2021 NOVA Pick'Em Week #10

falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
1,900
873
113
Battlefield (-14) @ Garfield
Patriot (-7) @ Champe
Mount Vernon @ Hayfield (-10)
Robinson (-24) @ Fairfax
West Springfield (-7) @ West Potomac
Centreville (-20) @ Oakton
Chantilly @ Westfield (-4)
South Lakes @ Madison (-27)
Riverside @ Briar Woods (E)
Broad Run (-17) @ Loudon County
 

tylerrossfc10

Sophomore
Sep 30, 2016
676
102
0
Battlefield (-14)
Patriot (-7)
Mount Vernon
Fairfax
West Potomac
Centreville (-20)
Westfield (-4)
Madison (-27)
Briar Woods (E)
Broad Run (-17)
 

Virginiahssports

All-Conference
Nov 12, 2001
7,515
1,825
0
Battlefield
Champe
Hayfield
Robinson
West Springfield
Centreville
Chantilly
Madison
Briar Woods
Broad Run
 

Red Neck

Redshirt
Jul 8, 2001
155
45
28
Battlefield (-14)
Patriot (-7)
Mount Vernon
Robinson (-24)
West Potomac
Centreville (-20)
Chantilly
South Lakes
Briar Woods
Loudon County
 

ReaperXV

Redshirt
Oct 8, 2021
97
36
0
Gar-field
Patriot (-7)
Mount Vernon
Fairfax
West Potomac
Centreville (-20)
Chantilly
Madison (-27)
Riverside
Broad Run (-17)

I'd love to know what the system you use to create the spreads!
 

falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
1,900
873
113
Gar-field
Patriot (-7)
Mount Vernon
Fairfax
West Potomac
Centreville (-20)
Chantilly
Madison (-27)
Riverside
Broad Run (-17)

I'd love to know what the system you use to create the spreads!
It is a (simple?) analysis of PF/PA, relative schedule strength, who a team has beaten, and 20 years of following NOVA football. I try to be objective but certainly there is some subjectivity that creeps in. I fully understand that some are almost certainly a bit off, so if you find one of those jump on it. :)

But in the end, this is HS football with a bunch of 15-18 year olds so a lot can happen.
 
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ReaperXV

Redshirt
Oct 8, 2021
97
36
0
Just curious as to what the system was:). Only one that stood out to me was Hayfield up ten over MV. Little high, considering MV has only quality losses, whereas Hayfield lost to Justice and Marshall.
 

ConcordeGuru

Redshirt
Nov 28, 2011
255
48
22
Battlefield (-14)
Patriot (-7)
Mount Vernon
Robinson (-24)
West Potomac
Centreville (-20)
Chantilly
Madison (-27)
Briar Woods (E)
Broad Run (-17)
 

otnorot

Junior
Aug 31, 2006
1,823
350
0
Battlefield
Patriot
Mount Vernon
Fairfax
West Potomac
Centreville
Chantilly
Madison
Riverside
Loudon County
 

otnorot

Junior
Aug 31, 2006
1,823
350
0
It is a (simple?) analysis of PF/PA, relative schedule strength, who a team has beaten, and 20 years of following NOVA football. I try to be objective but certainly there is some subjectivity that creeps in. I fully understand that some are almost certainly a bit off, so if you find one of those jump on it. :)

But in the end, this is HS football with a bunch of 15-18 year olds so a lot can happen.
You're doing a great job with the spreads this year. Hard to get more than 5 out of 10 right each week!
 

Red Neck

Redshirt
Jul 8, 2001
155
45
28
Battlefield (-14) @ Garfield
Patriot (-7) @ Champe
Mount Vernon @ Hayfield (-10)
Robinson (-24) @ Fairfax
West Springfield (-7) @ West Potomac
Centreville (-20) @ Oakton
Chantilly @ Westfield (-4)
South Lakes @ Madison (-27)
Riverside @ Briar Woods (E)
Broad Run (-17) @ Loudon County
Falcettik - have you heard any word about changing game-time for Tilly - WF? I've yet to be told, so assume it's still on for Friday. I'll let you know if I hear otherwise.
 

SCGamecock4

Freshman
Feb 21, 2008
142
52
28
Battlefield
Patriot
Mount Vernon
Robinson
West Springfield
Centreville
Chantilly
Madison
Briar Woods
Loudon County
 

falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
1,900
873
113
Battlefield @ Garfield - no pick
Patriot
Mount Vernon
Fairfax
West Potomac
Centreville
Westfield
Madison
Riverside @ Briar Woods - no pick
Loudon County