Florida vs. Arkansas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

No. 8 Florida (14-1, 1-1 SEC) travels to Fayetteville to play John Calipari’s Arkansas Razorbacks (11-4, 0-2 SEC) for another installment of the guantlet that is their SEC schedules this season.

Arkansas is seeking its first win in SEC play against the Gators inside Bud Walton Arena, while Florida is coming off the most impressive win by any team this season on Tuesday — a 30-point blowout of previously undefeated and top-ranked Tennessee.

Ahead of tip-off, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into Saturday’s exciting slate of college basketball.

Odds for Gators vs. Razorbacks

Entering Saturday’s SEC matchup, Florida (-188) is a 4.5-point favorite over Arkansas (+155) on the road, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 156.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.5
BPI Win probability (for Gators): 59.9%
BPI Matchup Quality: 85.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.5 points in the Gators’ favor. It also gives the Gators a nearly 60 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 80, Arkansas 74
KenPom Win probability (for Gators): 71%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Razorbacks to lose.

How to watch Florida vs. Arkansas

Time: 4 p.m. ET – Saturday, Jan. 11
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Bud Walton Arena – Fayetteville, AR

It’s been nearly an entire calendar year since the last meeting between these two program. Florida bested Arkansas 90-68 in Bud Walton on Jan. 13 last year. However, Arkansas previously won the last three matchups before 2024’s matchup. Since the turn of the century, Florida has defeated Arkansas 25 times.

This Arkansas team looks a bit different, though. John Calipari brought a majority of his players and recruits with him to Fayetteville from Lexington. Even still, the Gators defeated last year’s Calipari-led Wildcats squad 94-91 in overtime.

Coming off a win like Tuesday’s against Tennessee, the Gators have all the momentum in the world and will look to carry it into a likely hostile environment inside Bud Walton Arena on Saturday afternoon.