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2025 SEC Football Odds: Ranking conference contenders from top to bottom

Untitled design (2)by: Sam Gillenwater06/30/25samdg_33
2025 SEC Football Odds (June 29th, 2025)

The Southeastern Conference remains among the very best leagues in all of college football. That should be no different in 2025 with how many programs will have a chance to contend for the SEC Championship and, with that, one of the spots in the College Football Playoff.

Vegas has released their odds for all 16 programs in the conference as to who is most likely to win the SEC Championship in Atlanta come December 6th. Those odds reflect three or four early favorites with several others having a chance to compete at or win that afternoon in Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Here’s how the latest odds look as to who will win the 2025 SEC Championship per FanDuel:

1. Texas Longhorns (+280)

Texas enters their second season in the conference as the slight favorite to win the SEC. That’s after making it to the SEC Championship in their debut season, where they posted the best record in the league at 7-1 as part of what would be a finish at 13-3 overall, before losing 22-19 in overtime to Georgia.

The Longhorns have been one of college football’s best programs the past three seasons, improving their record in each of their four seasons under Steve Sarkisian, including playing for a conference title and making the Playoff in each of the past two years. Now, led now by QB Arch Manning on offense, and paired with returning production from what was a top-three scoring defense a year ago, Texas isn’t just the favorite to win the SEC Championship but, per FanDuel, is also currently the favorite to win the CFP at +550.

2. Georgia Bulldogs (+300)

Georgia HC Kirby Smart
(Joshua L. Jones | USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

Georgia is just behind Texas in terms of betting odds. The Bulldogs are the defending SEC Champions after last season’s overtime win over the Longhorns, which was their second win in that game under Kirby Smart in their seventh appearance in Atlanta over the past eight years.

The Bulldogs faced plenty of turnover this past offseason, including two-year starting QB Carson Beck now in Miami. Still, with the way talent comes in and out of Athens under Smart, Georgia should be right back in contention with them in second in these odds to win the conference title and tied for second at +600 with Ohio State to win the national title in the CFP per FanDuel.

3. Alabama Crimson Tide (+490)

Alabama has the third-best odds going into Year Two under Kalen DeBoer. The Crimson Tide could have made it in last year but three conference losses on the road, especially those at Vanderbilt and Oklahoma, kept them out of any potential tiebreakers in the league, as well as the Playoff, with a 9-4 overall finish.

‘Bama still has plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, though quarterback remains the biggest question right now. Still, the Crimson Tide have been here before, and continues to win with nine wins in 10 appearances in the SEC Championship since 2008. That applies to the Playoff as well with FanDuel having the Tide rounding out the top-five in title odds at +1000.

4. LSU Tigers (+700)

LSU also cost themselves when it came to SEC Championship tiebreakers last year with a three-game losing streak, all by double-digits, at Texas A&M, to Alabama, and at Florida. However, with the offseason they’ve had, this could be a year for the Tigers.

LSU is pairing a wealth of returning production, specifically QB Garrett Nussmeier, as well as their leading rusher, receiver, tackles, and in kicking, with what is the No. 2 portal class per On3 with half of their additions being in the Top-100 of On3’s 2025 Top Transfer Portal Players. That has them in a clear fourth to win the SEC Championship while having a chance to be in and win within the CFP as well.

5. Ole Miss Rebels (+1300)

Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin
(Corey Perrine | Florida Times-Union)

Ole Miss could have been in the SEC Championship or CFP last year if not for three conference losses to Kentucky, in overtime at LSU, and at Florida. Still, despite missing out on all of that last season, the Rebels round out the top-five here for best odds to make it to Atlanta in 2025.

This is despite having the least amount of returning production in the conference as well as the second-least in all of the Power Four. However, Ole Miss turned to the portal to help replace some of that talent with the No. 3 portal class per On3, entering Year Six under head coach Lane Kiffin.

6. Texas A&M (+1500)

Of all the collapses in the conference last fall, Texas A&M probably had the worst, losing three of their final four in November at South Carolina, at Auburn in quadruple overtime, and to Texas. That kept them out of the tiebreakers in the SEC and entirely from the CFP with A&M finishing at 8-5 (5-3) overall.

Now, in Year Two under Mike Elko, the Aggies have the most returning production in the entire league paired with what is a top-dozen portal class per On3. That has A&M just outside the top-five with a chance at the program’s debut appearance in the SEC Championship.

7. Florida Gators (+1900)

Floria could have been facing at an offseason coaching search last season in Year Three for Billy Napier. Instead, after finishing 8-5 overall and 4-4 in the SEC following a strong second half of the season, the Gators have some sense of heightened expectations this fall.

Again, with plenty off returning production, especially given a full season with talented QB DJ Lagway at the helm, Florida believes they could get back to being in contention in the SEC. And if that doesn’t happen, Napier’s hot seat could heat up once again.

8. Auburn Tigers (+2100)

Hugh Freeze (Photo by Auburn Athletics)
(Auburn Athletics)

Another late-season turnaround, including wins in three of their final five, has Auburn fans full of hope entering 2025. Similarly as well, though, a step towards contending in the conference again will go a long way for the future after two seasons under Hugh Freeze.

The Tigers bring back some returning production, but will still depend on its sixth-ranked portal class according to On3’s ranking. Now, those on The Plains will be hoping for their first season of note in this decade, having been under three tenures in that time, which could lead to being in the running for a spot in the SEC Championship.

9. Oklahoma Sooners (+2400)

Oklahoma did not have a positive debut in the SEC at 6-7 overall and just 2-6 in the SEC, a second losing season in three under head caoch Brent Venables. That said, the Sooners have reason for optimism entering Year Two in the conference.

That’s with the Sooners having among the most returning production in the country, namely offensively with the unit now led by QB John Mateer and called by new OC Ben Arbuckle. That should have Oklahoma better off as the Sooners work to establish their past selves in their new league.

10. South Carolina (+2600)

South Carolina closed out the regular season strong with a 6-0 record down the stretch, but missed out on the Playoff with three SEC losses on their resume. Now, among almost all of those teams, FanDuel is less confident in the Gamecocks.

That’s despite South Carolina returning much of a Top-15 scoring defense from last season. That could mean more on the shoulders of QB LaNorris Sellers, in Year Two for him as the starter, if they want to make another run at either the SEC or CFP in Year Five under Shane Beamer.

11. Tennessee Volunteers (+3000)

Tennessee HC Josh Heupel
(Caitie McMekin | News Sentinel | USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

Few programs in the league had as busy an offseason as Tennessee did with the post-Spring departure of QB Nico Iamaleava. It was the biggest story of the offseason and will undoubtedly create questions entering 2025.

Those question marks have the Vols outside the Top-10 in odds to win the SEC Championship despite coming off of one of their better seasons both all-time and under Josh Heupel as he goes into Year Five on Rocky Top.

12. Missouri Tigers (+8000)

The final program in that six-way tie at 5-3 was Missouri, who finished at 10-3 to have back-to-back double-digit win seasons under Eli Drinkwitz. However, three conference road losses cost them their chances at contention for the SEC Championship or a spot in the CFP.

Now, losing staples from the offense, namely QB Brady Cook, RB Nate Noel, and WRs Luther Burden and Theo Wease Jr., Mizzou will be trying to be back in that chase with their returners on defense paired with the No. 7 portal class per On3. How that goes in CoMo, though, remains to be seen for the Tigers.

13. Arkansas Razorbacks (+15000)

With the odds doubling at this slot and here on out, these are the teams who are least likely to be playing in Atlanta come December. That starts with Arkansas, who, with another average finish, enters this season with Sam Pittman again under hot seat consideration.

The Razorbacks do have some pieces back from their offense last year, namely QB Taylen Green. Still, with the amount of portal losses they had, the ‘Hogs aren’t projected to be in contention for the SEC Championship next season.

14. Kentucky Wildcats (+30000)

Mark Stoops
(Jordan Prather | Imagn Images)

The odds doubled again from here on with a three-way tie for longest shot in the league to win the SEC Championship. First up of the trio is Kentucky, which is coming off arguably the most disappointing season of their dozen total under Mark Stoops with a 4-8 (1-7) record in 2024.

The Wildcats now have an all-new team based on their Top-20 class in the transfer portal per On3. Still, considering the state of the program and having never made it to the SEC title game in its history, this doesn’t look to be the season they’ll be doing it in Lexington.

15. Mississippi State (+30000)

Mississippi State had one of its worst seasons in program history last year at 2-10 overall and 0-8 in the SEC. They’ve since had plenty of roster turnover as well with returning production moreso coming from the defense, the worse of their two units last year, and several transfer transactions.

That said, the Bulldogs shouldn’t be expected to compete in the second year under head coach Jeff Lebby. Their program is still being built with more realistic goals for improvement in mind for them this fall rather than being in an SEC Championship.

16. Vanderbilt Commodores (+30000)

This could come as a surprise considering the season that Vanderbilt had last fall, with its first winning season in 11 years. The ‘Dores did lose their final three in the regular season but built momentum with a 6-3 start, including wins over Virginia Tech, Alabama in the upset of the year, at Kentucky, and at Auburn before their first bowl win in the same span over Georgia Tech.

That said, with a lot of returning production, most importantly with QB Diego Pavia, RB Sedrick Alexander, and TE Eli Stowers with even more then back on defense, as well as a Top-30 portal class, Vandy could be best positioned to again outperform their position in what’s going to be Year Five for Clark Lea.