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Louisville vs. North Carolina odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Cardinals, UNC

IMG_6598by: Nick Kosko01/17/24nickkosko59

The odds were released for Louisville and North Carolina for the school’s latest ACC basketball matchup Wednesday night.

The Cardinals are a big underdog against the Tar Heels and it would take a monumental effort for the upset. But hey, that’s why they play the game and don’t just go by paper matchups.

Let’s dive into the odds and all game information regarding Louisville and North Carolina.

Odds for Louisville vs. North Carolina

Coming into the game, North Carolina is a massive favorite over the Cardinals. The Tar Heels are a 20.5 point favorite at home, per FanDuel. Not only that, the money line has a huge discrepancy as UNC is -4,500 while Louisville is +1,600.

The total was set at 154.5 points, so it’s expected to be relatively high scoring. However, the Tar Heels dropping this one would be quite the upset.

Final score predictions for Louisville vs. North Carolina

BPI Predicted winner: North Carolina
BPI Predicted point differential: 28.7
BPI Win probability (for UNC): 98.3%
BPI Matchup Quality: 60.3

Based on the basketball power index, this game won’t be close between the Tar Heels and Cardinals. UNC is a huge favorite by ESPN’s metrics and projected to win by nearly 30 points. Plus, it’s over 98% probability the Tar Heels will be victorious.

KenPom Predicted final score: North Carolina wins 89-65
KenPom Win probability (for UNC): 98%

As you can see by the KenPom predictions, the Tar Heels should win by over 20 points. Not only that, UNC has a 98% chance to win, which is very similar to ESPN’s BPI metric.

How to watch Louisville vs. North Carolina

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ACC Network/FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Chapel Hill (N.C.)

Louisville and North Carolina are set to tip off later Wednesday night at 9:00 p.m. ET in Chapel Hill. It’s expected to be a hostile environment for the visiting Cardinals.

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If fans aren’t in attendance, they can watch on the ACC Network or click the link above to try Fubo TV for free, through numerous streaming platforms.