my overall prediction is what it is with 30 wins. What happens with a rotation of Stratton, Girodo, and Graveman? If that's our rotation, we're going to have some bullpen issues. That rotation that I just mentioned is not out of the realm of possibility if Devin Jones doesn't step up and Routt doesn't come back. To me, Tim Statz is kind of a wildcard right now, as is Hunter Renfroe. If Routt can't come back, we could go with Statz- who is also coming back from an injury and is further along than Routt and has looked OK in the scrimmages.
Hunter Renfroe is a wild card because he has the arm to be an elite closer, but he really has never pitched before and he is extremely raw. But, overall he has looked pretty good, and he might be the guy that saves us this year. We have never really replaced Aaron Weatherford.
If anything, I feel like we have more options, and so we should be able to absorb something like the loss of a Nick Routt better. But, I'll tell you one thing that really scares me about our staff is we somehow have zero senior pitchers. That's big in college where you need leaders amongst the pitching staff.
So, I think your concern is pretty legit.