College Football Cheat Sheet: Week 5

On3 imageby:Adam Luckett09/29/23


Week 5 Picks: Notre Dame @ Duke

The last weekend in September is off and running in college football. On Thursday night, we saw WKU begin their run towards a C-USA, Rich Rodriguez‘s Jacksonville State team recorded another win while transitioning from FCS to FBS, and Tulsa rocked Temple at home. This was only the beginning.

There are four games on Friday night before a jam-packed Saturday. However, some bye weeks make this a less loaded card, but there’s still plenty to get excited about as the college football season rolls into October after this Saturday.

KSR’s College Football Cheat Sheet is back to provide a full preview of the weekend that will include the complete TV schedule, top games, gambling content, significant matchups, and other thoughts.

Let’s ride like Broncos country.

The Slate

Louisville at NC State7:00pm ET (Friday)ESPN
Louisiana Tech at UTEP9:00pm ET (Friday)CBS Sports Network
No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State9:00pm ET (Friday)FS1
Cincinnati at BYU10:15pm ET (Friday)ESPN
UAB at TulaneNoon ETESPN2
South Alabama at James MadisonNoon ETESPNU
Buffalo at AkronNoon ETESPN+
No. 22 Florida at KentuckyNoon ETESPN
Louisiana at MinnesotaNoon ETBig Ten Network
No. 6 Penn State at NorthwesternNoon ETBig Ten Network
Texas A&M vs. ArkansasNoon ETSEC Network
Utah State at UConnNoon ETCBS Sports Network
No. 8 USC at ColoradoNoon ETFOX
Clemson at SyracuseNoon ETABC
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan1:30pm ETESPN+
Virginia at Boston College2:00pm ETThe CW
Miami (Ohio) at Kent State2:30pm ETESPN+
Arizona State at California3:00pm ETPac-12 Network
Baylor at UCF3:30pm ETFS1
Northern Illinois at Toledo3:30pm ETESPNU
Ball State at Western Michigan3:30pm ETESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall3:30pm ETESPN+
Arkansas State at UMass3:30pm ETESPN+
No. 24 Kansas at No. 3 Texas3:30pm ETABC
Houston at Texas Tech3:30pm ETFS2
USF at Navy3:30pm ETCBS Sports Network
Indiana at Maryland3:30pm ETBig Ten Network
Illinois at Purdue3:30pm ETPeacock
No. 1 Georgia at Auburn3:30pm ETCBS
Bowling Green at Georgia Tech3:30pm ETACC Network
No. 2 Michigan at Nebraska3:30pm ETFOX
Boise State at Memphis4:00pm ETESPN2
No. 23 Missouri at Vanderbilt4:00pm ETSEC Network
Hawai’i at UNLV4:00pm ETMountain West Network
New Mexico at Wyoming4:00pm ETMountain West Network
No. 13 LSU at No. 20 Ole Miss6:00pm ETESPN
No. 6 Oregon at Stanford6:30pm ETPac-12 Network
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern7:00pm ETNFL Network
Troy at Georgia State7:00pm ETESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss7:00pm ETESPN+
Iowa State at No. 14 Oklahoma7:00pm ETFS1
East Carolina at Rice7:00pm ETESPN+
Michigan State at Iowa7:30pm ETNBC
South Carolina at No. 21 Tennessee7:30pm ETSEC Network
No. 11 Notre Dame at No. 17 Duke7:30pm ETABC
Charlotte at SMU7:30pm ETESPNU
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech8:00pm ETACC Network
West Virginia at TCU8:00pm ETESPN2
Appalachian State at ULM8:00pm ETESPN+
San Diego State at Air Force8:00pm ETCBS Sports Network
No. 12 Alabama at Mississippi State9:00pm ETESPN
No. 7 Washington at Arizona10:00pm ETPac-12 Network
Nevada at No. 25 Fresno State10:30pm ETFS1
Week 5 schedule

Top 10 Games

  1. No. 11 Notre Dame at No. 17 Duke
  2. No. 13 LSU at No. 20 Ole Miss
  3. No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State
  4. No. 24 Kansas at No. 3 Texas
  5. No. 22 Florida at Kentucky
  6. No. 1 Georgia at Auburn
  7. Louisville at NC State
  8. Clemson at Syracuse
  9. Texas A&M vs. Arkansas
  10. No. 8 USC at Colorado

College Football Gambling Corner

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Luckett’s Locks: There’s no such thing as a bad card

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Monster Friday Night

In a typical college football season, we don’t get many crazy Friday nights. There are often only one or two games and they hardly ever matter in conference championship races or feature ranked teams. That is not the case in Week 5.

There are three power conference games on the slate this weekend, and each could be considered a swing for all six teams involved.

Louisville at NC State: The vibes are strong at Louisville as alum Jeff Brohm has ignited the fan base. The Cardinals are explosive on offense and pulled off some clutch red zone plays on defense against Georgia Tech and Indiana to remain undefeated. Louisville has sold out next week’s home game with Notre Dame, but they must get by NC State first. Dave Doeren is 18-2 in home games since 2021 and has covered three straight as a home dog. The Wolfpack appear limited offensively, but this will be UofL’s biggest test. Things can get weird on Friday nights.

Utah at Oregon State: As of right now, we have to assume that Utah star quarterback Cameron Rising will miss another game this week. Utah is winning with defense only right now and must face an Oregon State team that ranks top-10 in success rate and EPA/play on offense. The Utes probably see their strong luck run out against the Beavers as the Pac-12 title race starts to take shape.

Cincinnati at BYU: Both teams got off to a 0-1 start in conference play last week. Each needs a win. Things are looking better for Kalani Sitake after BYU knocked off Arkansas in Week 3. The same can’t be said for Scott Satterfield who dropped a home game to Miami (Ohio). A loss here would drop the Bearcats to 2-3 heading into the bye. That’s not the start Satterfield needed to get off to. The road team could be facing some pressure if the Bearcats can’t get a late-night win in Provo.

Notre Dame’s Hangover

Last week’s result had to be a tough pill to swallow for Notre Dame. The Irish did not have 11 men on the field for some crucial defensive snaps late and allowed a huge opportunity slip through their fingers against Ohio State. The schedule is not doing head coach Marcus Freeman any favors.

The Irish hit the road this week to play a ranked Duke squad in what will be the most anticipated home football game in Durham in a long time. Next week, Notre Dame will travel to Louisville to face a team with a ton of momentum in another atmosphere that will be the best that program has seen since Lamar Jackson was on campus. Then USC comes to town.

Notre Dame better buckle in fast.

The Irish are the better team in this matchup, but this is a tough spot. Duke has been outstanding at home under Mike Elko and will be looking to claim their second monster home win of the season after knocking off Clemson on Labor Day. Can Riley Leonard create some more Wallace-Wade Stadium magic?

Saturday night could tell us a lot about the Irish.

Potential elimination game in the SEC West

On Saturday evening, Lane Kiffin‘s Ole Miss squad will welcome Brian Kelly‘s LSU squad to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium for an important game in the SEC. Both teams already have one loss on the season. Another defeat takes the Rebels out of the SEC West race. Another defeat takes LSU out of the College Football Playoff Race.

There are real stakes in Oxford in a game that should turn into a track meet.

Both offenses rank inside the top 20 in EPA/play with each passing game leading the way. Surprisingly, Ole Miss has the better defense in this matchup, but Kiffin’s team will need to get to 30-plus points to win this game on Saturday.

The visitor is 2-8 outright and 1-9 ATS in this matchup over the last decade. Can Kelly’s bunch buck that trend? This will be a significant SEC football game where overreactions will be rampant for the losing team.

Another possible statement game for Texas

Steve Sarkisian‘s third team at Texas keeps answering the bell. The Longhorns outlasted Alabama and blasted Baylor on the road. Now the Big 12 favorite will get its biggest home test of the season when Kansas rolls into Austin with a top-10 offense and defense that will struggle to create stops in conference play.

Do the Horns allow Kansas to push this game into the fourth quarter or can they put the clamps on Jalon Daniels and make this meeting a blowout once again? Next week looms large when Texas faces Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl, but this week could also tell us some about Texas.

Are you a wagon or not?

Revenge matchup for Tennessee

The Vols were not happy with what happened the last time this program faced South Carolina. In the SEC rematch, Tennessee is getting a night home kickoff on the SEC Network and is breaking out the dark mode jerseys again at Neyland Stadium.

Yet another SEC East clash that could go a long way in determining the final standings. South Carolina’s defense has been legitimately bad, but Spencer Rattler (74.2% completion rate, 9.7 yards per attempt) is pacing an electric passing game. Meanwhile, Tennessee is getting some average quarterback play from Joe Milton III and can struggle to score if you slow down the running attack. I do not believe South Carolina can do that.

The Gamecocks have the better quarterback, but Tennessee has the ground game, the crowd, and possibly the defense. Expect some fireworks on Rocky Top.

College Football Degenerate Under: Michigan State at Iowa Under 36.5

Last week’s play cashed with ease as both Iowa State and Oklahoma State showed signs of life on offense. I do not believe the same thing will happen in Iowa City this week.

The Hawkeyes played gross football last week against Penn State, cannot run the football, and still have an anemic passing game. Michigan State is in the middle of a head coaching search and only scored 16 total points in home games against Washington and Maryland.

Get ready for a lot of punts at Kinnick Stadium.

The rest of the college football card

— Colorado gets another big viewing window when USC rolls into Folsom Field. After getting embarrassed by Oregon, we should see a better effort from the Buffaloes this week, but getting stops against Caleb Williams will be difficult. Can Sean Lewis, Shedeur Sanders, and the rest of this offense score enough points to keep pace? That’s likely the only way Colorado hangs around.

— One of the most underrated matchups on the card is a neutral site game in the SEC West when Arkansas plays Texas A&M at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Both teams have defensive issues, and Max Johnson will get the start at QB for the Aggies, and Arkansas is coming off consecutive losses. A big game for both sides in this rivalry.

— Who is the worst team in the ACC? We’ll likely find that out when 1-3 Boston College hosts 0-4 Virginia. This conference has a legit national title contender in Florida State, but the rest of the league has some issues. Most notably, the bottom is pretty bad.

— Over in West Lafayette, we will get a mid-day student vs. teacher matchup when former Illinois defensive coordinator Ryan Walters welcomes his old team to Purdue. Both Big Ten West programs are off to slow starts and need a victory. Can Bret Bielema move to 1-0 against a former assistant?

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