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Duke vs. Miami: How to watch, odds, picks, final score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Stephen Samraby: Steve Samra02/06/23SamraSource
ACC Basketball
(Photo by William Howard/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Duke is looking to build off their victory over North Carolina, following a huge victory with traveling to take on the Miami Hurricanes at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida on Monday. Ahead of the game, which will be broadcast live on ESPN, predictions and betting odds – including KenPom analytics – are rolling in.

How to watch Duke vs. Miami

Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET

Location: Watsco Center, Coral Gables, Florida

Channel: ESPN

Vegas odds

Miami is a 4-point favorite over Duke on Monday, according to VegasInsider. The over-under is set at 146 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Miami

Win probability (for Miami): 68.2%

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Miami 74, Duke 72

Win probability (for Miami): 58%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Miami comes away with a victory over Duke.

Jon Scheyer praises Dereck Lively impacting Duke outside of scoring

Moreover, Duke secured a big win over rival North Carolina Saturday, defeating the Tar Heels at home 63-57. Jeremy Roach‘s game-leading 20 points headline the Blue Devil’s victory, but freshman center Dereck Lively stuffed the stat sheet, having a big impact on Duke’s victory.

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer spoke about Lively’s impact on Saturday’s win following the game. 

“It’s a credit to what makes Derrick so special, you know for us I’ve seen him really change high school games or AAU games with doing the same thing,” Scheyer said. 

Lively ended the night with just four points, but had a monster day on the defensive end, with a career-high 14 rebounds and eight blocks. Scheyer spoke more about his unselfish play, and how his play style is a key catalyst in Duke playing winning basketball. 

“And so for him it’s, usually bigs are so hungry to score, that’s not necessarily the most efficient play or the best play,” Scheyer explained. “For him he’s all about the team, he’s all about winning, and the impact that he has on defense, besides the blocked shots.”

Duke’s win over their biggest rival marks their third straight victory, and in those three games, Lively has led the team in rebounds in two of them and blocks in all of them. The Blue Devils have also held opponents to just 57.6 points per game during their winning stretch, and Lively has definitely been a key reason why. 

He’s not only been effective at defending front-court players and the rim, but also in switching and defending guards. North Carolina has three players that rank in the top 15 in points per game in the conference, and Lively was effective in guarding all of them on Saturday night. 

“I would like to look back on the film, he had eight blocked shots, which I was told was the most even in a Duke Carolina game. But also the shots he changes just by being around the basket and then he had some big plays where just switching, so he’s staying in front of their guards who are really good,” Scheyer said. “It just speaks to the versatility that he has.”

Alas, Lively and the Blue Devils will face No. 23 Miami in their next matchup on Monday, as they’ll look to extend their win streak on the road against one of the conference’s strongest teams.

On3’s Kaiden Smith contributed to this article.