College Football Odds: Ranking the ACC with Las Vegas 2024 win totals from top to bottom

On3 imageby:Nick Schultz02/10/24


ACC Football Logo
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Spring ball is coming quick, and the preparations are underway for the 2024 season. The win total odds are now for ACC teams, and some could make some noise in college football this coming season.

Three ACC programs – Clemson, Florida State and Miami – are all projected to win 9.5 games, according to FanDuel. The Seminoles had the best 2023 season of the group and are looking to repeat as conference champions. They rattled off a 13-0 record to win the ACC Championship before falling to Georgia in the Orange Bowl.

Here’s how Las Vegas projects each team’s win total this year.

Clemson – 9.5 (over +116, under -142)

Clemson HC Dabo Swinney
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Clemson had an up-and-down year in 2023 en route to a 9-4 record. That meant Dabo Swinney’s streak of 10-win seasons came to an end, and the Tigers will look to get back to that mark in 2024.

Cade Klubnik is back for another go-round as Clemson’s starting quarterback as he looks to find some more consistency in his second year in Garrett Riley’s scheme. Last season, he threw for 2,844 yards and 19 touchdowns in his first full season as the starter.

Florida State – 9.5 (over +120, under -148)

FSU HC Mike Norvell
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Mike Norvell and Florida State loaded up prior to the 2023 season, the Seminoles turned it into an ACC championship. While they didn’t make the College Football Playoff in a highly controversial decision, they still orchestrated an impressive 13-1 season to create momentum going into 2024, and they have strong odds to find similar success.

With Jordan Travis off to the NFL, FSU dove into the transfer portal to find his replacement, landing DJ Uiagalelei to take over at quarterback. The oddsmakers have high hopes for Florida State once again, and the quest for a repeat is on.

Miami – 9.5 (over +116, under -142)

Miami HC Mario Cristobal
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It’s been an interesting first two years for Mario Cristobal at Miami, but the Hurricanes showed improvement in 2023 en route to a 7-6 record. They’ve been hot on the recruiting trail, though, and that’s a reason why there’s so much optimism around the program this year.

Miami’s most notable addition comes from the portal in quarterback Cam Ward, who initially declared for the NFL Draft before deciding to return to college. Add in a highly touted recruiting class filled with impact talent, and the Hurricanes could have the makings for a big season in 2024.

Louisville – 8.5 (over -118, under -104)

Louisville coach Jeff Brohm
(Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports)

It would’ve been tough to script a better first season at Louisville for Jeff Brohm. He turned his alma mater around immediately, taking the Cardinals to the ACC title game just one year after a 7-5 record in 2022.

Louisville was a big winner in the portal last year, and that’s the case again this year. The Cardinals currently rank No. 1 in the On3 Team Transfer Portal Index, meaning Brohm is again bringing big-time talent to town in hopes of replicating last season’s success.

NC State – 8.5 (over +102, under -128)

Dave Doeren
© Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

NC State won five straight games to end the 2023 season to finish with a 9-4 record. Then, the Wolfpack dove into the portal and landed Grayson McCall to come in at quarterback, and the oddsmakers say NCSU can repeat last year’s success.

Dave Doeren has now led NC State to three straight eight-win seasons, and the college football odds suggest he could find himself in line for a fourth amid his reload. The Wolfpack will start the 2024 season Aug. 31 against Western Carolina.

North Carolina – 8.5 (over +132, under -162)

North Carolina HC Mack Brown
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North Carolina is going to start a new chapter in 2024. Drake Maye is off to the NFL and Max Johnson is in at quarterback, meaning Tar Heels fans are going to see a new look under center.

UNC is coming off two straight eight-win seasons, although Mack Brown addressed his desire to get over that hump this year. The Tar Heels haven’t won 10 games in a season since 2015, and the oddsmakers say they could be in that conversation in 2024.

SMU – 7.5 (over -115, under -105)

SMU HC Rhett Lashlee
© Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

One of three newcomers to the ACC, SMU is coming off another American Athletic Conference title in its last year in the league. Now, the Mustangs will be jumping up to the Power Four level, and they’ll try to make some noise in their new conference.

Rhett Lashlee is off to a hot start to his tenure at SMU, including an 11-3 record a season ago to get to 18-9. The Mustangs are going to see a step up going to the ACC, but the oddsmakers suggest they could still hang around that eight-win mark.

Virginia Tech – 7.5 (over -130, under +106)

Brent Pry-Virginia Tech
(Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports)

After a tough first season under Brent Pry, Virginia Tech found its groove in 2023 en route to a 7-6 record to get back to a bowl game. Now, it will be about keeping that momentum going, and the oddsmakers suggest Pry can do just that.

Virginia Tech has some opportunities early in its schedule to keep things on the right track as Pry enters Year 3 at the helm. The Hokies kick things off Aug. 31 against Vanderbilt.

Cal – 6.5 (over +116, under -142)

Cal head coach Justin Wilcox
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Another ACC newcomer, Cal put together a solid bounce-back in 2023. The Golden Bears went 7-6 after dropping the Independence Bowl – their first bowl game appearance after three straight absences.

Justin Wilcox has some momentum as his team heads to its new league after a groundbreaking wave of conference realignment. Cal will kick off the season Aug. 31 against UC Davis.

Duke – 6.5 (over +108, under -132)

© Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

After working as Penn State’s defensive coordinator, Manny Diaz is back in the ACC as a head coach. He’s taking over for Mike Elko and will try to continue what he started at Duke the last few years.

Diaz quickly made a splash in the portal after arriving in Durham. He brought in former Texas quarterback Maalik Murphy as one of the most notable transfer additions this year, giving Duke its quarterback for the 2024 season.

Syracuse – 6.5 (over -112, under -108)

Mark Konezny | USA TODAY Sports

With multiple high-profile additions this offseason, Syracuse is emerging as one of the more intriguing teams in college football, and the Orange’s odds of making a bowl game are strong in the eyes of Las Vegas. Syracuse is coming off a 5-6 record a season ago, but Fran Brown is already overhauling the roster.

Kyle McCord is now in as quarterback after a solid season at Ohio State, and former Texas A&M EDGE Fadil Diggs is in to anchor the defense. All eyes will be on Syracuse this year to see if the Orange can not only reach bowl eligibility, but also hit their win total.

Georgia Tech – 5.5 (over +110, under -134)

Georgia Tech head coach Brent Key
© Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Brent Key put together a solid first full season as Georgia Tech head coach. He led the Yellow Jackets to a 7-6 record in 2023 to get the program to a bowl game and improve to 11-10 during his time at the helm after taking over in the interim in 2022.

Georgia Tech will have a tall task to start the year in 2024, heading to Dublin to take on Florida State. Still, the expectation is the program will be on the precipice of bowl eligibility once again in Key’s second full season.

Pitt – 5.5 (over -150, under +122)

Pitt-Pat Narduzzi
(Ivan Pierre Aguirre-USA TODAY Sports)

The 2023 season was a rough one for Pat Narduzzi and Pitt. The Panthers finished just 3-9, with a victory over Louisville serving as one of the only bright spots.

Nonetheless, the oddsmakers think Pitt can get back in the bowl conversation with an over-under of 5.5 wins in 2024. It could be a big year for Narduzzi to try and right the ship.

Boston College – 4.5 (over -112, under -108)

Bill O'Brien

Boston College found itself in a unique spot after Jeff Hafley left to become the defensive coordinator of the Green Bay Packers. The Eagles turned to Columbus to bring Bill O’Brien back to New England after his very brief stint as Ohio State’s offensive coordinator.

Now, the challenge will be finding out what Boston College’s roster will look like in 2024. The Eagles had a 30-day window open after Hafley’s departure, meaning O’Brien has to see what he has to work with as spring ball awaits right around the corner.

Virginia – 4.5 (over -110, under -110)

Virginia HC Tony Elliott
(Reggie Hildred | USA TODAY Sports)

Tony Elliott’s tenure at Virginia got off to a rough start. The Cavaliers have on three games in each of the last two seasons, although the oddsmakers think that number could improve at least a little bit in 2024.

UVA has won just three ACC games over the last two seasons, meaning it’s going to be an important year for Elliott in Year 3. The Cavaliers kick things off Aug. 31 against Richmond.

Wake Forest – 4.5 (over -108, under -112)

Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson
© Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Wake Forest struggled mightily in the post-Sam Hartman era, finishing with a 4-8 record in 2023. With Hank Bachmeier now in at quarterback out of the portal, the Demon Deacons will try to avoid a repeat – although the oddsmakers think it might not be much of an improvement.

Bachmeier is going to be a key part of turning things around in Winston Salem. All eyes will be on how Wake Forest bounces back in 2024, although the over-under is set at just 4.5 wins.

Stanford – 3.5 (over +110, under -134)

Stanford HC Troy Taylor
© Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

The final new face in the ACC, the sense is Stanford could struggle in its first year out of the Pac-12. The Cardinal struggled to a 3-9 mark in Troy Taylor’s first season at the helm, and they could be back around that mark in the eyes of the oddsmakers.

It’ll be even tougher for Taylor in 2024, now switching conferences as he gets ready for his second year after replacing David Shaw. Stanford kicks off its first ACC season Aug. 30 against TCU.

Odds are it’ll be an interesting year in the ACC, especially considering the expansion of the College Football Playoff. With some new names to learn and teams looking to bounce back, the win totals provide a barometer of what the expectations are for all 17 programs.