1. Better run game is a distinct advantage when these two teams face off, and even with Haynes out, our run game is superior.
2. Every year in recent history favors the team that is more physical and it seems the Bucks under Day have turned into a bevy of well paid and talented, but comparatively soft, players.
3. A look at the weather forecast shows that we are heading for a cold, possibly wet/snowy day, one where the level of skill players is neutralized and toughness in the trenches is rewarded.
4. The development of BU is becoming more and more evident these last two weeks. Minus the picks (and yes, he can’t have multiple INTs), he is now a real threat with his legs and arm.
5. That last point is especially important. His judgement regarding when to throw and when to run has taken a giant leap and, in many key third down situations, it has led to first downs.
6. Home field advantage won’t necessarily determine the outcome, but it sure can be critical in tight games where any edge may be the difference in the final score.
7. Entering The Game, we are significantly better with the ball than we were last season when we still found a way to beat the Bucknuts in their own house even with an anemic offense.
8. Bredeson or no Bredeson, this Lindsey built offense with an improved O line, a maturing Underwood, an ascending Marsh and a dependable Marshall, will help out our defense. Bank on it.
9. Under no circumstances should we forget that Wink came up with his best defensive game plans in the two biggest games of the season (Ohio State and Alabama) last year. Expect it again.
10. Can our defense hold this daunted OSU offense to under 20 points? I think so, although I admit I would feel much better if Moore were back at safety.
11. Know this and know it well. OSU has not played anyone better than us yet. So it is still unclear just how good they are even if they are the deserved, designated No. 1 team in the country.
12. Nevermind that their most difficult contest was in The Shoe against Texas, a team that has proven to be far inferior than expected. We are more battle tested than they are.
13. Unless turnovers lead to short fields, OSU will not find it easy to score. Their run game has fallen off this year. Tate and Smith will play, but will be likely hampered somewhat due to injuries.
14. The fact that Sayin has not been under duress has contributed mightily to his strong stats. Pressure from our front four/disguised coverages might prove Sayin is mortal. Just sayin.
15. Sherrone is ready. He has been coaching under severe pressure since the USC game. Hasn’t looked comfortable. I think we will see a different Sherrone Moore on the sidelines on Saturday.
Go Blue, baby! Five in a row would be SWEET.
Disclaimer: I feel better and better about Saturday the more I think about it. The wild card for me is turnovers. The OSU defense is real. Patricia has them playing at the highest level. I think we can move the ball, but can we do it without turning the ball over? We survived a few giveaways last year, but we also got some key ones to go our way too that helped balance it out. If the same occurs on Saturday, then we should be okay. But if the turnover battle goes materially in their favor, we will not be able to overcome it. This is not Northwestern.
10 Replies
timmieb
Nov 25, 7:36 PM
In my mind, I think this game comes down to injuries, trench war, and coverage busts.
I have no real clue which way things will go. I do think there is some reason to be concerned that Michigan’s offensive line isn’t yet quite strong enough, and assignment sure enough, to keep Underwood upright long enough often enough, and to punch as many holes as we’d care to for Marshall.
But the game is far closer to a tossup than many are projecting, and if Michigan wins, they might not make the playoffs—but based on talent and recent play, they’d definitely have a great case to be among the top 12 teams in the country, and better than some of the “at large” teams expected to have an edge over Michigan if records are even.
SteveQHouston
Nov 25, 8:35 PM
I see what you did there. BEAT THE BUCKNUTS.
Marinwolve
Nov 25, 8:37 PM
timmieb said:Those are certainly three hot buttons. I am hoping though that the injuries will come close to evening out and coverage busts will not lead to TDs, just some long yardage plays. We have done a good job of limiting their scoring in the red zone in the past and not letting them bypass it altogether, something they do to a lot of teams with long TD scoring plays. As for trench war, I think with the crowd behind us especially, we win it. Much tougher for Sayin to audible and their OL to execute in that environment, which will affect the trenches. Unlike Howard and McCord before him, Sayin has not had really any experience that compares to what he will face in Ann Arbor. If we do win the trenches, pressure mounts on Sayin to execute. Although I understand that BU faces challenges that will likely exceed what he has faced to date (though Oklahoma on the road at night at least comes close), I think Sayin’s performance is being taken for granted when perhaps it is dangerous to make that assumption. He has been real clean in pressure free games. Keep this one close and let’s see how good he really is.In my mind, I think this game comes down to injuries, trench war, and coverage busts. I have no real clue which way things will go. I do think there is some reason to be concerned that Michigan’s offensive line isn’t yet quite strong enough, and assignment sure enough, to keep Underwood upright long enough often enough, and to punch as many holes as we’d care to for Marshall. But the game is far closer to a tossup than many are projecting, and if Michigan wins, they might not make the playoffs—but based on talent and recent play, they’d definitely have a great case to be among the top 12 teams in the country, and better than some of the “at large” teams expected to have an edge over Michigan if records are even.
Marinwolve
Nov 25, 8:38 PM
SteveQHouston said:You space guys are good at cracking codes.I see what you did there. BEAT THE BUCKNUTS.
YooperBlue
Nov 25, 8:47 PM
I like the list. One of my biggest concerns that isn't being talked about much is our kicking game, namely Zvada. I hope whatever has been ailing him, he has flashbacks to last year and his performance. In a close match, he could be the difference.
coda: need a big game from our tight ends also.
Ctblue72
Nov 25, 8:48 PM
Marinwolve said:#11 is a big one for my money….. Beat Ohio!1. Better run game is a distinct advantage when these two teams face off, and even with Haynes out, our run game is superior. 2. Every year in recent history favors the team that is more physical and it seems the Bucks under Day have turned into a bevy of well paid and talented, but comparatively soft, players. 3. A look at the weather forecast shows that we are heading for a cold, possibly wet/snowy day, one where the level of skill players is neutralized and toughness in the trenches is rewarded. 4. The development of BU is becoming more and more evident these last two weeks. Minus the picks (and yes, he can’t have multiple INTs), he is now a real threat with his legs and arm. 5. That last point is especially important. His judgement regarding when to throw and when to run has taken a giant leap and, in many key third down situations, it has led to first downs. 6. Home field advantage won’t necessarily determine the outcome, but it sure can be critical in tight games where any edge may be the difference in the final score. 7. Entering The Game, we are significantly better with the ball than we were last season when we still found a way to beat the Bucknuts in their own house even with an anemic offense. 8. Bredeson or no Bredeson, this Lindsey built offense with an improved O line, a maturing Underwood, an ascending Marsh and a dependable Marshall, will help out our defense. Bank on it. 9. Under no circumstances should we forget that Wink came up with his best defensive game plans in the two biggest games of the season (Ohio State and Alabama) last year. Expect it again. 10. Can our defense hold this daunted OSU offense to under 20 points? I think so, although I admit I would feel much better if Moore were back at safety. 11. Know this and know it well. OSU has not played anyone better than us yet. So it is still unclear just how good they are even if they are the deserved, designated No. 1 team in the country. 12. Nevermind that their most difficult contest was in The Shoe against Texas, a team that has proven to be far inferior than expected. We are more battle tested than they are. 13. Unless turnovers lead to short fields, OSU will not find it easy to score. Their run game has fallen off this year. Tate and Smith will play, but will be likely hampered somewhat due to injuries. 14. The fact that Sayin has not been under duress has contributed mightily to his strong stats. Pressure from our front four/disguised coverages might prove Sayin is mortal. Just sayin. 15. Sherrone is ready. He has been coaching under severe pressure since the USC game. Hasn’t looked comfortable. I think we will see a different Sherrone Moore on the sidelines on Saturday. Go Blue, baby! Five in a row would be SWEET. Disclaimer: I feel better and better about Saturday the more I think about it. The wild card for me is turnovers. The OSU defense is real. Patricia has them playing at the highest level. I think we can move the ball, but can we do it without turning the ball over? We survived a few giveaways last year, but we also got some key ones to go our way too that helped balance it out. If the same occurs on Saturday, then we should be okay. But if the turnover battle goes materially in their favor, we will not be able to overcome it. This is not Northwestern.
GauchoCass
Nov 25, 8:58 PM
Marinwolve said:2 big concerns for me 1. Michigan has totally wet the bed this against the two teams with talent close to OSU’s. 2. Pass protection.1. Better run game is a distinct advantage when these two teams face off, and even with Haynes out, our run game is superior. 2. Every year in recent history favors the team that is more physical and it seems the Bucks under Day have turned into a bevy of well paid and talented, but comparatively soft, players. 3. A look at the weather forecast shows that we are heading for a cold, possibly wet/snowy day, one where the level of skill players is neutralized and toughness in the trenches is rewarded. 4. The development of BU is becoming more and more evident these last two weeks. Minus the picks (and yes, he can’t have multiple INTs), he is now a real threat with his legs and arm. 5. That last point is especially important. His judgement regarding when to throw and when to run has taken a giant leap and, in many key third down situations, it has led to first downs. 6. Home field advantage won’t necessarily determine the outcome, but it sure can be critical in tight games where any edge may be the difference in the final score. 7. Entering The Game, we are significantly better with the ball than we were last season when we still found a way to beat the Bucknuts in their own house even with an anemic offense. 8. Bredeson or no Bredeson, this Lindsey built offense with an improved O line, a maturing Underwood, an ascending Marsh and a dependable Marshall, will help out our defense. Bank on it. 9. Under no circumstances should we forget that Wink came up with his best defensive game plans in the two biggest games of the season (Ohio State and Alabama) last year. Expect it again. 10. Can our defense hold this daunted OSU offense to under 20 points? I think so, although I admit I would feel much better if Moore were back at safety. 11. Know this and know it well. OSU has not played anyone better than us yet. So it is still unclear just how good they are even if they are the deserved, designated No. 1 team in the country. 12. Nevermind that their most difficult contest was in The Shoe against Texas, a team that has proven to be far inferior than expected. We are more battle tested than they are. 13. Unless turnovers lead to short fields, OSU will not find it easy to score. Their run game has fallen off this year. Tate and Smith will play, but will be likely hampered somewhat due to injuries. 14. The fact that Sayin has not been under duress has contributed mightily to his strong stats. Pressure from our front four/disguised coverages might prove Sayin is mortal. Just sayin. 15. Sherrone is ready. He has been coaching under severe pressure since the USC game. Hasn’t looked comfortable. I think we will see a different Sherrone Moore on the sidelines on Saturday. Go Blue, baby! Five in a row would be SWEET. Disclaimer: I feel better and better about Saturday the more I think about it. The wild card for me is turnovers. The OSU defense is real. Patricia has them playing at the highest level. I think we can move the ball, but can we do it without turning the ball over? We survived a few giveaways last year, but we also got some key ones to go our way too that helped balance it out. If the same occurs on Saturday, then we should be okay. But if the turnover battle goes materially in their favor, we will not be able to overcome it. This is not Northwestern.
Marinwolve
Nov 25, 9:03 PM
YooperBlue said:I wish I could have pointed to special teams as one of our advantages, as it proved to be last year. Just can’t do it based on our track record this season. As you said, Zvada has not been himself. Punting is erratic. Fortunately, Marsh for Semaj is what appears to be a major upgrade. Hoping that at least that part of ST play ends up being the case on Saturday.I like the list. One of my biggest concerns that isn't being talked about much is our kicking game, namely Zvada. I hope whatever has been ailing him, he has flashbacks to last year and his performance. In a close match, he could be the difference. coda: need a big game from our tight ends also.
Marinwolve
Nov 25, 9:07 PM
GauchoCass said:I am counting on Bryce using his legs to help counter the pass pro problems. They cannot go all out against him and must use structured pass pressure to be sure he doesn’t use his legs to beat it. That alone means they won’t be as effective as they might be. As for your first concern, it cannot be ignored. That said, Oklahoma game is a long time ago, and the USC was hopefully an outlier where we laid an egg. It does happen.2 big concep for me 1. Michigan has totally wet the bed this against the two teams with talent close to OSU’s. 2. Pass protection.
yalevandyn
Nov 25, 9:15 PM
timmieb said:trench war for sure, and our DTs need to rise to the occasion.....this group has been meh this year but can wipe that slate clean if they can hold down the point of attack on saturday. benny, payne, williams, piece and etta - there is depth and size there, this group really needs to lay it on the lineIn my mind, I think this game comes down to injuries, trench war, and coverage busts. I have no real clue which way things will go. I do think there is some reason to be concerned that Michigan’s offensive line isn’t yet quite strong enough, and assignment sure enough, to keep Underwood upright long enough often enough, and to punch as many holes as we’d care to for Marshall. But the game is far closer to a tossup than many are projecting, and if Michigan wins, they might not make the playoffs—but based on talent and recent play, they’d definitely have a great case to be among the top 12 teams in the country, and better than some of the “at large” teams expected to have an edge over Michigan if records are even.
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