Skip to main content

College Football Predictions: ESPN picks winners of every conference championship game

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko11/29/23


The latest college football predictions are in from ESPN’s FPI metrics as the conference championship games are finally here.

Each Power Five conference title game has a lot at stake when it comes to the CFP. The Group of Five games could be the difference maker in some programs.

Let’s dive into ESPN’s FPI predictions of the conference championship games across college football this weekend.

Pac-12 Championship – No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 3 Washington

Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET, Friday (ABC)
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)
FPI Prediction: Oregon – 75.8%

Washington won the first time, but it was a razor thing game. This game is a neutral field and Oregon is playing, arguably, better than any team in the country. Hence the spread.

Big 12 Championship  – No. 18 Oklahoma State vs. No. 7 Texas


Time: 12:00 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Texas (-15.5)
FPI Prediction: Texas – 88.1%

Texas is rolling and it’s a good thing the Longhorns got their quarterback Quinn Ewers back under center. Oklahoma State might be peaking at the right time, but this would be quite the upset if the Cowboys win.

SEC Championship – No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 8 Alabama

Jenna Watson/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK

Time: 4:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
Spread: Georgia (-6)
FPI Prediction: Georgia – 52.1%

Georgia is the favorite, rightfully so. However, Alabama is playing its best football now. This is a clash of titans and if it were the BCS era, SEC fans could say this was the true national championship. All eyes glued to this one.

ACC Championship – No. 14 Louisville vs. No. 4 Florida State

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Florida State (-2.5)
FPI Prediction: Florida State – 74.4%

ESPN still expects FSU to roll in this game, despite not having Jordan Travis. However, Vegas isn’t so sure. It’s much closer with the spread. Louisville won’t make the CFP, but the Cardinals have quite the talented team.

Big Ten Championship – No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 16 Iowa

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Michigan (-21.5)
FPI Prediction: Michigan – 92.6%

This is the biggest mismatch in the Power Five, according to Vegas and ESPN’s FPI. Michigan has been dominant all season long and Iowa can say the same, but only on defense. This would be a massive upset as well.

Other conference title games

AAC Championship – SMU vs. No. 22 Tulane
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Tulane (-3.5)
FPI Prediction: SMU – 72.5%

Conference USA Championship – New Mexico State vs. No. 24 Liberty

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET, Friday (CBS Sports Network)
Spread: Liberty (-11)
FPI Prediction: Liberty vs. 82.3%

It’s another glorious week in college football and there will be titles and trophies to be had. Could we see College Football Playoff chaos? Tune in to find out.