Beamer to retire
- Thread starter vkj91
- Start date
Probably no more than usual. Only difference is the stupid trend of firing in season.
A typical season will see about 25 coaching changes at the FBS level (there were an average of 23.5 over the last 6 years with a peak of 31 head coaching changes heading into 2013). There were already 8 interim coaches pacing the sidelines (Bill Cubit, Illinois; Mike Locksley, Maryland; Larry Scott, Miami; Tracy Claeys, Minnesota; Mike Canales, North Texas; Shawn Elliott, South Carolina; Danny Barrett, UCF; and Clay Helton, Southern California). Norm Chow's replacement will be named this week and Beamer is leaving, which already makes 10 coaching changes. With most of the changes thus far happening at P5 schools, it is reasonable to speculate these 10 changes will cause around 20 head coaching changes at the FBS level.
I also disagree that midseason firings are stupid. I think it is a superior option that is not usually exercised due to financial reasons. Once you've decided to fire an employee, why would you allow that employee to continue to work? If Flood is already gone, why would you give him an opportunity to finish with a 4-game winning streak and give him a legitimate claim he should be retained and possibly drum up support from the fan base?
In terms of P5 coaches there usually are a double digit number of openings dating back to 2001. Last couple of years there were 7 but looking back beyond that there were usually 11-13 P5 openings with 17 being the high and 4 being the low a couple times. I put a link in of these thread a few days back.
Right now we have 9 P5 openings by last count. So I think we could come up to the high end of that range by year end.
UVA/Purdue/Cuse/Georgia/RU/WVU/IU/ISU are all possibilities and throw in a couple for P5 to P5 movement.
That would bring the total to about 19 which would be a new high but every "iffy"would have to make a change for that to happen. I tend to think this year will be in that mid teen range maybe 14-15.
It's stupid because it doesn't change your pool of candidates or who you hire. Unless you are going to hire and out of work coach firing your staff midyear does nothing to the timeline. For example, USC has more pull and money than they know what to do with and they had to wait for Washington's season to be over to hire Sark after they fired Kiffin. A majority of these schools will be fishing from the same pond and no candidate is going to agree to terms without knowing all his options. This new trend means nothing until we see coaches jumping ship mid year to take new jobs......
Make no mistake, schools that are planning on fire their coaches are in contact with the representatives of candidates whether they've fired their coach or not.
You didn't sway me. Your argument is that you can't do anything to improve the situation immediately. That is the wrong argument. A new coach hired from outside of the program will not likely have a positive impact midseason because of the differences in system and technique between the old coach and the new one. That renders your inability to hire from outside the organization point relatively moot. What you are failing to realize it that you can make your situation worse by maintaining the status quo. Winning changes everything. If Flood is essentially fired today, will him winning against Nebraska (who appear are reliving the fire Solich to hire Callahan mistake), Army, and Maryland (not far fetched with a healthy Carroo) to finish 6-6 with a bowl win change that outlook? I think 7-6 will probably change some opinions regarding Flood on this board and could change opinions in the AD because it is always easier to retain a coaching staff than to hire a new one. It is also likely cheaper to retain Flood than to hire someone else and given the financial situation it can't be unexpected for RU to take the cheap road rather than the right one. The primary reason to retain a fired coach through the end of the season is a financial one. You can delay the buyout while also saving the additional money you need to pay your interim head coach.
No, hiring someone would get a jump start on recruiting..that being said, thanks for giving other very valid reasons to not fire your coach mid year.