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Texas A&M vs. Tennessee odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Aggies, Vols

Barkley-Truaxby: Barkley Truax02/24/24BarkleyTruax
Santiago Vescovi
COLLEGE STATION, TX - February 10, 2024 - Guard Santiago Vescovi #25 of the Tennessee Volunteers during the game between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Tennessee Volunteers at Reed Arena in College Station, TX. Photo By Andrew Ferguson/Tennessee Athletics

Texas A&M travels to Knoxville for a meeting with No. 5 Tennessee on Saturday. The Aggies will be looking to sweep the season series with a win.

The two squads met on Feb. 10 in College Station and saw Texas A&M rout the Vols 85-69. Ever since, Tennessee has rattled off three-straight wins while the Aggies are 0-3 over the same span.

A win for the Vols would inch them closer to catching up to Alabama for the top spot in the current SEC standings. Tennessee currently occupies second place, one game back from the Crimson Tide heading into Saturday — which makes the matchup against the Aggies a must-win scenario. Meanwhile, the Aggies are looking to play spoiler on the road.

Odds for Texas A&M vs. Tennessee

Coming into the game, Tennessee is a 10.5-point favorite over Texas A&M, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Vols are currently listed at -650 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Aggies are sitting at +460.

The point total for the game is set at 145.5 points.

Final score predictions for Texas A&M vs. Tennessee

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 13.2
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 89.0 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 80.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 13.2 points in Tennessee’s favor. It also gives the Vols an 89.0 percent chance to win the game over the Aggies at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 80.4, which ranks No. 14 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 77, Texas A&M 66
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 85 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Texas A&M and Tennessee, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ decision to have the Vols take care of the Aggies on their home court.

How to watch Texas A&M vs. Tennessee

Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Thompson-Bolin Arena — Knoxville, Tennessee

The opening tip between the Aggies and Vols is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET and will air live on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.