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Wisconsin vs. Arizona odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Badgers, Wildcats

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra12/09/23

SamraSource

The Wisconsin Badgers and Arizona Wildcats are preparing for a showdown where both teams will be roaring for a victory.

Entering Saturday’s showdown as the top team in the nation, Arizona has taken care of business at every turn, defeating squads like Duke and Michigan State on their way to a 7-0 record, and the No. 1 ranking in the AP Poll. As for Wisconsin, the Badgers have amassed a 7-2 record, but have defeated Marquette and the aforementioned Spartans in their last two clashes.

Alas, a victory would go a long way for either program. Arizona would secure their top ranking for another week, while Wisconsin would be able to continue climbing the rankings. Here’s everything you need to know for the showdown.

Odds for Wisconsin vs. Arizona

Coming into the game, Arizona is a 9.5-point favorite over Wisconsin, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Wildcats are also currently listed at -500 for the money-line at the moment, while the Badgers are sitting at +375. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 144.5 points. We’ll see if these two potent programs can reach that mark on Saturday afternoon.

Final score predictions for Wisconsin vs. Arizona

BPI Predicted winner: Arizona
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.4
BPI Win probability (for Arizona): 77.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 84.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 8.4 points in Arizona’s favor. It also gives the Wildcats a 77.8 percent chance to win the game over the Badgers. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 84.7, which is the eighth-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Arizona 78, Wisconsin 72
KenPom Win probability (for Arizona): 71%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arizona and Wisconsin, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wildcats to win.

How to watch Wisconsin vs. Arizona

Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Tucson (AZ)

Wisconsin and Arizona are set to tip off at 3:15 p.m. EST. The game will played at the McKale Center in Tucson, Arizona — the home of the Wildcats.

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For fans outside of Tucson, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.