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Who will be our next Coach?

We will shortly be done with one-third of the season. If Reich is serious about being one and done, does anyone have any idea who Andrew maybe looking at? - I can't see him just sitting there assuming he will pick a great new coach out of thin air in January. I never really could decide if the one and done route was best, or just the easiest way out of a mess and into another mess. The easy way out would be to promote someone already on the staff. But is that our best solution? I am sure a lot of you guys have thoughts on this and I think an exchange of ideas would be good. I think we have to stop the coaching merrygoround and get someone decent for the long haul. But that won't be easy. Every really good coach we have hired has moved on not too long after arriving. I do not think we can keep on replacing coaches every 4 years and ever establish something significant. So I ask is it possible for us to find a good young coach who would be willing to stay if he is successful. The amount of money currently out there is hard to imagine.
209 Replies
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MITGrad

Sep 18, 10:05 PM

The Squire has already posted much about this here. My pick, FWIW: Greg Roman 1. OC under Harbaugh both at Stanford and now, currently OC with LA Chargers. 2. Extensive NFL experience, but also started at and has experience at college level. 3. Knows Stanford from his time on the Farm. 4. Familiar with requirements of college recruiting. 5. Eats, Sleeps, ad Breathes football. 6. Sufficient gravitas/experience to command respect/attention. 7. Knows and has worked well with Andrew Luck from Luck's early player years on the Farm. Foundation in place, an established relationship that just needs refreshing. 8. A hoot to get to know. What's not to Like? The unknowns: 1. Would he even be interested? 2. Would he retain most if not all of current staff? Replacing only a few where he could improve in selected slots? Or wholesale staff turnover? 3. What kind of budget for Football vs past levels?
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rwcmike

Sep 18, 10:31 PM

I like Roman and he would be a great hire. I couldn’t help but wonder, when watching Andrew on the sideline last week, if he doesn’t want the job.
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SLS90

Sep 18, 10:58 PM

rwcmike said:
I like Roman and he would be a great hire. I couldn’t help but wonder, when watching Andrew on the sideline last week, if he doesn’t want the job.
I liked Roman as OC at Stanford; and I know him a bit personally and he is a great guy. But I have no clue if he would be a good HC at Stanford. Think it's safer for Stanford to get a proven head coach, even if at non-major conference program, because there is so much more that goes into being a good HC as opposed to a good coordinator. Ideally, Stanford wins 5 more games this season, Reich decides he loves living out here, and he moves the whole mishpachah (sp?) out west! Barring that pipedream . . . find a proven HC. [And I also agree that msqueri's list is as good a list of candidates as you'll find].
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Anon1663716692

Sep 18, 11:07 PM

I am still voting for Brent Key of Georgia Tech. He has done an amazing job there and would be great at Stanford. I doubt he would take the job unless the offer were huge and there were other personal considerations that would appeal to him. He should certainly be close to the top on any list.
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apluscelly

Sep 18, 11:09 PM

Suggesting Greg Roman as the next head coach is crazy. He hasnt coached college in 15 years, and only as a coordinator for 3 seasons. In his 30 years of coaching experience, 27 of them have been in the NFL, and he has never been a head coach at any point. To say he would be unprepared to be a Power 4 head coach in 2026 would be an understatement. Reich, love him, but looks a little worn out to me. He's best as an interim band-aid in my view.
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MITGrad

Sep 18, 11:31 PM

Anon1663716692 said:
I am still voting for Brent Key of Georgia Tech. He has done an amazing job there and would be great at Stanford. I doubt he would take the job unless the offer were huge and there were other personal considerations that would appeal to him. He should certainly br close to the top on any list.
Yes, great consideration. Doing fantastic job with the Yellowjackets. But my guess he'd likely see Stanford as a step down right now. And he's obviously a 'Good ole Boy' from the south, so I'd wonder about him liking/fitting in culture-wise with Stanford.
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MITGrad

Sep 18, 11:32 PM

apluscelly said:
Suggesting Greg Roman as the next head coach is crazy. He hasnt coached college in 15 years, and only as a coordinator for 3 seasons. In his 30 years of coaching experience, 27 of them have been in the NFL, and he has never been a head coach at any point. To say he would be unprepared to be a Power 4 head coach in 2026 would be an understatement. Reich, love him, but looks a little worn out to me. He's best as an interim band-aid in my view.
True, never been a head coach. And spent years/earned his chops in NFL. So had Bill Walsh (co-incidentally, also an earlier assistant at Stanford.... under Ralston).
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jtomei

Sep 18, 11:34 PM

apluscelly said:
Suggesting Greg Roman as the next head coach is crazy. He hasnt coached college in 15 years, and only as a coordinator for 3 seasons. In his 30 years of coaching experience, 27 of them have been in the NFL, and he has never been a head coach at any point. To say he would be unprepared to be a Power 4 head coach in 2026 would be an understatement. Reich, love him, but looks a little worn out to me. He's best as an interim band-aid in my view.
+1000. Never been a Roman fan. Would be a disastrous hire.
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akhockey7

Sep 18, 11:39 PM

Anon1663716692 said:
I am still voting for Brent Key of Georgia Tech. He has done an amazing job there and would be great at Stanford. I doubt he would take the job unless the offer were huge and there were other personal considerations that would appeal to him. He should certainly be close to the top on any list.
There is a better chance Mickey Mouse coaches Stanford than Brent Key leaving GT for Stanford.
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jdshelly

Sep 19, 12:04 AM

I see 5 main categories of places to look: A) Former NFL head coach who was fired (a Jason Garrett/Frank Reich-type candidate (though I believe Frank that he doesn't want it)) Advantage: He was regarded as the best of the best of the best at one point, and may be available for cheap depending on buyout structure (I'm not totally sure how all that works) Disadvantage: Most recent performance was deemed unacceptably horrible; likely has some distance from college tasks like recruiting. B) Current NFL assistant (Pritchard/Walters/Roman-type candidate) Advantage: Recruits seem to like NFL connections Disadvantage: We're likely to be pulling from the weaker candidates among this group, since the top talent is looking for NFL promotions. Also may be unproven with tasks unique to college. C) Current/former NCAA power conference head coach whose best performance was several years ago (Chip Kelly, Dave Aranda, Chris Peterson types) Advantage: The only ones to have accomplished exactly what we are trying to accomplish. Disadvantage: Sometimes a perfect culture clicks for a couple of seasons because of the right players, right assistants, right time, right place, and they never recover that magic (see Shaw). The college game has also changed with portal/NIL, etc. D) Current NCAA power conference coordinator (Brian Hartline, Andy Kotelnicki types) Advantage: These folks are recruiting whales and winning the biggest college football games right now. Disadvantage: Coordinator is a different job than head coach, though I'm less concerned about this with Andrew Luck in the GM role. I expect these candidates may be the most expensive on the list. E) Current head coach performing well in non-power conference (Jon Sumrall types) Advantage: They know how to win college football games. So many Hall of Fame coaches started out here, and we may well find another one for cheap. Disadvantage: So many failed power conference coaches also started out here, and the Troy Taylors are more common than the Jim Harbaughs. I've also assumed (and felt with Taylor) that the recruiting is considerably different -- what looks like great talent to someone used to FCS play isn't necessarily great talent in the big leagues, and the kind of pitch that wins recruits choosing between unheralded teams is different than the kind of pitch needed to beat out blue bloods. I'm leaving off my taxonomy current head coaches performing well in a power conference (eg Brent Key; my dream Clark Lea) because I can't see any reason for them to leave for a step down. (My pitch to Lea would be 1) we'll provide more resources for football than Vandy (idk if that's actually true), and 2) it would be a place to actually compete for conference/national titles (probably not obviously true enough to warrant leaving the alma mater). Recognizing there are some particular candidates in lower tiers that I would take over particular candidates in higher tiers, if I had to rank these tiers in order I would go D (top college coordinator), A (former NFL head coach), E (minor league world-beater), C (college retread), B (NFL assistant).
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GSO61

Sep 19, 12:07 AM

So it seems like we are back to grabbing whoever we can convince to give the job a try and that won't cut it for the long term.
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rwcmike

Sep 19, 12:21 AM

GSO61 said:
So it seems like we are back to grabbing whoever we can convince to give the job a try and that won't cut it for the long term.
Correct. We need someone who wants to be here for 10 years. I don’t know if ASU got lucky with Dillingham and if he is just a flash in the pants one hit wonder. He could be a lifer at ASU. Need someone whose dream job is Stanford. I think Smith and Paye are those types for basketball.
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GSO61

Sep 19, 12:22 AM

GSO61 said:
So it seems like we are back to grabbing whoever we can convince to give the job a try and that won't cut it for the long term.
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GSO61

Sep 19, 12:23 AM

rwcmike said:
Correct. We need someone who wants to be here for 10 years. I don’t know if ASU got lucky with Dillingham and if he is just a flash in the pants one hit wonder. He could be a lifer at ASU. Need someone whose dream job is Stanford. I think Smith and Paye are those types for basketball.
Amen
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Starbase27

Sep 19, 1:36 AM

Much More Info and Analysis in the Early Coaching Candidate Thread that I just bumped to the Top
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murph0025

Sep 19, 3:25 AM

rwcmike said:
…a flash in the pants…
So much better than a flash in the pan
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msqueri

Sep 19, 3:30 AM

I don't have any idea of who Luck may be looking at or how he might be thinking about it. As I said on the Talking Trees podcast, I think the crux of it is the level of ambition he has or, really, is allowed to have. I would also note that I don't think Luck is likely to end decades of practice of the head coach hire being more of an institutional/committee decision than purely one decider's choice. He will have to navigate institutional politics. Hopefully the balance is weighted toward people we think are committed to Stanford football, like Levin, Donahoe, and Luck, but I would be surprised if the faculty, Tara VanDerveer, Condi Rice, etc. aren't important voices too. I keep coming back to ambition. It's really sheer guessing to throw names out there not knowing if we are willing to swing big shots and be turned down/embarrassed, if we would hire somebody with factory/mercenary vibes, if we are going to pay 2 or 3 or 4 or 6 or 8 or 10 million bucks, if there is significant budget set aside for assistant coaches, and so forth. I don't think it's totally laughable to throw names out like Nick Saban, Urban Meyer, Chip Kelly, and Dabo Swinney....but it is extremely unlikely. Same for good current Power Four coaches like Lance Leipold, Bret Bielema, and Clark Lea. Hard to say which of those categories is more of an outlandish longshot but both certainly are. Still, I can't rule out that we dramatically level up our ambition and investment. Short of that, there are other routes as @jdshelly's helpful typology laid out. By the way, when I was pushing for Shaw to go I did a turnaround artist study of all the college football hires of the last 30 years to try to get insights into the kinds of coaches that have effectuated power conference turnarounds. I have identified some additional case studies from the years since I did those posts and if I have time am hoping to update that thread for our current search. That study offers a similar typology as jdshelly did though I did not separate out proven power coach from NFL coaches. The intervening years since those posts have reinforced that proven guys are the most common source of turnaround artists. As such, if I were king for the day I would really work hard to muster the university resources and ambition to make a hire in that vein possible. I don't know if that's where we'll be though. If not, the power conference coordinator and lower level coach routes are reasonable routes too. The line "there are some particular candidates in lower tiers that I would take over particular candidates in higher tiers" is the salient one to me. I am hesitant to opine on which of the categories is most attractive because I think there are attractive candidates in each. There are also people who fit in multiple categories, like Dan Mullen, who I would give a hard look to. I could not disagree more with @GSO61 and @rwcmike. I think it is a very counterproductive mentality to want to optimize for likelihood to stick around. The best thing that ever happened to us was Jim Harbaugh. We should be so lucky as to have a coach who does so well that they have better options. I think a program is kind of a loser if it wants to hire coaches whose dream job is to coach there if the program itself isn't at the pinnacle. We should want people whose dream jobs would be to coach Alabama or Ohio State or Notre Dame (or the Los Angeles Rams). If we ever reach the pinnacle and are legitimately a program that would attract the best, sure, then go for somebody you would want a long time (presumably how Alabama, Ohio State, and Notre Dame felt about their coaches). Moreover, I just don't really think it's a good goal to want a coach to stay ten years. Many coaches, even very successful ones, grow stale by then. Stanford fans shouldn't have to be reminded of that after seeing the program-slaying calamity that happened with our most successful coach ever. Even John Ralston didn't make it ten seasons. We should be optimizing for winning, not trying to thread the needle of a good coach but one so self-selecting he wouldn't leave (doesn't lead to great mentalities/work ethics, as we saw with TPS) or one so good but not great he doesn't have better options. It's hard enough to just get a good coach. The history of major college football coaching hires is that it's about a coin flip in whether they succeed, and that's with all the programs making the hires trying to get it right and not all of them facing the brave new world headwinds we face. No, really could not disagree more with the idea we should give a crap about this being somebody's dream job. The only thing we should be focused on is getting somebody who will turn us around. I have many thoughts on people in all the categories that could be and I'm sure they will evolve each week of the season. Just for the sake of throwing some names out there, right now my head is at wanting Luck to make magic happen with splashy or proven power conference good or keeping an eye on guys like Alex Golesh, Jon Sumrall, GJ Kinne, Eddie George, Dan Mullen, Andy Kotelnicki, Will Stein, and Glenn Schumann. For what it's worth, I think there could be a rationale for somebody like Roman, especially with the right assistants joining him, to be an intriguing fit. I worry about the lack of head coaching experience and the years of being passed over for such, but there is a lot he'd bring and with the right staff it could be potent. My preference, though, is for one of the following categories: proven power head coach, former NFL head coach (successful or not), hotshot coordinator with great mentors, proven Group of Five coach. There is a last piece to this that I think is really important but I have not yet wrapped my head around because I think it requires granular and sophisticated understanding of individual candidates in a way that's difficult for outsiders to pull off: who fits Stanford and whose skill sets complement Luck's future role. Could definitely see guys I mentioned being unviable through those lens or guys totally off-my-radar being appealing.
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jportster

Sep 19, 3:53 AM

akhockey7 said:
There is a better chance Mickey Mouse coaches Stanford than Brent Key leaving GT for Stanford.
So, you’re saying we might reconcile with Taylor? LOL
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jportster

Sep 19, 4:09 AM

rwcmike said:
just a flash in the pants one hit wonder.
We all started out as a “flash in the pants.” Others are also one hit wonders. LOL
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SLS90

Sep 19, 5:03 AM

msqueri said:
I don't have any idea of who Luck may be looking at or how he might be thinking about it. As I said on the Talking Trees podcast, I think the crux of it is the level of ambition he has or, really, is allowed to have. I would also note that I don't think Luck is likely to end decades of practice of the head coach hire being more of an institutional/committee decision than purely one decider's choice. He will have to navigate institutional politics. Hopefully the balance is weighted toward people we think are committed to Stanford football, like Levin, Donahoe, and Luck, but I would be surprised if the faculty, Tara VanDerveer, Condi Rice, etc. aren't important voices too. I keep coming back to ambition. It's really sheer guessing to throw names out there not knowing if we are willing to swing big shots and be turned down/embarrassed, if we would hire somebody with factory/mercenary vibes, if we are going to pay 2 or 3 or 4 or 6 or 8 or 10 million bucks, if there is significant budget set aside for assistant coaches, and so forth. I don't think it's totally laughable to throw names out like Nick Saban, Urban Meyer, Chip Kelly, and Dabo Swinney....but it is extremely unlikely. Same for good current Power Four coaches like Lance Leipold, Bret Bielema, and Clark Lea. Hard to say which of those categories is more of an outlandish longshot but both certainly are. Still, I can't rule out that we dramatically level up our ambition and investment. Short of that, there are other routes as @jdshelly's helpful typology laid out. By the way, when I was pushing for Shaw to go I did a turnaround artist study of all the college football hires of the last 30 years to try to get insights into the kinds of coaches that have effectuated power conference turnarounds. I have identified some additional case studies from the years since I did those posts and if I have time am hoping to update that thread for our current search. That study offers a similar typology as jdshelly did though I did not separate out proven power coach from NFL coaches. The intervening years since those posts have reinforced that proven guys are the most common source of turnaround artists. As such, if I were king for the day I would really work hard to muster the university resources and ambition to make a hire in that vein possible. I don't know if that's where we'll be though. If not, the power conference coordinator and lower level coach routes are reasonable routes too. The line "there are some particular candidates in lower tiers that I would take over particular candidates in higher tiers" is the salient one to me. I am hesitant to opine on which of the categories is most attractive because I think there are attractive candidates in each. There are also people who fit in multiple categories, like Dan Mullen, who I would give a hard look to. I could not disagree more with @GSO61 and @rwcmike. I think it is a very counterproductive mentality to want to optimize for likelihood to stick around. The best thing that ever happened to us was Jim Harbaugh. We should be so lucky as to have a coach who does so well that they have better options. I think a program is kind of a loser if it wants to hire coaches whose dream job is to coach there if the program itself isn't at the pinnacle. We should want people whose dream jobs would be to coach Alabama or Ohio State or Notre Dame (or the Los Angeles Rams). If we ever reach the pinnacle and are legitimately a program that would attract the best, sure, then go for somebody you would want a long time (presumably how Alabama, Ohio State, and Notre Dame felt about their coaches). Moreover, I just don't really think it's a good goal to want a coach to stay ten years. Many coaches, even very successful ones, grow stale by then. Stanford fans shouldn't have to be reminded of that after seeing the program-slaying calamity that happened with our most successful coach ever. Even John Ralston didn't make it ten seasons. We should be optimizing for winning, not trying to thread the needle of a good coach but one so self-selecting he wouldn't leave (doesn't lead to great mentalities/work ethics, as we saw with TPS) or one so good but not great he doesn't have better options. It's hard enough to just get a good coach. The history of major college football coaching hires is that it's about a coin flip in whether they succeed, and that's with all the programs making the hires trying to get it right and not all of them facing the brave new world headwinds we face. No, really could not disagree more with the idea we should give a crap about this being somebody's dream job. The only thing we should be focused on is getting somebody who will turn us around. I have many thoughts on people in all the categories that could be and I'm sure they will evolve each week of the season. Just for the sake of throwing some names out there, right now my head is at wanting Luck to make magic happen with splashy or proven power conference good or keeping an eye on guys like Alex Golesh, Jon Sumrall, GJ Kinne, Eddie George, Dan Mullen, Andy Kotelnicki, Will Stein, and Glenn Schumann. For what it's worth, I think there could be a rationale for somebody like Roman, especially with the right assistants joining him, to be an intriguing fit. I worry about the lack of head coaching experience and the years of being passed over for such, but there is a lot he'd bring and with the right staff it could be potent. My preference, though, is for one of the following categories: proven power head coach, former NFL head coach (successful or not), hotshot coordinator with great mentors, proven Group of Five coach. There is a last piece to this that I think is really important but I have not yet wrapped my head around because I think it requires granular and sophisticated understanding of individual candidates in a way that's difficult for outsiders to pull off: who fits Stanford and whose skill sets complement Luck's future role. Could definitely see guys I mentioned being unviable through those lens or guys totally off-my-radar being appealing.
I think Luck/Levin should hire you as a consultant advising them (and anyone else on the Football Coach Hiring Committee).
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anurag41

Sep 19, 5:07 AM

rwcmike said:
he is just a flash in the pants one hit wonder.
sending out the bat signal for @CowboyIndian
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Jamesy2

Sep 19, 5:25 AM

What about Mike McDaniel, Dolphins head coach who might be fired soon if the team doesn't turn it around? Brilliant offensive mind, could keep the defensive staff intact given their trajectory, can focus just on coaching with Luck handling the roster, and has ties to the bay. And the dolphins can pay him for the first however many years that are remaining on his contract. Would that qualify as a good hire?
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CardinalSagehen

Sep 19, 6:08 AM

Jamesy2 said:
What about Mike McDaniel, Dolphins head coach who might be fired soon if the team doesn't turn it around? Brilliant offensive mind, could keep the defensive staff intact given their trajectory, can focus just on coaching with Luck handling the roster, and has ties to the bay. And the dolphins can pay him for the first however many years that are remaining on his contract. Would that qualify as a good hire?
Leaning into the Nerd Nation trope, I guess? I'm not sure if he's the type of guy to push college kids. But yes, McDaniel would qualify as a good hire, even if only for the quirky entertainment value.
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Dutch_Goose

Sep 19, 8:16 AM

akhockey7 said:
There is a better chance Mickey Mouse coaches Stanford than Brent Key leaving GT for Stanford.
Key is a GT alum, which I don't think many people realize. GT basically hit the jackpot in getting a good coach who will actually want to stay with the program long-term.

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