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Miami vs. Duke: How to watch, odds, picks, final score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

IMG_6598by: Nick Kosko01/21/23nickkosko59
gettyimages-1363870041-594x594 (1)
(Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

No. 17 Miami (15-3, 6-2) and Duke (13-5, 4-3) square off in an ACC matchup Saturday afternoon. Ahead of the game, which will be broadcast live on ESPN, predictions and betting odds – including KenPom analytics – are rolling in.

How to watch Miami vs. Duke

Tip-off: 12:00 p.m. ET

Location: Durham (N.C.)

Channel: ESPN

Vegas Odds

Duke is a 5.5 point favorite over Miami Saturday, according to the odds at VegasInsider. The total is set at 148.5.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted point differential: 6.3

Win probability 72.9%

Matchup quality: 81.7

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. Duke, despite being unranked, is a substantial favorite over its ranked ACC foe.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Duke wins 76-71

Win probability Duke: 66%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. KenPom agreed with ESPN, but the game will be a little closer according to that metric.

More on Miami vs. Duke

Miami head coach Jim Larranaga did not hold back about the challenge of a road game in the conference.

“Road games are difficult – when you play back-to-back-to-back it’s even more difficult,” Larranaga said, via CaneSport. “One of the things is we don’t create our schedule, some genius does … as a coach I look at it as control the things you can control, don’t worry about the things you can’t and just know the difference. We can’t control that. We’ll do the best we can in preparing for each and every game.”

Duke has yet to lose at home this season. The Blue Devils are 9-0 on their home floor.

“Duke has made a name for itself with the success Coach K (Mike Krzyzewski) had, even while he’s been gone they’ve been a pretty good basketball team,” guard Jordan Miller said. “You want to have success coming out of Cameron again like we did last year (a 76-74 Miami win).”

Miami is just 3-2 over the last five games after the 12-1 start to the season. The Hurricanes took out Syracuse in their last game, 82-78.

Duke’s two game winning streak ended on the road against Clemson in its last time out. Prior to that game, the Blue Devils took down Boston College and Pitt.