BACATOLOGY: 3/11 NCAA Tournament Analysis***Rutgers 95% in***

RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
28,303
26,916
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@bac2therac Which resume is better?

A: 18-13 7-6 q1 2-4 q2 4-2 q3 5-1 q4 sor 50 sos 37 ncsos 255 8 wins vs field

B: 19-14 5-7 q1 5-3 q2 2-4 q3 7-0 q4 sor 59 sos 39 ncsos 314 7 wins vs field

Edit: A had 4 upper Q1 wins. B1 upper Q1 win.

@Scangg @RU72
 
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Skull83

All-Conference
Jul 31, 2001
2,411
3,224
98
Simpson told us Pike smashed his phone to block everything out and tried to get the team to loosen up/ get out of their head refocus.
My read is that keeping it low key, keeping media out, keeping the focus is more of the same of keeping their heads in the right space heading into the tournament.
That makes sense
 

Jtg=04131996

All-Conference
Aug 2, 2010
8,165
4,878
81
Most here want first 11. Avoid the 2 seeds in 2nd round. 6 seeds don't look that daunting. Likely better geography
One difference would be we have a better shot at Albany as an 11 (if UConn ends up a 3).

Otherwise no real difference other than obviously being closer to Dayton. No telling what the committee will do, they could prefer Providence or Mississippi State’s resume to ours and send us to Dayton, and there’s still UAB lurking…

SDSU up 3 with 13 minutes to go, let’s go Aztecs
 

RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
28,303
26,916
113
I can almost guarantee he’ll say he needs more details and he’d be right…B’s resume might be better than it first appears ;)
Which is fair but needing more info is also a cop out for just a hypothetical. This is what’s on the team sheet. For more info, team a has the more quality Q1 wins. I think it’s a very tough call as is.

A has 4 upper Q1 wins. B 1 upper Q1 win.

@Scangg curious of both your thoughts which is better?
 

fatsam98

Heisman
Mar 23, 2005
42,330
34,949
113
One difference would be we have a better shot at Albany as an 11 (if UConn ends up a 3).

Otherwise no real difference other than obviously being closer to Dayton. No telling what the committee will do, they could prefer Providence or Mississippi State’s resume to ours and send us to Dayton, and there’s still UAB lurking…

SDSU up 3 with 13 minutes to go, let’s go Aztecs
Top two 11 seeds won't be in Dayton
 
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Jtg=04131996

All-Conference
Aug 2, 2010
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Top two 11 seeds won't be in Dayton
Yeah I know that, kinda explained myself poorly. Was just saying USU jumping us would be no big deal IF it meant the difference between last 10 and first 11, but I thought it was important to note we have no idea if that’s the case or not.
 

fatsam98

Heisman
Mar 23, 2005
42,330
34,949
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Yeah I know that, kinda explained myself poorly. Was just saying USU jumping us would be no big deal IF it meant the difference between last 10 and first 11, but I thought it was important to note we have no idea if that’s the case or not.
Ah gotcha. Disagree though, think top two 11 seeds are far preferable to a 10 seed. And yes we don't know exactly where they have us right now but wouldn't hurt us for USU to lose. It potentially hurts us if they win.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
238,167
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@bac2therac Which resume is better?

A: 18-13 7-6 q1 2-4 q2 4-2 q3 5-1 q4 sor 50 sos 37 ncsos 255 8 wins vs field

B: 19-14 5-7 q1 5-3 q2 2-4 q3 7-0 q4 sor 59 sos 39 ncsos 314 7 wins vs field

Edit: A had 4 upper Q1 wins. B1 upper Q1 win.

@Scangg @RU72
Rutgers resumes matched up

A had better stronger wins and yet at least a quarter if not more of bracketologists had them out right.

A had worse losses than B
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
Which is fair but needing more info is also a cop out for just a hypothetical. This is what’s on the team sheet. For more info, team a has the more quality Q1 wins. I think it’s a very tough call as is.

A has 4 upper Q1 wins. B 1 upper Q1 win.

@Scangg curious of both your thoughts which is better?
Need more info! Whenever resumes are close you need to dig into the details. A road win at Purdue is more valuable than beating Utah State at home but both are Q1
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Rutgers resumes matched up

A had better stronger wins and yet at least a quarter if not more of bracketologists had them out right.

A had worse losses than B
…..and bubble have good years and bad years. Good days and bad days.

It would be very interesting once we get enough of a sample size of field of 68s to compare and contrast bubble teams by year and actually see how different the bubble is year by year
 
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bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
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…..and bubble have good years and bad years. Good days and bad days.

It would be very interesting once we get enough of a sample size of field of 68s to compare and contrast bubble teams by year and actually see how different the bubble is year by year
last year was stronger plus everyone forgetting that rutgers had a 77 net...thats why we went to dayton...if it was 40 we were 10 or 11

also 2 bid stealers last year Va Tech and Richmond knocked us to Dayton
 

bac2therac

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Jul 30, 2001
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I think Utah State is a 10 above the 11s...its going to be tough for the committee to argue against metrics and having all those Q2 and 3 wins even though they have just 3 wins vs the fieldL Boise State 2x and Oral Roberts and 2 UGLY Q4 losses that somehow do not show up in the NET nor bracketologists discussions
 

bac2therac

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wouldnt be shocked if the committee gave them a 9 based on metrics, its always hard to figure out what they will do. When you think they are going right, they go left
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
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Rutgers should try to schedule MWC teams if they are going to keep getting respect in the NET
if RU schedules Gonzaga or Houston, they are golden. Key may be deeper in Q3

also RU needs to stop losing those kind of games...3 bad losses last year...4 this year (yes not all truly bad but Minnesota with a 10 point lead in 70 seconds is embarrassing)

cant lose to both shu and nebby at home
 
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