Kentucky's projected SEC Tournament path after last night's results

After last night’s results, the SEC standings are a complete mess; however, Kentucky’s spot in the tournament bracket is becoming clearer.

Auburn’s overtime win over Mississippi State and Arkansas’ win over LSU eliminated Kentucky from the race for the No. 2 seed. The Cats are now tied with Arkansas and Tennessee for second in the standings behind Auburn; however, due to tiebreakers, Kentucky is currently in fourth place. We’ll get into the nitty-gritty of the scenarios in just a moment, but if the Cats beat Florida, they will get the No. 3 seed and play late Friday night. If they lose to the Gators, they’ll be the No. 4 seed, playing the second game on Friday afternoon with a potential rematch vs. Auburn on Saturday.

Here are the standings and seeds after last night. While the top of the pack is becoming more defined, there’s a huge logjam in the middle.

Current Standings – March 3

TEAM	CONF	PCT	GB	OVR	REMAINING
Auburn	14-3	0.824	–	26-4	South Carolina
Arkansas	13-4	0.765	1	24-6	at Tennessee
Kentucky	13-4	0.765	1	24-6	at Florida
Tennessee	13-4	0.765	1	22-7	Arkansas
Alabama	9-8	0.529	5	19-11	at LSU
Florida	9-8	0.529	5	19-11	Kentucky
South Carolina	9-8	0.529	5	18-11	at Auburn
LSU	8-9	0.471	6	20-10	Alabama
Texas A&M	8-9	0.471	6	19-11	Mississippi State
Mississippi State	8-9	0.471	6	17-13	at Texas A&M
Vanderbilt	6-11	0.353	8	14-15	at Ole Miss
Ole Miss	4-13	0.235	10	13-17	Vanderbilt
Missouri	4-13	0.235	10	10-20	Georgia
Georgia	1-16	0.059	13	6-24	at Missouri

Seeds Based On Current Standings

1. Auburn (14-3)
2. Arkansas (13-4) – Best winning percentage in pool play vs. Tennessee and Kentucky
3. Tennessee (13-4) – Tiebreaker over Kentucky due to win over No. 1 seed Auburn
4. Kentucky (13-4)
5. Alabama (9-8) – Best winning percentage in pool play vs. Florida and South Carolina
6. Florida (9-8)
7. South Carolina (9-8)
8. LSU (8-9) – Best winning percentage in pool play vs. Texas A&M and Mississippi State
9. Texas A&M (8-9) – Gets tiebreaker over Mississippi State due to win over No. 5 seed Alabama
10. Mississippi State (8-9)
11. Vanderbilt (6-11)
12. Missouri (4-13) – Beat Ole Miss in both meetings
13. Ole Miss (4-13)
14. Georgia (1-16)

With one game left for each team, the standings and seeds are going to change. Here are the KenPom predictions for each game and how they will impact the seedings.

KenPom predictions for Saturday’s games

• Tennessee 72, Arkansas 66
• LSU 77, Alabama 72
• Auburn 79, South Carolina 63
• Kentucky 75, Florida 69
• Missouri 76, Georgia 70
• Ole Miss 68, Vanderbilt 67
• Texas A&M 69, Mississippi State 67

Seeds based on KenPom projections

1. Auburn (15-3)
2. Tennessee (14-4) – Tiebreaker over Kentucky due to win over No. 1 seed Auburn
3. Kentucky (14-4)
4. Arkansas (13-5)
5. LSU (9-9) – Best record vs. tied teams in pool play
6. Alabama (9-9)
7. South Carolina (9-9)
8. Texas A&M (9-9)
9. Florida (9-9)
10. Mississippi State (8-10)
11. Vanderbilt (6-2)
12. Missouri (5-13)
13. Ole Miss (5-13)
14. Georgia (1-17)

Bracket based on Projected Standings

If chalk holds, Kentucky will face the winner of Alabama and Vanderbilt vs. Georgia around 8:30 p.m. Friday night in Tampa. The winner of Saturday’s Tennessee vs. Arkansas game could be waiting in the semifinals.