C and D power points week 9

[hawknation92]

1. Appomattox (6-1) 25.5714
2. Glenvar (8-1) 25.000
3. Giles (7-2) 24.1111
4. Floyd (6-2) 21.000
5. Fort Chiswell (6-2) 20.750
6. Gretna (7-2) 20.3333
7. Dan River (5-3) 20.250
8. Martinsville (4-4) 19.000

1. Ridgeview (7-1) 24.375
2. Union (8-0) 24.250
3. Marion (8-0) 23.750
4. Graham (7-1) 23.500
5. Virginia (6-2) 22.875
6. Lee (5-3) 19.375
7. John Battle (5-3) 19.250
8. Grayson (4-4) 17.750
9. Richlands (2-6) 16.125

 

[Hampton Roads 6]

Looks as if Gretna will be playing Giles, Floyd or Fort Chiswell in playoffs. (on the road)

 

[hawknation92]

I have done end of season scenerio. We beat Dan River us and Floyd will be four and five with games going the way I think they should Gretna getting home field at four seed. Ft Chiswell plays Graham next week and will probably lose while Gretna is off and still gets some rider points moving back up to 5 closely to Floyd at four.

 

[hawknation92]

Here is my end of season prediction with games left.
1.Glenvar (9-1) 26.800
2. Appomattox (9-1) 26.7778
3. Giles (8-2) 25.800
4. Gretna (8-2) 22.900
5. Floyd (8-2) 22.800
6. Fort Chiswell (7-3) 21.600
7. Dan River (6-4) 21.400
8. Martinsville (4-6) 16.000

One game to watch is Dan River vs. Martinsville next week. Figured with Dan River winning but a Martinsville win would take from Gretna and Appomattox.

 

[Hampton Roads 6]

I can't see Gretna getting many rider points. Even if we do, other teams will also get some as well.

 

[lucustookis]

Here is my end of season prediction with games left.
1.Glenvar (9-1) 26.800
2. Appomattox (9-1) 26.7778
3. Giles (8-2) 25.800
4. Gretna (8-2) 22.900
5. Floyd (8-2) 22.800
6. Fort Chiswell (7-3) 21.600
7. Dan River (6-4) 21.400
8. Martinsville (4-6) 16.000

One game to watch is Dan River vs. Martinsville next week. Figured with Dan River winning but a Martinsville win would take from Gretna and Appomattox.

hawknation, no offense and you are probably spot on, but I have it as Floyd outpointing Gretna at 23.0 to 22.7, and Floyd as the 4th seed. There's one thing for sure, it's going to be nailbitingly close for the 4 seed, and what the teams opponents do will definitely matter here. Also, what a cruddy deal for Giles. They lose to a possible, very possible 4A state champion contender in Blacksburg, and lose on the road in overtime to Graham, and of course, they go on the road to beat Glenvar. What's the reward? In game 2 assuming both win, they travel to Appo.

 

[hawknation92]

I have Gretna like this:
Brunswick- Surry W and Greenville L but could lose to 2-6 Surry
Radford- Carroll W and Glenvar L
Tunstall- Patrick W and Franklin County L but could possibly beat FC
Nottoway- Amelia L and Central Lun. W but could beat Amelia also
Chatham doesnt win again
Altavista beats Chatham and since played twice get 4 points
William Campbell wins 2 for 2 points
Appomattox wins 2 for 2 points
Beating a (6-4) Dan River if Dan River beats Martinsville
183+Dan River 30+16 rider points=229 or 22.900

I have Floyd like this:
Christiansburg -winless and stays that way Cave Spring and Blacksburg
Patrick Co- beats niether Tunstall nor Bassett
Auburn -Rural Retreat L but could win
Ft Chiswell- Graham L and Bland W
Giles- Alleghany W
Carroll doesnt win no more Radford and James River
Radford- Carroll W and Glenvar L
Glenvar- Radford W
Beat (4-6) James River 26 points
Beat (4-6) 3a Alleghaney 28 points
168+54+6 rider points=228 or 22.800

Some key games are Rural Retreat-Auburn, Nottoway-Amelia, Altavista -Chatham, Tunstall-Franklin County

 

[lovethisgame78]

What would Richlands have to have happen to make playoffs? Other than winning out and grayson dropping the last 2 is that their only chance?

 

[Union_Fan]

What would Richlands have to have happen to make playoffs? Other than winning out and grayson dropping the last 2 is that their only chance?

Richlands can get in with a win over Lebanon coupled with GC over Central.

If Richlands beats Va High too, they are almost guaranteed in.

Just can't imagine Grayson winning their last 2 games.

 

[hawknation92]

Here is my final prediction for D
1. Union (10-0) 27.400
2. Graham (9-1) 27.000
3. Ridgeview (9-1) 26.400
4. Marion (9-1) 25.100
5. Lee (7-3) 23.500
6. Virginia (6-4) 22.200
7. Grayson (5-5) 19.900
8. Richlands (4-6) 19.600
9. Battle (5-5) 19.500

Thats with Battle losing to Lee and Union, Grayson beating Wythe losing to Galax, Richlands beating Lebanon and Virginia

 

[BigWinners]

Here is my final prediction for D
1. Union (10-0) 27.400
2. Graham (9-1) 27.000
3. Ridgeview (9-1) 26.400
4. Marion (9-1) 25.100
5. Lee (7-3) 23.500
6. Virginia (6-4) 22.200
7. Grayson (5-5) 19.900
8. Richlands (4-6) 19.600
9. Battle (5-5) 19.500

Thats with Battle losing to Lee and Union, Grayson beating Wythe losing to Galax, Richlands beating Lebanon and Virginia

What if Wise Central beats GC? I'm hearing that game could decide #1 seed in D.

And I dunno if Grayson can beat GW.

 

[BigWinners]

You also have Marion at 9-1 and VHS at 6-4, but doesn't Marion play VHS? I know they play Graham, thought they played VHS as well.

 

[eh31]

You also have Marion at 9-1 and VHS at 6-4, but doesn't Marion play VHS? I know they play Graham, thought they played VHS as well.

Marion - VA High this week, I guess this is assuming Marion wins this week and loses to Graham next week and Virginia losing to Richlands as well would leave them at 6-4.

 

[eh31]

What if Wise Central beats GC? I'm hearing that game could decide #1 seed in D.

And I dunno if Grayson can beat GW.

If his projections are correct (which I think they'll end up being very close) it looks like the Gate City-Central game could determine the #1 seed as well as the #8 seed. If I got it figured right it looks like he's guessing Gate City will win that game (@hawknation92?) which would help Union and Richlands. If central wins that would give Graham its best shot at #1 and would give Battle the upper hand over Richlands for #8.

Who would've ever thought with the dumpster fire season Gate City has had and all the injuries Wise has had that the winner would actually have playoff implications lol

 

[Region C Fan]

Here is my end of season prediction with games left.
1.Glenvar (9-1) 26.800
2. Appomattox (9-1) 26.7778
3. Giles (8-2) 25.800
4. Gretna (8-2) 22.900
5. Floyd (8-2) 22.800
6. Fort Chiswell (7-3) 21.600
7. Dan River (6-4) 21.400
8. Martinsville (4-6) 16.000

One game to watch is Dan River vs. Martinsville next week. Figured with Dan River winning but a Martinsville win would take from Gretna and Appomattox.

 

[Region C Fan]

What would have to happen for Appo to outpoint Glenvar?

 

[hawknation92]

What would have to happen for Appo to outpoint Glenvar?[/QUOTE
GW beating Grayson would be big help as Glenvar would lose two points from Grayson

 

[hawknation92]

If his projections are correct (which I think they'll end up being very close) it looks like the Gate City-Central game could determine the #1 seed as well as the #8 seed. If I got it figured right it looks like he's guessing Gate City will win that game (@hawknation92?) which would help Union and Richlands. If central wins that would give Graham its best shot at #1 and would give Battle the upper hand over Richlands for #8.

Who would've ever thought with the dumpster fire season Gate City has had and all the injuries Wise has had that the winner would actually have playoff implications lol

That's with Gate City losing remaining two.

 

[oldfool]

1. Appomattox (6-1) 25.5714
2. Glenvar (8-1) 25.000
3. Giles (7-2) 24.1111
4. Floyd (6-2) 21.000
5. Fort Chiswell (6-2) 20.750
6. Gretna (7-2) 20.3333
7. Dan River (5-3) 20.250
8. Martinsville (4-4) 19.000

1. Ridgeview (7-1) 24.375
2. Union (8-0) 24.250
3. Marion (8-0) 23.750
4. Graham (7-1) 23.500
5. Virginia (6-2) 22.875
6. Lee (5-3) 19.375
7. John Battle (5-3) 19.250
8. Grayson (4-4) 17.750
9. Richlands (2-6) 16.125

I see your showing Appo 9- 1 in your prediction. Since fuma does not count should that only be based on 9 games?

 

[Region C Fan]

Question what happens if Wythe beats Grayson and Martinsville beats Dan River?

 

[hawknation92]

I see your showing Appo 9- 1 in your prediction. Since fuma does not count should that only be based on 9 games?

That is correct and I only divided them by 9 games.

 

[hawknation92]

Question what happens if Wythe beats Grayson and Martinsville beats Dan River?

They will cancel each other out. If Wythe beats Grayson that takes two rider points from Glenvar which Appo needs but if Martinsville beats Dan River that takes two from Appo and Gretna that would hurt them for trying to get one and four seeds.

 

[Region C Fan]

They will cancel each other out. If Wythe beats Grayson that takes two rider points from Glenvar which Appo needs but if Martinsville beats Dan River that takes two from Appo and Gretna that would hurt them for trying to get one and four seeds.

Martinsville plays in conference with a 6A 5A. 4A and several 3A schools. They could be a 1st round sleeper

 

[obguthr]

What would Richlands have to have happen to make playoffs? Other than winning out and grayson dropping the last 2 is that their only chance?

Grayson will lose their final two. Richlands should get in, but it will be close if they lose another game. On the off chance that Grayson wins even one of their final two, Richlands is hosed.

 

[b.Di3_2016RU]

Grayson will lose their final two. Richlands should get in, but it will be close if they lose another game. On the off chance that Grayson wins even one of their final two, Richlands is hosed.

Not necessarily true. 4-6 Richlands would outpoint Battle if they finish 5-5, which is a decent possibility.

 

[Union_Fan]

Here is my final prediction for D
1. Union (10-0) 27.400

I can see Union getting to 270, MAYBE 272, but 274 would require all 4 below to happen.


Richlands over Va High
Ridgeview over Pike Central
Letcher Co over Floyd Co, Ky
Mo West over Knox Bearden

Hope you're right, but that scenario would be in miracle territory. Haha

 

[GKKING]

After looking at the numbers app and glenvar can switch easily. One game or two- that is how close it is.
I wouldn’t count out fort beating graham

 

[hawknation92]

I can see Union getting to 270, MAYBE 272, but 274 would require all 4 below to happen.


Richlands over Va High
Ridgeview over Pike Central
Letcher Co over Floyd Co, Ky
Mo West over Knox Bearden

Hope you're right, but that scenario would be in miracle territory. Haha

I had all but lechter winning and according to records that's the best odds.

 

[obguthr]

After looking at the numbers app and glenvar can switch easily. One game or two- that is how close it is.
I wouldn’t count out fort beating graham

Not saying it can't or won't happen, but if Fort beats Graham, I'll buy you a beer. Fort's a dangerous team and they have handled the jump to C2 very well, but Graham may be the best team in C2.

 

[oldfool]

You can almost hear a buffalo nickel yelling out from being squeezed in people's butt cheeks trying to figure playoffs lol

 

[oldfool]

Where the heck does Maxpreps get their freaking rankings from, they must be drunk!!!

 

[GKKING]

Not saying it can't or won't happen, but if Fort beats Graham, I'll buy you a beer. Fort's a dangerous team and they have handled the jump to C2 very well, but Graham may be the best team in C2.

Have to respectfully disagree

 

[Spring Road]

Here is my end of season prediction with games left.
1.Glenvar (9-1) 26.800
2. Appomattox (9-1) 26.7778
3. Giles (8-2) 25.800
4. Gretna (8-2) 22.900
5. Floyd (8-2) 22.800
6. Fort Chiswell (7-3) 21.600
7. Dan River (6-4) 21.400
8. Martinsville (4-6) 16.000

One game to watch is Dan River vs. Martinsville next week. Figured with Dan River winning but a Martinsville win would take from Gretna and Appomattox.

 

[Spring Road]

A peep of mine has Giles getting to 26.2. Appo not as high as you have them, can you look at.?

 

[eh31]

Have to respectfully disagree

Are you that low on Graham or that high on Fort?

 

[GKKING]

It's hard to tell how good region D is, in division one it's really really weak this year. In 2 gate city has been down , richlands is down. I will probably still pick graham. They beat Giles but Giles has gotten better the last 3 weeks

 

[Spring Road]

Graham is dangerous but not always disciplined

 

[eh31]

Graham is dangerous but not always disciplined

Last year and years before that this was true. They've seemed to have corrected a lot of those issues this year.

 

[eh31]

It's hard to tell how good region D is, in division one it's really really weak this year. In 2 gate city has been down , richlands is down. I will probably still pick graham. They beat Giles but Giles has gotten better the last 3 weeks

Richlands is "down" for Richlands but their record is way worse than what their team is. The Graham-Giles game was a good one. Definitely a tale of two halves. Graham was up 21-0 in the first and it went to OT 28-28 after Giles controlled the ball in the second half. Graham lost their starting RB for the season against Giles and they've had to do a lot of adjustments since, but in my opinion it has made them a better team.

 

[BigWinners]

It's hard to tell how good region D is, in division one it's really really weak this year. In 2 gate city has been down , richlands is down. I will probably still pick graham. They beat Giles but Giles has gotten better the last 3 weeks

AA in Region D is strong, two great teams, three more very good teams. Graham, Union, Ridgeview (8-1, only loss at Union), undefeated Marion, plus VHS.