Texas A&M vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Aggies, Tide
Texas A&M heads to Tuscaloosa for a battle with the SEC’s top dog in No. 15 Alabama inside Coleman Coliseum.
Alabama sits alone atop the SEC standings heading into Saturday’s slate having won five of their last six games. Meanwhile for the Aggies, they’re coming off a buzzer-beating road loss against Vanderbilt which had snapped a three-game win streak at the time.
Now, the two teams meet in what will be their first and only meeting of the regular season. A win for Alabama will keep them No. 1 in the SEC, while a loss will create even more turmoil among the six teams that are within two games of the top spot.
Odds for Texas A&M vs. Alabama
Coming into the game, Alabama is an 8.5-point favorite over Texas A&M, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Crimson Tide are currently listed at -350 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Aggies are sitting at +275.
The point total for the game is set at 160.5 points. Alabama comes into the game averaging 80.0 points per game — No. 1 in the SEC and No. 3 in the country. Meanwhile, Texas A&M averages 74.2 points, 11th best in the conference.
Final score predictions for Texas A&M vs. Alabama
BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 12.4
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 86.6 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 80.9
ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 12.4 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide a 86.6 percent chance to win the game over the Aggies at home.
BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 80.9, which ranks No. 17 in quality scores predicted for the day.
KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 85, Texas A&M 75
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 82 percent
KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Alabama and Texas A&M, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Aggies to lose by roughly 8-13 points.
How to watch Texas A&M vs. Alabama
Time: Noon ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coleman Coliseum — Tuscaloosa, Alabama
The opening tip between the Crimson Tide and Aggies is scheduled for Noon ET and will air live on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.