Georgia vs. Mississippi State odds: Win probability, final score prediction for tilt between Bulldogs

Georgia and Mississippi State are set to tussle on Wednesday night in a key bubble matchup with serious implications for both schools.

Both are fighting to prove they belong in the NCAA Tournament field down the stretch and any win over a quality team at this point is a good one. Getting one over another bubble-contending team is even better.

What’s more is the two will be playing for the edge in the all-time series, which is currently tied at 57-57. Georgia won last year’s meeting to even it up, following a streak of five straight wins for Mississippi State.

Odds for Georgia vs. Mississippi State

Coming into the game, Mississippi State is an 8.5-point favorite over Georgia, per FanDuel. Mississippi State is also currently listed at -400 for the moneyline, right now, while Georgia is sitting at +310.

The point total for the game is currently set at 144.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference foes can get to that total when they clash on Wednesday.

Final score predictions for Georgia vs. Mississippi State

BPI Predicted winner: Mississippi State
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.1
BPI Win probability (for Mississippi State): 77.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 74.2

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 8.1 points in Mississippi State’s favor. It also gives Mississippi State a 77.1% chance to win the game over Georgia.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 74.2, which is fairly average for Wednesday night’s slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Mississippi State 75, Georgia 68
KenPom Win probability (for Mississippi State): 74%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Mississippi State and Georgia, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the maroon-colored Bulldogs to win.

How to watch Georgia vs. Mississippi State

Time: 9 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Humphrey Coliseum | Starkville, Miss.

Georgia and Mississippi State are set to tip off at 9 p.m. ET. It will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Miss., with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

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For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on the SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.