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KenPom projects every team's chances to win SEC Tournament

On3 imageby: Tyler Mansfield03/06/22TMansfieldMedia

With the college basketball regular season nearly in the books and conference tournaments getting set to take place – or already taking place – all across the country, there continues to be a better feel of the teams that will make up the NCAA Tournament.

Looking specifically at the SEC, the league is set to have a number of teams in the NCAA Tournament field with Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, Alabama and LSU all expected to be among the 68 teams that make up March Madness.

As the SEC’s regular season slate wrapped up on Saturday and with the SEC Tournament bracket now set, college basketball analytical guru Ken Pomeroy of KenPom.com has projected every team’s chances of winning the SEC Tournament this next week.

According to KenPom, he gives No. 3 seeded Kentucky the best chance to win the conference tournament title at 30.7% and says the Wildcats have a 48.7% to make the championship game. The next closest favorite to win the SEC Tournament is top-seeded Auburn, which KenPom says has a 26.1% chance to capture the title and a 50.2% chance to make the championship game.

Alongside Kentucky and Auburn, KenPom projects No. 2 Tennessee to have the third-best chance to win the SEC Tournament championship – saying the Volunteers have a 20.3% chance to take home the trophy and giving them a 37.1% chance to make the championship game. The next closest team in KenPom’s projection is No. 4 Arkansas, which has just a 8.8% chance to capture the title.

Here’s a complete look at KenPom’s projection for the SEC Tournament.

KenPom’s SEC Tournament Projection

No. 3 Kentucky: The Wildcats have a 30.7% chance to win the championship, a 48.7% chance to make the championship game and a 76.6% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 1 Auburn: The Tigers have a 26.1% chance to win the championship, a 50.2% chance to make the championship game and a 77.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 2 Tennessee: The Volunteers have a 20.3% chance to win the championship, a 37.1% chance to make the championship game and a 77.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 4 Arkansas: The Razorbacks have a 8.8% chance to win the championship, a 23.2% chance to make the championship game and a 54.9% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 5 LSU: The Tigers have a 7.0% chance to win the championship, a 18.0% chance to make the championship game and a 41.6% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 6 Alabama: The Crimson Tide have a 3.2% chance to win the championship, a 8.0% chance to make the championship game and a 19.5% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 10 Mississippi State: The Bulldogs have a 1.3% chance to win the championship, a 4.3% chance to make the championship game and a 16.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 9 Florida: The Gators have a 1.2% chance to win the championship, a 4.4% chance to make the championship game and a 12.1% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 8 Texas A&M: The Aggies have a 0.9% chance to win the championship, a 3.6% chance to make the championship game and a 10.5% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 11 Vanderbilt: The Commodores have a 0.2% chance to win the championship, a 1.0% chance to make the championship game and a 3.8% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 7 South Carolina: The Gamecocks have a 0.2% chance to win the championship, a 0.9% chance to make the championship game and a 5.9% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 13 Ole Miss: The Rebels have a 0.07% chance to win the championship, a 0.5% chance to make the championship game and a 2.8% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 12 Missouri: The Tigers have a less than 0.01% chance to win the championship, a 0.08% chance to make the championship game and a 0.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 14 Georgia: The Bulldogs have a less than 0.01% chance to win the championship, a less than 0.01% chance to make the championship game and a 0.05% chance to make the semifinals.