Score predictions for opening round of the 2025 Kentucky high school football playoffs

The Kentucky high school football playoffs have arrived. Nearly 90 games will kick off the postseason throughout Thursday and Friday as we begin the run to crowning six state champions in early December.

With severe weather potentially on the way, we’ve seen a significant number of games bumped up from Friday to Thursday. 13 schools that are either in KSR’s Top 25 or receiving votes will take the field on Thursday, followed by another loaded slate on Friday. The KSR Game of the Week will be in Lexington for Friday’s showdown between Lafayette and Bryan Station. As is usually the case in the first round of the playoffs, expect plenty of lopsided scores over the course of the next two days.

As we gear up for postseason action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the schedule for this weekend. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we can look up score predictions for every game happening across the state.

For a brief explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer-generated ratings based on historical trends and current-year statistics. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.

To learn more about the Massey Ratings and how they work, click here.

Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, including the additional teams receiving votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find its team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.

Thursday, November 6

*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Pre-Playoff Top 25 Rankings*

TIME (LOCAL)	MATCHUP	MASSEY PREDICTION
7:30 PM | 6A	Great Crossing @ No. 2 Trinity	49-7 (Trinity)
7:00 PM | 4A	Whitley County @ No. 4 Boyle County	47-0 (Boyle County)
7:00 PM | 6A	Southern @ No. 5 St. Xavier	49-0 (St. Xavier)
7:00 PM | 4A	Harrison County @ No. 8 Johnson Central	51-6 (Johnson Central)
7:00 PM | 4A	Waggener @ No. 9 Franklin County	52-6 (Franklin County)
7:00 PM | 6A	Henry Clay @ No. 14 Frederick Douglass	46-0 (Frederick Douglass)
7:00 PM | 5A	North Bullitt @ No. 15 Atherton	46-6 (Atherton)
7:00 PM | 2A	Metcalfe County @ No. 18 Lexington Christian Academy	48-6 (Lexington Christian Academy)
7:30 PM | 5A	East Jessamine @ No. 20 Pulaski County	49-7 (Pulaski County)
7:00 PM | 3A	Western @ No. 23 Lexington Catholic	48-0 (Lexington Catholic)
7:30 PM | 5A	Madison Southern @ RV North Laurel	39-6 (North Laurel)
7:00 PM | 5A	Conner @ RV Scott County	49-14 (Scott County)
7:30 PM | 4A	Russell County @ RV Corbin	49-7 (Corbin)

Friday, November 7

TIME (LOCAL)	MATCHUP	MASSEY PREDICTION
7:30 PM | 3A	Mercer County @ No. 1 Christian Academy-Louisville	50-7 (Christian Academy-Louisville)
7:00 PM | 4A	Greenup County @ No. 6 Highlands	48-7 (Highlands)
7:30 PM | 6A	Fern Creek @ No. 7 DuPont Manual	46-7 (DuPont Manual)
7:00 PM | 5A	South Oldham @ No. 10 Cooper	42-13 (Cooper)
7:30 PM | 6A	Eastern @ No. 11 Ryle	42-0 (Ryle)
7:00 PM | 5A	Grayson County @ No. 12 Owensboro	48-6 (Owensboro)
7:00 PM | 4A	Boyd County @ No. 13 Covington Catholic	47-7 (Covington Catholic)
7:00 PM | 4A	Taylor County @ No. 16 Paducah Tilghman	42-7 (Paducah Tilghman)
7:00 PM | 5A	Boone County @ No. 17 Woodford County	50-7 (Woodford County)
7:00 PM | 2A	Fort Campbell @ No. 21 Owensboro Catholic	50-7 (Owensboro Catholic)
7:30 PM | 3A	Powell County @ No. 22 Bell County	49-7 (Bell County)
7:30 PM | 2A	Leslie County @ No. 24 Belfry	50-7 (Belfry)
7:00 PM | 3A	Adair County @ RV Murray	42-6 (Murray)
7:00 PM | 6A	Pleasure Ridge Park @ RV Male	47-7 (Male)
7:00 PM | 5A	RV Madisonville-North Hopkins @ Greenwood	34-27 (Madisonville-North Hopkins)
7:00 PM | 3A	Webster County @ RV Glasgow	48-0 (Glasgow)
7:00 PM | 6A (KSR GOTW)	Bryan Station @ Lafayette	42-7 (Bryan Station)

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