An egg bowl loss will seal Lebby's fate at State...

thekimmer

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Aug 30, 2012
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No matter what happens on black friday, Lebby will get a 3rd year. But if we lose the egg bowl, next year will just be playing out the string. Might be anyway, but he's got to win this one to keep any hope alive. A loss to mississippi will finish off fan base engagement which will kill NIL which will kill the portal, kill any hope to compete next season, and thusly, kill lebby's tenure.

I have very little confidence that we will win this game. Lebby has proven to be is a very stubborn man with very questionable judgement.
 
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L4Dawg

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No matter what happens on black friday, Lebby will get a 3rd year. But if we lose the egg bowl, next year will just be playing out the string. Might be anyway, but he's got to win this one to keep any hope alive. A loss to mississippi will finish off fan base engagement which will kill NIL which will kill the portal, kill any hope to compete next season, and thusly, kill lebby's tenure.

I have very little confidence that we will win this game. Lebby has proven to be is a very stubborn man with very questionable judgement.
What determines his fate is what happens next year. The Egg Bowl, this year, has nothing to do with it, either way. Next years EB on the other hand, if he loses this one.....no MSU coach has ever survived losing his first three.
 
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BulldawgFan

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This upcoming Egg Bowl has 2008 vibes.


-MSU losing several close games due to coaching incompetence (2008: LA TECH, 3-2 AU, KY 2025: TX, FL, TN)

-MSU pulling off an upset at home against an over rated team (2008: Vanderbilt 2025: Arizona State)

-MSU QB Controversy (2008: Carroll vs Lee 2025: Shapen vs Taylor)

-MSU has hefty coach (2008: Croom 2025: Lebby)

-Ole Miss having best season in recent memory (2008: Cotton Bowl bound 2025: CFP bound most likely) Also Remember Nutt later saying "first time in 50, FIFTY, I do declare again, 50 years!")


I will not be surprised if we lose 45-0.

If we do, I hope our coach is fired like Croom was and Mullen returns just like he did on 12/11/2008.
 

thatsbaseball

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May 29, 2007
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No matter what happens on black friday, Lebby will get a 3rd year. But if we lose the egg bowl, next year will just be playing out the string. Might be anyway, but he's got to win this one to keep any hope alive. A loss to mississippi will finish off fan base engagement which will kill NIL which will kill the portal, kill any hope to compete next season, and thusly, kill lebby's tenure.

I have very little confidence that we will win this game. Lebby has proven to be is a very stubborn man with very questionable judgement.
I would no longer classify Lebby's judgement as "questionable" .
 

horshack.sixpack

All-American
Oct 30, 2012
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This upcoming Egg Bowl has 2008 vibes.


-MSU losing several close games due to coaching incompetence (2008: LA TECH, 3-2 AU, KY 2025: TX, FL, TN)

-MSU pulling off an upset at home against an over rated team (2008: Vanderbilt 2025: Arizona State)

-MSU QB Controversy (2008: Carroll vs Lee 2025: Shapen vs Taylor)

-MSU has hefty coach (2008: Croom 2025: Lebby)

-Ole Miss having best season in recent memory (2008: Cotton Bowl bound 2025: CFP bound most likely) Also Remember Nutt later saying "first time in 50, FIFTY, I do declare again, 50 years!")


I will not be surprised if we lose 45-0.

If we do, I hope our coach is fired like Croom was and Mullen returns just like he did on 12/11/2008.
As long as it isn’t 55-20 #thisisourscore
 

aTotal360

Heisman
Nov 12, 2009
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Sad Ben Affleck GIF
 
Dec 9, 2018
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I put our chances of winning this year's egg bowl at about 2%. It will probably be in the 4 to 6 touchdown range. Lebby will not magically become smarter during the offseason. The portal will be our enemy this year, not our friend. KT could easily bolt, and I wouldn't blame him. The fan base has turned on Lebby, for good reason. I don't think Lebby will win more than 3 games next year, with about 15000 die hard State fans in the stadium. He is a dead man walking, but our inept good ol' boy administration won't do what everyone knows has to be done until they have absolutely no choice.
 
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Howiefeltersnstch

All-Conference
Dec 28, 2019
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Lebby had built a little momentum playing close with good teams but Arkansas gave us that win and Missouri prison raped us. The last 3 games have been embarrassing. Momentum is crushed. No top recruits want to be a part of this
We will have to over pay for any decent transfers. Winning the EB could inject hope again. If he loses it's the beginning of the end. I expect Kiffin to do his very best to boatrace us.
 
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DoggieDaddy13

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Dec 23, 2017
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We are playing no where near as well as OM right now. They have better talent and a much better team of coaches. They may even get a top four play off slot.

We may get lucky and sneak out an upset win at the Egg Bowl, but that's very unlikely.

Regardless, this game will have NO impact on whether Lebby stays or not. Unless he gets another coaching job in all the moves that are about to happen, he'll be our coach next year.

And next year, if we are as competitive as we've been most games this year and he wins at 6 of them, he'll get a fourth year. And he should.

Nobody hate's losing to OM more, but let's get real, they are in a much better place, We're not going to get there in a two or three years - even with a shiny new or retread coach.
 
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615dawg

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Jun 4, 2007
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Malzahn is awful
.750 winning percentage at Arkansas State (1.000 bowl game percentage)
.660 winning percentage at Auburn (1.000 bowl game percentage, lost National Champ game) - Auburn fired him for going to the Citrus Bowl.
.538 winning percentage at UCF (while transitioning to a Power 4. Went to 3 bowls in 4 years)

I'd take that kind of awful.
 

thatsbaseball

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May 29, 2007
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My thoughts . While we don't have the talent OM does we have enough to beat them IF we if we come out totally fire up and maintain the intensity the whole game AND IF we get a few breaks. Having said that I don't think we have a prayer of winning the game because of Lebby .
 

Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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I will not be surprised if we lose 45-0.
I actually will be very surprised if this happens.

Ole Miss will be entering the Egg Bowl hungry and wanting a win, but it’s honestly maybe the 4th thing on the priority list. Priorities #1, #2, and #3 are not having a major injury to Chambliss, Lacy, or Perkins. They will know they are in the playoff, and it’s hard to not have that affect their edge and aggressiveness as well as their playcalling and game management. I’d expect a lot of quick passes, not a lot of deep shots, and a lot of read and react stuff defensively.

I expect a close game, and Lebby will do what he does in close games and completely piss it away with head scratching decisions.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
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I actually will be very surprised if this happens.

Ole Miss will be entering the Egg Bowl hungry and wanting a win, but it’s honestly maybe the 4th thing on the priority list. Priorities #1, #2, and #3 are not having a major injury to Chambliss, Lacy, or Perkins. They will know they are in the playoff, and it’s hard to not have that affect their edge and aggressiveness as well as their playcalling and game management. I’d expect a lot of quick passes, not a lot of deep shots, and a lot of read and react stuff defensively.

I expect a close game, and Lebby will do what he does in close games and completely piss it away with head scratching decisions.
I expect Lane Kiffin to try to beat us as badly as he can. At least until they get a big lead. Yes, they're in the playoffs. But an Egg Bowl win or loss is likely the difference between a 1st round bye (or at least a home game) and a guaranteed road game in the 1st round. It's huge. Plus, he never misses a chance to get a jab at us in. He's obsessed with winning this game.
 

TheBannerM

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Nov 30, 2024
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I actually will be very surprised if this happens.

Ole Miss will be entering the Egg Bowl hungry and wanting a win, but it’s honestly maybe the 4th thing on the priority list. Priorities #1, #2, and #3 are not having a major injury to Chambliss, Lacy, or Perkins. They will know they are in the playoff, and it’s hard to not have that affect their edge and aggressiveness as well as their playcalling and game management. I’d expect a lot of quick passes, not a lot of deep shots, and a lot of read and react stuff defensively.

I expect a close game, and Lebby will do what he does in close games and completely piss it away with head scratching decisions.
What if a trip to Atlanta is on the line?
 

OG Goat Holder

Heisman
Sep 30, 2022
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This upcoming Egg Bowl has 2008 vibes.


-MSU losing several close games due to coaching incompetence (2008: LA TECH, 3-2 AU, KY 2025: TX, FL, TN)

-MSU pulling off an upset at home against an over rated team (2008: Vanderbilt 2025: Arizona State)

-MSU QB Controversy (2008: Carroll vs Lee 2025: Shapen vs Taylor)

-MSU has hefty coach (2008: Croom 2025: Lebby)

-Ole Miss having best season in recent memory (2008: Cotton Bowl bound 2025: CFP bound most likely) Also Remember Nutt later saying "first time in 50, FIFTY, I do declare again, 50 years!")


I will not be surprised if we lose 45-0.

If we do, I hope our coach is fired like Croom was and Mullen returns just like he did on 12/11/2008.
I cannot imagine a worse analogy. Literally like the most opposite situations possible.

We will be fired up. We are at home. Ole Miss has coach distractions - but they also have playoff motivation. They also have better talent, but not a huge gap. It's going to be a close game for a while.

I actually will be very surprised if this happens.

Ole Miss will be entering the Egg Bowl hungry and wanting a win, but it’s honestly maybe the 4th thing on the priority list. Priorities #1, #2, and #3 are not having a major injury to Chambliss, Lacy, or Perkins. They will know they are in the playoff, and it’s hard to not have that affect their edge and aggressiveness as well as their playcalling and game management. I’d expect a lot of quick passes, not a lot of deep shots, and a lot of read and react stuff defensively.

I expect a close game, and Lebby will do what he does in close games and completely piss it away with head scratching decisions.
Correct, a competent coach takes our momentum and energy and wins this one. Lebby won't.

I will say that if Ole Miss thinks a loss to us could not knock them from the playoffs.....well.....that's dangerous. There's a good many teams still in contention. I would not chance it at 10-2 with the overall look of their schedule and SOS vs. other SEC teams.
 

OG Goat Holder

Heisman
Sep 30, 2022
11,516
10,692
113
What determines his fate is what happens next year. The Egg Bowl, this year, has nothing to do with it, either way. Next years EB on the other hand, if he loses this one.....no MSU coach has ever survived losing his first three.
Your ilk will want to give him the Croom 10-year plan extension if we wins this year.

And if he doesn't, he could go 8-3 and lose to them next year and you'll want to fire him because MuH tHrEe In A rOw!!!111

Nevermind that he'd won 2, 5 and 8 games. Steady improvement. All you think about is Ole Miss.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
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Your ilk will want to give him the Croom 10-year plan extension if we wins this year.

And if he doesn't, he could go 8-3 and lose to them next year and you'll want to fire him because MuH tHrEe In A rOw!!!111

Nevermind that he'd won 2, 5 and 8 games. Steady improvement. All you think about is Ole Miss.
I hate to tell you this, but beating Ole Miss at least as much as they beat us is an absolute pre-requisite to accomplish anything in any sport. It's just a fact. The VAST majority of MSU people know this without even having to think about it. And you wonder why I laugh at you. 😂😂😂😂
 

NukeDogg

All-Conference
Mar 15, 2022
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The EB will not be close. 42-17 type of game and that'll be with their starters pulled by the end of Q3. Wouldn't surprise me in the least if Lane tries his best to hang 50 on us, if nothing else but as a parting gift for the rebel fanbase before he jumps ship.
 

UpTheMiddlex3Punt

All-Conference
May 28, 2007
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If they fire Lebby and bring in Dan, I think you would see a substantional increase in giving within the first 30 days.

And yes, if he loses the EB (and he will) than next year will be a ghosttown around Davis Wade stadium.
If I were AD (and I'm not) I would call every booster to see if we could get together 9 million/year for Dan Mullen and go ahead and offer it. But the AD is Lebby's best bud so that isn't going to happen.

Like you said, the rest of the NIL money would flow in easily. We would have no trouble doubling whatever we have this year.
 

The Peeper

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If Taylor gets the start and plays well, I think a lot of people will talk themselves into be hopeful in 2026.
Im Not No Way GIF


First of all Taylor isn't starting, go back and read Lebby's post game comments Saturday. I don't think him playing 1 game would give the average fan hope either. 1 game against AZ St gave hope for a week or two and then the walls caved in. And nobody is forgetting about the OL, the DL, the goal line debacle Saturday and Lebby's array of defenseless decisions along with his last couple portal failures. Until he turns the corner and coaches some complete games w/ no head scratching mistakes by him or his team, it won't change. And, I think its going to be interesting to see who hangs around after this season too.
 

Perd Hapley

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
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What if a trip to Atlanta is on the line?
Ole Miss has no path to Atlanta.

The best they can do is a 3-way tie with A&M and UGA at 7-1. 1st tiebreaker is head to head record against the other two teams. UGA would be 1-0, A&M 0-0, OM 0-1. UGA and A&M go to Atlanta.

4-way tie at 7-1 with OM, Bama, A&M, UGA. 1st tiebreaker is again head to head record with other 3 teams. Bama would be 1-0, UGA would be 1-1, A&M would be 0-0, OM would be 0-1. Bama is in, OM is out, then it proceeds to the 2-way tiebreaker rules between UGA and A&M…..which would go to at least the 2nd tiebreaker since they didn’t play each other.

Long story short is that OM loses all potential tiebreakers.
 

85Bears

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Aug 31, 2019
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Does anyone seriously think Dan would take the job here ? The nil/transfer portal really changes the trajectory of what’s possible compared to the old era.
 

Perd Hapley

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I will say that if Ole Miss thinks a loss to us could not knock them from the playoffs.....well.....that's dangerous. There's a good many teams still in contention. I would not chance it at 10-2 with the overall look of their schedule and SOS vs. other SEC teams.
More things are going to happen next weekend while OM is off that makes it more obvious.

End of the day though, you’d be talking about putting in a 10-2 Utah, 11-2 BYU, 10-2 Oklahoma, or 10-2 Miami in over a 10-2 Ole Miss. Ain’t happening.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
55,132
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Ole Miss has no path to Atlanta.

The best they can do is a 3-way tie with A&M and UGA at 7-1. 1st tiebreaker is head to head record against the other two teams. UGA would be 1-0, A&M 0-0, OM 0-1. UGA and A&M go to Atlanta.

4-way tie at 7-1 with OM, Bama, A&M, UGA. 1st tiebreaker is again head to head record with other 3 teams. Bama would be 1-0, UGA would be 1-1, A&M would be 0-0, OM would be 0-1. Bama is in, OM is out, then it proceeds to the 2-way tiebreaker rules between UGA and A&M…..which would go to at least the 2nd tiebreaker since they didn’t play each other.

Long story short is that OM loses all potential tiebreakers.
3- way tie would drop to the 2nd tiebreaker since A&M didn't play UM or UGA. I've seen that a UM win + a Bama loss + an A&M loss would sent UMiss to Atlanta.
 
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85Bears

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More things are going to happen next weekend while OM is off that makes it more obvious.

End of the day though, you’d be talking about putting in a 10-2 Utah, 11-2 BYU, 10-2 Oklahoma, or 10-2 Miami in over a 10-2 Ole Miss. Ain’t happening.
Oklahoma is going to be tough to keep out
 

22yardpunt

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There has to be a scientific or medical title when fans truly believe a single game means “everything” to either a season or a coach’s tenure.
 
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