UNC vs. Duke odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

College basketball’s premier rivalry returns on Saturday evening, as the North Carolina Tar Heels will travel to Durham to face the Duke Blue Devils.

UNC is 13-9 on the season, and Hubert Davis is looking for better effort from his squad entering the showdown. They’ve lost three of their last four games, including an eight-point loss to Pittsburgh during their last time on the hardwood.

On the other hand, Duke is humming at the moment. Jon Scheyer’s team is 18-2 on the season, and they’re riding an impressive wave. They defeated NC State by ten in their last game, and the Blue Devils will hope to keep the good times rolling on Saturday against the Tar Heels.

Odds for UNC vs. Duke

Coming into the game, Duke is a 13.5-point favorite over UNC, per FanDuel. The Blue Devils are also currently listed at -1300 for the money-line right now, while the Tar Heels are sitting at +760.

The point total for the game is currently set at 148.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for UNC vs. Duke

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 13.4
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 89.6%
BPI Matchup Quality: 86.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 13.4 points in Duke’s favor. It also gives the Blue Devils a 89.6% chance to win the game over the Tar Heels.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 86.7, which is the seventh-best quality score of Saturday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 81, UNC 66
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 92%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and UNC, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to be victorious.

How to watch UNC vs. Duke

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke and UNC are set to tip off at 6:30 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, as part of a huge ACC showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball.

For fans outside of North Carolina, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.