”

Michigan’s quarterback play was an issue last season. The team struggled to find a consistent starter, and started three different players behind center throughout the season: Alex Orji, Davis Warren and Jack Tuttle. Orji transferred after the season and Tuttle graduated, leaving Warren as the only returning QB who started last season. Alas, he isn’t expected to be the QB1 next season.

The Wolverines reeled in the No. 1 overall player and quarterback in the 2025 recruiting cycle: Bryce Underwood. He is one of the highest-rated prospects ever coming out of high school and is expected to make an immediate impact for Michigan. Rumors from Michigan’s spring camp have only increased the hype around Underwood. In March, new Michigan offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey raved about the freshman QB.

“I’d say he’s pretty advanced,” Lindsey said. “He’s highly decorated and all that in high school, which a lot of them are. But his sheer physical side of who he is — he’s 6-4, whatever he is, 220-plus pounds.”

The Wolverines’ offense will need Underwood to be as good as advertised. While their defense was solid last year, their offense only averaged 286.2 yards per game, the fifth-least in the nation.

Michigan will need his help. The team has a tough schedule ahead of it, with a Week 2 showdown against Oklahoma on the road. With a matchup against Nebraska just two weeks after that, Michigan’s season could be in trouble before it really gets started if the Wolverines don’t come prepared.

Even if Michigan survives its early onslaught of tough opponents, Meyer isn’t convinced Michigan fans will be happy with eight or nine wins next season. Of course, the outcome of “The Game” will play a large role on how Wolverines fans judge the season.

“Depends on that last game. If they get a dub there, yeah. If not, no,” Meyer said.

Before Michigan can worry about the last week of the season, it has to focus on winning the first. The Wolverines will kick off their 2025 campaign against New Mexico on Aug. 30.