Texas A&M vs. Tennessee: SEC Championship Game odds, final score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

No. 2 seed Tennessee (25-7, 14-4 SEC) and the No. 8-seeded Texas A&M Aggies (23-11, 9-9 SEC) battle for the SEC Tournament Championship game on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Here’s how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of Sunday’s SEC Championship clash.
How to watch Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Time: 1 p.m. ET/12 p.m. CT
Channel: ESPN
Location: Tampa, FL
Odds
Money line: Tennessee -286, Texas A&M +228.
Spread: Tennessee -6.5, -110. Texas A&M +6.5, -110.
Total: Over/Under 130.5, -110.
Check out the rest of Vegas’ odds ahead of Sunday’s college game day slate.
ESPN BPI predictions
Matchup quality: 81.3%
Win probability: Tennessee, 82.5%
Predicted point differential: 9.5
The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve.
Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily,’ per ESPN.
For the rest of ESPN’s BPI predictions, click here.
KenPom predictions
Score prediction: Tennessee 69, Texas A&M 62.
Win probability: Tennessee, 73%.
Check out the rest of KenPom’s predictions for Texas A&M vs. Tennessee, and the rest of college basketball here.
Texas A&M vs. Tennessee Preview
Tennessee comes into Sunday as heavy favorites to win the SEC Tournament crown, but there isn’t a team in the country that has caught fire from out of nowhere quite like Buzz Williams’ Texas A&M Aggies.
Top 10
- 1New
Top 25 College QBs
Ranking best '25 signal callers
- 2
Top 25 Defensive Lines
Ranking the best for 2025
- 3
Big Ten Football
Predicting 1st loss for each team
- 4Hot
College Football Playoff
Ranking Top 32 teams for 2025
- 5Trending
Tim Brando
Ranks Top 15 CFB teams for 2025
Get the Daily On3 Newsletter in your inbox every morning
By clicking "Subscribe to Newsletter", I agree to On3's Privacy Notice, Terms, and use of my personal information described therein.
Williams’ team is averaging 77 points per outing and have no intentions of slowing down. After a three-point overtime victory over Florida, the Aggies controlled the No. 1 seeded Auburn Tigers for 40 minutes before completely dominating Arkansas in one of their worst performances of the season. Can they catch Tennessee off guard, too?
It’s not just one player either, it’s the whole team that has caught fire. Since the SEC Tournament began, Quenton Jackson has averaged 17 points per game, Henry Coleman with 16, Tyrece Radford with 14.3 and Hassan Diarra with 9.6 per outing — all higher than their regular season averages.
Tennessee is just as hot, however. They’re 11-1 in their last 12 with their lone loss to Arkansas 58-48 on the road in February. The Volunteers kicked that stretch off with a 90-80 victory over the Aggies in Knoxville that saw five different Tennessee players score in double figures.