Oregon vs. Colorado odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Pac 12 Championship

Dana Altman and the Oregon Ducks are questing for a bid-stealing berth into the NCAA Tournament with a matchup against Colorado in the Pac-12 championship game.

The Ducks last made a surprise run to the finals in 2019, when Oregon upset its way to a Pac-12 Tournament championship and made the field as a 12-seed before ultimately rolling through to the Sweet 16. Will more such fireworks be in store for today? Or, will the Buffaloes nab that auto bid all for themselves?

See what the oddsmakers and various prediction models think just below:

Odds for Oregon vs. Colorado

FanDuel spread: Colorado -2.5 points
FanDuel money line: Colorado (-138), Oregon (+115)
FanDuel over/under: 143.5 points

Colorado gets the slight nod from FanDuel as just over two-point favorites to end the Ducks’ mini-cinderella run in the Pac-12 tourney. Meanwhile, the over-under is a little bit up there at 143.5 with the teams needing to average roughly 72 points to hit that over.

Final score predictions

KenPom final score: 76-72 Colorado
KenPom win probability: Colorado 65%

KenPom is also riding with Tad Boyle’s group in this game, but not by much, as they still assign Oregon a 35% chance of pulling yet another upset to steal a bid and make the big dance. Obviously, the entire bubble will be watching this one and pulling desperately for the Buffaloes, who are already safely in the field.

BPI prediction: Colorado by 2.9 points
BPI win probability: Colorado 61.7%
BPI matchup quality: 85.6 (7th best of the day)

The BPI is in line with FanDuel and KenPom with predicting a slight Colorado victory. However, ESPN’s numbers have Oregon slightly closer to the Buffs than the other two as less than three-point underdogs while also possessing a nearly 40% chance to win the ballgame outright.

How to watch

Time: 6 p.m. PT
Channel: (FOX), FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada (T-Mobile Arena)

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

Live from Paradise later this evening, Oregon and Colorado meet in the championship game of a Pac-12 Tournament that was broken wide open after the two clubs knocked off respective 1- and 2-seeds Arizona and Washington State. To the winner goes a guaranteed NCAA Tournament berth, which would mean a heck of a lot more for one program vs. the other. Either way, an electric matchup coming later this evening.