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Wisconsin vs. Illinois odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Big Ten Tournament championship

ns_headshot_2024-clearby: Nick Schultz03/16/24NickSchultz_7
Illinois vs. Wisconsin
© Mark Hoffman - USA TODAY Sports

The Big Ten Tournament championship is officially set. It will be Wisconsin taking on Illinois at the Target Center on Sunday to try and lock up an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.

The Badgers got Semifinal Saturday started in a big way, defeating Purdue in overtime thanks to a last-second shot from Max Klesmit with 4.8 seconds to play. That set up the matchup against Illinois, which came all the way back to defeat Nebraska 98-87 to advance to the championship. Terrence Shannon Jr. had a historic day, as well, with 40 points to set the new Big Ten Tournament record.

Now, the odds and predictions are in for the Big Ten Tournament championship.

Odds for Wisconsin vs. Illinois

Illinois opened as a 2.5-point favorite over Wisconsin, according to FanDuel. The over-under is 150.5.

The Fighting Illini and Badgers previously squared off earlier this month at the Kohl Center in Madison. Illinois took a three-point lead into halftime that night before ultimately getting the 91-83 victory on March 2.

Final Score predictions for Wisconsin vs. Illinois

KenPom predicted final score: Illinois 79, Wisconsin 77
KenPom win probability (for Illinois): 56%

According to KenPom, Illinois will have the slight edge over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament championship. The Fighting Illini have a 56% chance of pulling off a 79-77 victory.

As of Saturday evening, Illinois was the second highest-ranked Big Ten team in the overall KenPom rankings at No. 10. Wisconsin, meanwhile, checked in at No. 17 following its victory over Purdue.

How to watch Wisconsin vs. Illinois

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Minneapolis, Minn.

Sunday’s Big Ten Tournament championship will tip off at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS. That will serve as the setup for the Selection Show, which will follow Wisconsin vs. Illinois on CBS at 6 p.m. ET.

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

Illinois and Wisconsin are both squarely in the March Madness field, meaning Sunday’s championship game will play a key role in seeding. On3’s James Fletcher III projected the Fighting Illini as a No. 4 seed in his Bracketology Saturday afternoon, while Wisconsin came in as a No. 5 seed.