BWI Sports Betting Thread

Erial_Lion

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
3,483
4,252
113
@Erial_Lion what's up with now RAS live stream today?
Been crazy with college hoops and meant to post an update on Thursday…Eddie posted earlier this week that he needed to take some time off. Then last night, he posted…

“4 weeks after losing my dad my mom (who's my everything and best friend) was diagnosed with metastatic cancer. She is terminal it is too far spread. There's no timeline but we plan on spending every single day the best we can together. Much love & GL2all”
 
  • Like
Reactions: LionJim

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
Been crazy with college hoops and meant to post an update on Thursday…Eddie posted earlier this week that he needed to take some time off. Then last night, he posted…

“4 weeks after losing my dad my mom (who's my everything and best friend) was diagnosed with metastatic cancer. She is terminal it is too far spread. There's no timeline but we plan on spending every single day the best we can together. Much love & GL2all”
I figured you were knee deep in hoops.
Damn. I knew ed had some family issues but didn’t know it was that bad. That’s a tough double whammy to deal with.
 

Erial_Lion

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
3,483
4,252
113
I'll try to share one every few days over the next couple of weeks...my goal will be to share 20 plays over the course of the season (and hopefully go at least 11-9 on them).

One for tonight...

Indiana St/SIU Edwardsville u158
 
  • Like
Reactions: Grant Green

Moogy

All-Conference
Jul 28, 2017
4,251
2,895
113
I'll try to share one every few days over the next couple of weeks...my goal will be to share 20 plays over the course of the season (and hopefully go at least 11-9 on them).

One for tonight...

Indiana St/SIU Edwardsville u158

Handicapping early season college hoops would seem to be a Herculean effort in today's age where it seems almost every team turns over their entire roster each year.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
Looks like I've missed a lot since I left civilization. I actually got the word on JF just before I left the grid.

Updating the last 3 weeks. Teams travelling 2+ time zones ATS:
B10 - Week 7: 2-2
Week 8: 2-1
Week 9: 1-2
Week 10: 0-1
2025 record: 9-11
ATS since 2024: 16-27

ACC - Week 7: 0-1
Week 8: 1-1
Week 9: 0-2
Week 10: 1-1
2025: 4-7
I'm sure everyone is waiting with bated breath, so here it is.

B10 teams travelling 2+ time zones - NW, Oregon, and Washington all fail to cover (UW loses outright). Nebraska covers vs UCLA
Week 11: 1-3
2025: 10-14
since 2024: 17-30

ACC - Stanford and Cal both cover
Week 11: 2-0
2025: 6-7
 
  • Like
Reactions: Erial_Lion

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
I'd pass at 152. But since it moved so much overnight/this morning, I'll share one more for today that's still available...

American/George Washington o153 (some 152.5 out there too)
Nice CLV for you. What could go wrong?

Another question. What is your thought on betting exchanges like Prophet X? Obviously, the odds are fantastic and would make an enormous difference to long term success. Are they reliable? Concerns about payout?
 

Erial_Lion

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
3,483
4,252
113
Another question. What is your thought on betting exchanges like Prophet X? Obviously, the odds are fantastic and would make an enormous difference to long term success. Are they reliable? Concerns about payout?
I’ve never dealt with them so I can’t really comment.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
Hallelujah! Thank you Harlem Berry for doing the right thing and taking a knee instead of scoring for LSU. very nice break for my Arkansas bet. Feel like these always go against me.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
I'm sure everyone is waiting with bated breath, so here it is.

B10 teams travelling 2+ time zones - NW, Oregon, and Washington all fail to cover (UW loses outright). Nebraska covers vs UCLA
Week 11: 1-3
2025: 10-14
since 2024: 17-30

ACC - Stanford and Cal both cover
Week 11: 2-0
2025: 6-7
Final update as there are no more long travel games in the B10.
Iowa covers at USC. Purdue, UCLA, and Minny fail to cover when traveling 2+ time zones. 1-3 this week.

2025: 11-17
all time: 18-33

I hope people have been betting these since I started tracking last year. I haven't bet them blindly, but it's been a big handicapping point for me.
 

Moogy

All-Conference
Jul 28, 2017
4,251
2,895
113
@Erial_Lion has his ear muffs on, so he probably won't read this, but a cursory following seems to indicate, to me, that there are a ton of large point spreads that regularly aren't being covered so far this year in men's college hoops. Is this accurate?

In past years, it seemed there were lots of early opportunities for insufficiently large spreads that were easily covered ... this year appears to be the opposite.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
PSA for the board bettors. Next week is rivalry week. Not a bad idea to look ahead and see which teams may have other things on their mind.
A great example is Texas, who not only plays TAM next week, but is off Georgia and playing a pesky Arkansas (PS. I would make 2-7 Ark a FG favorite over 7-3 Pitt on a neutral; they are better than their record).
 

Erial_Lion

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
3,483
4,252
113


Great show today...classic game choice on his best bet, and a rapid fire with his thoughts on so many games on the card.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Grant Green

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,505
4,840
113
Locks of the week (that hit about half the time):

Illinois/Wisconsin under 41.5
Southern Cal +10.5 over OREGON
Good luck. Curious where you got USC at +10.5. I've been watching this line and haven't seen it go above 10. Sadly, I will likely be against you if it dips to -9.5.
 

LionJim

Heisman
Oct 12, 2021
14,065
19,663
113
Locks of the week (that hit about half the time):

Illinois/Wisconsin under 41.5
Southern Cal +10.5 over OREGON
Lol, perfect disclaimer in your first line. Yeah, rocket science is easier. These look legit to me, though. Good luck.
 

Erial_Lion

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
3,483
4,252
113
I'll be looking hard for a Nick Singleton o.5 TDs Prop for Saturday. It's very clear we'll be feeding him to make sure he scores. I'm sure it will move quickly wherever it opens (assuming people are paying attention).