Colorado About To Defect Back To The Big 12

Shelby65

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I think the Big Ten does strongly consider academic prestige, Nebraska being the exception, but they had a remarkable footballl brand at the time. I like the idea of taking Stanford and Cal, giving us far and away the most prestigious academic conference that plays big time sports. Those schools also have international reputations, so that provides more global exposure. It also locks down the San Francisco media market, and frankly moat of the west coast. Next to Notre Dame, who is not going to join a conference, that would be our best choice.
I would be shocked. Top academics but limited local interest, nevermind national. Less local interest than even Rutgers had. Not enough alums stay local to move the needle, same reason Duke won’t ever be a target. Adding these two would shrink the per school payout for sure.
 
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cicero grimes

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Unless they really want to get into the NYC area with UConn, I’d go with Tulane as their G5 pick if not another P5 program.
Tulane would be a nice add. Good academics and a fun city to visit. I might go the USF route to get another large market in FL, a rival for UCF and a bigger presence in the sunshine state. I know USF is down sports wise but the school has potential as they proved when they first joined the BE. Obviously you take a current P5 like Zona first but if you are going group of 5 I like Tulane and USF better than Yukon.
 

bigmatt718

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Unless they really want to get into the NYC area with UConn, I’d go with Tulane as their G5 pick if not another P5 program.
Tulane IMO fits the Big 12 more than UConn. People say UConn carries the NYC market but let me say this, when's the last time anyone saw a UConn fan from around NYC/NJ/Philly? I live just outside of Philly and UConn has zero pull here, it's all Rutgers/Cult State/ND with a smaller following for schools like Nova/Temple/UDel. You'd think with hoops they'd attract students from South Jersey who are sports fans but nope.
 

AntiG

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Tulane IMO fits the Big 12 more than UConn. People say UConn carries the NYC market but let me say this, when's the last time anyone saw a UConn fan from around NYC/NJ/Philly? I live just outside of Philly and UConn has zero pull here, it's all Rutgers/Cult State/ND with a smaller following for schools like Nova/Temple/UDel. You'd think with hoops they'd attract students from South Jersey who are sports fans but nope.
I lived in midtown for the past 2 decades and probably met 2 UConn alums that actually cared about UConn athletics, and barely heard a peep when they won this past year from anyone in NYC in general. People just like the past names like Ray Allen, Rip Hamilton, Kemba, Lobo, etc but there aren't too many fans of program as a whole, more just like general Big East basketball fans. Even when Rutgers was at their very worst a few years ago, there has always been talk, regardless positive or negative, and when we were good in the mid 2000s Schiano through early Flood, Rutgers football became huge in NYC for a minute. UConn definitely does not "carry" NYC or NYC Metro, no one does from a college sports perspective, the only "carrying of NYC metro" that matters is DMA which only contain Rutgers and Army amongst the FBS.
 
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airspace

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I agree the Big Ten genuinely cares about academic prestige. But I think that in the last analysis the Big Ten will ask itself, "what is the most profitable strategy for the long run?" The members might be willing to take a reduced payout now if (and it's a big if) they can be convinced it will bring a big payoff later. One factor here is that cable carriage fees are becoming less important as a revenue source as cable systems fade -- but it is not at all clear (at least to me) what will take their place.
I tend to agree with you.

I believe it will get down to a few things for the Big 10 to expand west.

1. Is the PAC dead (Big 10 does not want to be responsible for the death of the PAC).
2. Can the Big 10 get funding from the networks for the additional members so as to not reduce the payout to current members.
3. Will the expansion candidates take a lessor amount than current Big 10 members.

The Big 10 is always looking at expansion, it is the timing. Currently they are concerned about integrating USC/UCLA into the Big 10 and how that all works out. To go from 2 schools (USC/UCLA) to the potential of 4 to 6, makes the logistics that much more complicated when you have not done it.

I believe the next few weeks could get real interesting. I have to believe communications are going on between schools to the Big 10 office and various schools (PSU reached out thru Illinois when they reached out to the Big 10) and within the Big 10.
 

Retired711

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I tend to agree with you.

I believe it will get down to a few things for the Big 10 to expand west.

1. Is the PAC dead (Big 10 does not want to be responsible for the death of the PAC).
2. Can the Big 10 get funding from the networks for the additional members so as to not reduce the payout to current members.
3. Will the expansion candidates take a lessor amount than current Big 10 members.

The Big 10 is always looking at expansion, it is the timing. Currently they are concerned about integrating USC/UCLA into the Big 10 and how that all works out. To go from 2 schools (USC/UCLA) to the potential of 4 to 6, makes the logistics that much more complicated when you have not done it.

I believe the next few weeks could get real interesting. I have to believe communications are going on between schools to the Big 10 office and various schools (PSU reached out thru Illinois when they reached out to the Big 10) and within the Big 10.
You're far from the first person who says that the Big Ten does not want to be responsible for the death of the PAC. I don't see why the Big Ten would care, and the fact that the Big Ten took on USC and UCLA indicates that the Big Ten is willing at the least to inflict serious harm on the Pac. Your second point is very important. On your third, I doubt that the expansion candidates would be permanently limited to a lesser payout - probably there would be a transition period to full payout just as with Rutgers and Maryland. Having "have-nots" is not good for conference stability.
 
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koleszar

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Not sure about that...a bird in the hand. UO and UW may jump on the first lifeboat and join a conference which will surely require massive exit fees.
B1G can easily say we'll see you in 6 yrs. when your Big 12 contract expires and the B1G's new deal is to be renegotiated. Big 12 GOR is not being extended and when you're the top earning conference you can dictate when the right time is.
 

MADHAT1

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You're far from the first person who says that the Big Ten does not want to be responsible for the death of the PAC. I don't see why the Big Ten would care, and the fact that the Big Ten took on USC and UCLA indicates that the Big Ten is willing at the least to inflict serious harm on the Pac. Your second point is very important. On your third, I doubt that the expansion candidates would be permanently limited to a lesser payout - probably there would be a transition period to full payout just as with Rutgers and Maryland. Having "have-nots" is not good for conference stability.
I don't feel the B1G is worried about being blamed for the PAC's demise , they
knew it would start falling apart once UCLA & UCS left and that would start the other top programs making exit plans.
I think the B1G is waiting for the Big-12 to pick up more than just Colorado
before they listen to any PAC school asking for admittance, then offering
membership that will include many more years of partial revenue sharing before earning a full share than Rutgers had to do.
15 years might e a good guess with the schools still earning a little more, after a few years, than if they became Vitamin Conference (B-12) members.

Waiting for the PAC to start losing members before taking Washington ,Oregon and maybe the rest of California at a reduced rate might be the plan
 

airspace

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You're far from the first person who says that the Big Ten does not want to be responsible for the death of the PAC. I don't see why the Big Ten would care, and the fact that the Big Ten took on USC and UCLA indicates that the Big Ten is willing at the least to inflict serious harm on the Pac. Your second point is very important. On your third, I doubt that the expansion candidates would be permanently limited to a lesser payout - probably there would be a transition period to full payout just as with Rutgers and Maryland. Having "have-nots" is not good for conference stability.
I should have clarified that one point on lessor payouts.

Typically, new members get less until next contract where they get full shares. Worst case, it could be over a set period of time that could over lap a portion of the next contract (doubt this). In the past, it was considered a buy in to the Big 10 network (USC/UCLA brought enough market share to avoid this).
 

Shelby65

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Tulane IMO fits the Big 12 more than UConn. People say UConn carries the NYC market but let me say this, when's the last time anyone saw a UConn fan from around NYC/NJ/Philly? I live just outside of Philly and UConn has zero pull here, it's all Rutgers/Cult State/ND with a smaller following for schools like Nova/Temple/UDel. You'd think with hoops they'd attract students from South Jersey who are sports fans but nope.
Disagree.....same reason B1G won't take Stanford or Duke (after), or even Northwestern if it had do-over. Academics don't matter. Eyeballs matter. Top private schools are smaller and the alums don't stay local.

UConn is a more attractive team than Tulane, not even factoring in hoops. I'd try for Utah or Arizona before UConn but never Tulane.
 

RUaMoose_rivals

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Honestly I think he inherited a bad situation from his predecessor who was a tennis guy if I recall correctly. Not expanding when they had a chance, and not partnering the Pac12 network with a major broadcast partner started the dominoes in motion in my opinion. GK comes in and immediately has to deal with the USC / UCLA defection. Its hard to negotiate a new TV deal when you lose your two most valuable assets on just about day one on the job.

Now GK does deserve criticism for not replacing the LA schools right away and going for a new TV deal but I think he was dealing with an old big east scenario where everyone left was looking for an exit and did not want to commit long term.
Christ, when USC and UCLA announced he should have had a presser the next day announcing the addition of SDSU. Guy’s a total incompetent.

( I exaggerate a bit about “the next day” but you get my point)
 

Retired711

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Christ, when USC and UCLA announced he should have had a presser the next day announcing the addition of SDSU. Guy’s a total incompetent.

( I exaggerate a bit about “the next day” but you get my point)
SDSU doesn't have anywhere near the prestige of UCLA and USC -- SDSU is part of the California State system, which is the second tier in California higher education below the University of California, which includes UCLA. It's kind of like dating the girl next door after the prettiest girl in town has dumped you.
 
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MADHAT1

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Christ, when USC and UCLA announced he should have had a presser the next day announcing the addition of SDSU. Guy’s a total incompetent.

( I exaggerate a bit about “the next day” but you get my point)
He's claiming expansion will happen, but only after the TV rights deal will be done.
So when 3 programs are left because no one wants them and deal with cartoon channel finalized , expansion will go forward.😁
 

Retired711

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He's claiming expansion will happen, but only after the TV rights deal will be done.
So when 3 programs are left because no one wants them and deal with cartoon channel finalized , expansion will go forward.😁
I just don't understand why any TV system would want to contract with a conference when it doesn't know if the conference will have enough members to be viable.
 
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MADHAT1

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SDSU doesn't have anywhere near the prestige of UCLA and USC -- SDSU is part of the California State system, which is the second tier in California higher education below the University of California, which includes UCLA. It's kind of like dating the girl next door after the prettiest girl in town has dumped you.
But the PAC need schools and SDSU might have given them a little more advantage in TV rights negioations because of southern cal tv viewership
Also the PAC should have hit Texas for SMU and UTSA for the TV sets there.
As it stands now, the PAC doesn't have much to offer and can't promise the better programs left will stay..
But I'm sure the PAC asked , during negotiations, how much adding SDSU would help get a better dollar in a TV rights deal and didn't like what was said.
I just think adding the Aztecs before they crawled back to the Mountain West would have sweetened the pot more than without them a member
 

Retired711

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But the PAC need schools and SDSU might have given them a little more advantage in TV rights negioations because of southern cal tv viewership
Also the PAC should have hit Texas for SMU and UTSA for the TV sets there.
As it stands now, the PAC doesn't have much to offer and can't promise the better programs left will stay..
But I'm sure the PAC asked , during negotiations, how much adding SDSU would help get a better dollar in a TV rights deal and didn't like what was said.
I just think adding the Aztecs before they crawled back to the Mountain West would have sweetened the pot more than without them a member
You're probably right, but San Diego is a different media market than the rest of Southern California. My guess is that you're right in suggesting that the PAC asked if having SDSU (or SMU or UTSA) would make a big difference in the contract negotiations and didn't like the answer. There's also a "prestige" factor here -- just as the Big Ten wants a certain kind of school, so too does the PAC.
 
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He's claiming expansion will happen, but only after the TV rights deal will be done.
So when 3 programs are left because no one wants them and deal with cartoon channel finalized , expansion will go forward.😁
I suppose you can have a bunch of “if this then that” clauses in the contract for various configurations but it’s much easier and cleaner if the membership is set.

Also it’s not necessarily just GK, it could just as easily be some academic snobs or what not in leadership at some universities. As I mentioned above with examples of the B12 and B10, commissioners don’t have carte blanche to do whatever they want.
 
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bigmatt718

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SDSU doesn't have anywhere near the prestige of UCLA and USC -- SDSU is part of the California State system, which is the second tier in California higher education below the University of California, which includes UCLA. It's kind of like dating the girl next door after the prettiest girl in town has dumped you.
And said girl next door is a 5 at best, not the fantasy girl next door you see on TV or movies.
 

Retired711

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I suppose you can have a bunch of “if this then that” clauses in the contract for various configurations but it’s much easier and cleaner if the membership is set.

Also it’s not necessarily just GK, it could just as easily be some academic snobs or what not in leadership at some universities. As I mentioned above with examples of the B12 and B10, commissioners don’t have carte blanche to do whatever they want.
Just keep in mind that one reason Rutgers' administration wanted the school in the Big Ten was so that it would be with academic peers. I'm sure it's not the only school administration that thinks that's important. San Diego State is a second-class citizen in California's higher education system, and you have to expect the flagship universities to be influenced by that.
 

bigmatt718

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Just keep in mind that one reason Rutgers' administration wanted the school in the Big Ten was so that it would be with academic peers. I'm sure it's not the only school administration that thinks that's important. San Diego State is a second-class citizen in California's higher education system, and you have to expect the flagship universities to be influenced by that.
Exactly. Rutgers aligns and wants to be aligned with schools like Michigan, OSU, Purdue, Wisconsin, and now USC and UCLA instead of random directional Floridas or Temple in the AAC or Catholic schools that RU has nothing in common with in the BE.
 
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Just keep in mind that one reason Rutgers' administration wanted the school in the Big Ten was so that it would be with academic peers. I'm sure it's not the only school administration that thinks that's important. San Diego State is a second-class citizen in California's higher education system, and you have to expect the flagship universities to be influenced by that.
As far as athletics is concerned beggars can’t be choosers. It’s being too snooty or whatever and not killing off their competiton when they had the chance that’s put them in this position in the first place. If you’re going to be like that then don’t even bother competing.

Rutgers was in the AAC/BE with USF Louisville and other schools that might not have been on par academically but it did what it had to in order to compete.
 

Retired711

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As far as athletics is concerned beggars can’t be choosers. It’s being too snooty or whatever and not killing off their competiton when they had the chance that’s put them in this position in the first place. If you’re going to be like that then don’t even bother competing.

Rutgers was in the AAC/BE with USF Louisville and other schools that might not have been on par academically but it did what it had to in order to compete.
Yep, and the moment it could, Rutgers jumped up. I suspect Rutgers wouldn't be enthused about being asked to jump down. Maybe you're right that a school in that position should,, but it's not an easy decision to make until you're convinced there's absolutely no alternative.
 

Will Scarlet

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I'm not sure that the Big Ten's members are as interested in higher levels of achievement as in higher levels of money. I doubt that many Big Ten members would agree to taking any new members if that means a reduced payout for each existing member. I'm not saying that's good -- just how the world works.
I don't dispute that the dollars come first. But, academics and value aren't mutually exclusive. As an example, a former President at Fox Sports is reported to have speculated that Stanford's media value was in the neighborhood of $45M while despite having vastly more successful football, Oregon "just" hovered around $30M. Stanford Worth More Than Oregon? If there's truth to this suggestion, Stanford adds to B1G revenue on Day One, expands the B1G footprint in a major west coast media market and would immediately become the conference's most prestigious academic institution. Win-win-win, even if it means also taking-on a travel partner that "only" pays for itself, while further expanding the footprint and holding its own academically, particularly if Cal or UW.
 

Retired711

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I don't dispute that the dollars come first. But, academics and value aren't mutually exclusive. As an example, a former President at Fox Sports is reported to have speculated that Stanford's media value was in the neighborhood of $45M while despite having vastly more successful football, Oregon "just" hovered around $30M. Stanford Worth More Than Oregon? If there's truth to this suggestion, Stanford adds to B1G revenue on Day One, expands the B1G footprint in a major west coast media market and would immediately become the conference's most prestigious academic institution. Win-win-win, even if it means also taking-on a travel partner that "only" pays for itself, while further expanding the footprint and holding its own academically, particularly if Cal or UW.
I'm not sure that it's academics that explains why Stanford might be more valuable. Stanford isn't very good now, but I'm sure you've heard of Jim Plunkett, John Elway and Andrew Luck, just to name great quarterbacks who have come out of the school. There's nothing like having a winning tradition, as Notre Dame illustrates. The easiest travel partner would be Cal, with which Stanford has had a rivalry for over a century -- but maybe UW would be more attractive because it would bring Seattle, an additional media market.
 

Will Scarlet

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I'm not sure that it's academics that explains why Stanford might be more valuable. Stanford isn't very good now, but I'm sure you've heard of Jim Plunkett, John Elway and Andrew Luck, just to name great quarterbacks who have come out of the school. There's nothing like having a winning tradition, as Notre Dame illustrates. The easiest travel partner would be Cal, with which Stanford has had a rivalry for over a century -- but maybe UW would be more attractive because it would bring Seattle, an additional media market.
As I recall, Stanford also has the greatest number (or something close to it) of championships across all sports. Yes, these are all Olympic sports. But, it makes them winners nonetheless. Across the board athletic success helps. What probably helps more is location. Without checking, I'm sure that far more people live in the immediate Bay area as in the entire state of Oregon. Either way, Stanford just seem like a logical fit for the B1G. I agree that either Cal or UW would be the most logical traveling partners. UW presumably brings more to the table financially. But, Cal brings superior academics and would be more of logistical fit, locking-up California for the B1G. Maybe it's personal bias after years around academia. But, Stanford and Berkeley grads far-and-away disproportionally populate administrative circles at top research universities. They hold sway that isn't reflected on spreadsheets. There's no way these institutions end-up on the losing-side of conference realignment.
 

Retired711

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As I recall, Stanford also has the greatest number (or something close to it) of championships across all sports. Yes, these are all Olympic sports. But, it makes them winners nonetheless. Across the board athletic success helps. What probably helps more is location. Without checking, I'm sure that far more people live in the immediate Bay area as in the entire state of Oregon. Either way, Stanford just seem like a logical fit for the B1G. I agree that either Cal or UW would be the most logical traveling partners. UW presumably brings more to the table financially. But, Cal brings superior academics and would be more of logistical fit, locking-up California for the B1G. Maybe it's personal bias after years around academia. But, Stanford and Berkeley grads far-and-away disproportionally populate administrative circles at top research universities. They hold sway that isn't reflected on spreadsheets. There's no way these institutions end-up on the losing-side of conference realignment.
You're probably right -- but Cal alums at least are nervous!
 
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Yep, and the moment it could, Rutgers jumped up. I suspect Rutgers wouldn't be enthused about being asked to jump down. Maybe you're right that a school in that position should,, but it's not an easy decision to make until you're convinced there's absolutely no alternative.
This is the same point I was making. You can’t hold your noses high up in the air in terms of athletics or don’t bother competing.