Buy/Sell: The SEC only gets three teams in the NCAA tourney.
- Thread starter Hanmudog
- Start date
The media is talking like there is going to be nine teams from the acc in. I just don't believe there will be that many from the acc getting in and only three from the SEC. I know it's a down year, but that would be ridiculous esp with Slive at the head of the committee.
Auburn, holders of a mid-70s RPI, in a conference that is not just perceived as down, but actually down, is going to get in by winning two games in Tampa? Perhaps MAYBE if they beat LSU (which you didn't even include) and win two in Tampa, then MAYBE. But even then it is a long long long shot. I think three are in but four is starting to look more unlikely unless UF or UK play their way in. The winner of that game this weekend needs to win two in the tournament, and maybe three.
...they will not see much of a body on Auburn.
Best win was UT. After that the best wins are Ole Miss and State twice.
Lost to Florida.
Lost to Kentucky.
Lost to South Carolina.
Lost to LSU once with one to go.
Lost to Ole Miss once.
Lost to Dayton.
Lost to Xavier.
I just don't see a few more marginal wins outweighing all of that.
Best win was UT. After that the best wins are Ole Miss and State twice.
Lost to Florida.
Lost to Kentucky.
Lost to South Carolina.
Lost to LSU once with one to go.
Lost to Ole Miss once.
Lost to Dayton.
Lost to Xavier.
I just don't see a few more marginal wins outweighing all of that.
I don't know that 2 wins will boost their rpi that easily. It might happen but we are 30 games deep so wins don't have the impact they did. A 9-3 finish is something I hadn't thought of but that's against some unimpressive competition. They have no non-conference wins to hang their hat on.
If you look at many of the teams on the bubble, their resumes are far superior right now then Auburn's would be if they won those 2 games.
If you look at many of the teams on the bubble, their resumes are far superior right now then Auburn's would be if they won those 2 games.
and then justify it later. Every year it seems to be a different thing that they weight more heavily. Sometimes it's non-conference schedule, sometimes it's last 12 games, sometimes it's signature wins, sometimes it's RPI, etc. etc. It just depends on what they look at. And I think they're going to take 4 SEC teams come hell or high water (even though they swear they don't even look at how few or many teams make the tournament from any conference) and Auburn's going to have the 4th best resume in the SEC if they beat LSU and win 1 in the SEC tournament (which would probably be Florida or Kentucky).
its going to be tough to take any of those 3 over a team like Cincinatti that has 5 wins against the top 50 a better RPI than Auburn and KY and a nice SOS or a team like TX A&M who has a better resume than all 3.
Auburn has 9 wins in the SEC---8 are against State, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Georgia, and Alabama. That's not something that sneaks by the committee.
Auburn has 9 wins in the SEC---8 are against State, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Georgia, and Alabama. That's not something that sneaks by the committee.
My goodness even we ran up a 6-2 record playing teams like that. Their "looking great" is a function of the schedule. Flip flop the schedule and they would have started 7-1ish and limped home at 2-5ish and everyone would be talking about how their bubble had burst. Again, if you look at the whole resume, there isn't much there. Kind of like yours.
Auburn (RPI ranking of 72) will not receive an at-large berth. If they do, something's really, really screwed up.
Carolina (RPI ranking of 41) should be the 3rd SEC team in, but if they lose to UT tonight, all bets are off since they finish up with UGA, a team whose finally decided to prove why they deserve to keep their scholarships. If SC loses tonight, I thimk they have to beat UGA and win 2 in the tourney to have a real shot. In the past, teams with SC's RPI ranking (and higher) have been left crying after Selection Sunday.
Florida (RPI ranking of 52) likely has to win the tourney.
Carolina (RPI ranking of 41) should be the 3rd SEC team in, but if they lose to UT tonight, all bets are off since they finish up with UGA, a team whose finally decided to prove why they deserve to keep their scholarships. If SC loses tonight, I thimk they have to beat UGA and win 2 in the tourney to have a real shot. In the past, teams with SC's RPI ranking (and higher) have been left crying after Selection Sunday.
Florida (RPI ranking of 52) likely has to win the tourney.
sneaking a little funny in there at the end...
Auburn is playing well now as a team, its not a real product of the schedule...They are going to beat LSU this weekend and then probably win at least 1 game in Tampa....
If Auburn plays for the Tourney title, they are getting in.
SEC gets 4 teams for sure with possibly a 5th one...and Lunardi does a good job, but he missed a couple last year. He is not the end all
Auburn is playing well now as a team, its not a real product of the schedule...They are going to beat LSU this weekend and then probably win at least 1 game in Tampa....
If Auburn plays for the Tourney title, they are getting in.
SEC gets 4 teams for sure with possibly a 5th one...and Lunardi does a good job, but he missed a couple last year. He is not the end all