current events thread

tjfleck6

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A 1 percent decrease in say a 6.5% rate would be .065%. That would be pretty meaningless.

MAGA control Congress but they just spend money. Trump runs MAGA but can't reduce spending!
You are one dumb dude. Extremely dumb. MAGA controls Congress? Are Mitch, Murkowski, Collin’s, and the NC moron MAGA? If not, MAGA doesn’t control the Senate. And you are saying all of the 3 vote majority in the House are MAGA? Just dumb Jeff. Similar to the market crash and high inflation you PROMISED me.

A 1 percent decline in the mortgage rate is very significant, perhaps not to Jeff who is raking it in thanks to the Trump stock market. To your average American it is amazing.

But, of course you are a total hypocrite because you VOTED for continued massive deficits with zero cuts. Face it Jeff, you know your party sucks and pop up on this board to go after DOGE of all things. Must suck to be you



Lifetime savings of between 56k and 225k. That is “pretty meaningless” to deranged Jeff.
 
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Semi-elite R2R athlete

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You are one dumb dude. Extremely dumb. MAGA controls Congress? Are Mitch, Murkowski, Collin’s, and the NC moron MAGA? If not, MAGA doesn’t control the Senate. And you are saying all of the 3 vote majority in the House are MAGA? Just dumb Jeff. Similar to the market crash and high inflation you PROMISED me.

A 1 percent decline in the mortgage rate is very significant, perhaps not to Jeff who is raking it in thanks to the Trump stock market. To your average American it is amazing.

But, of course you are a total hypocrite because you VOTED for continued massive deficits with zero cuts. Face it Jeff, you know your party sucks and pop up on this board to go after DOGE of all things. Must suck to be you



Lifetime savings of between 56k and 225k. That is “pretty meaningless” to deranged Jeff.
Semi-elite!

He always throws in a “deranged” after he goes on these crazy rants. Hilarious
 

JeffT819

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Dec 4, 2001
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You are one dumb dude. Extremely dumb. MAGA controls Congress? Are Mitch, Murkowski, Collin’s, and the NC moron MAGA? If not, MAGA doesn’t control the Senate. And you are saying all of the 3 vote majority in the House are MAGA? Just dumb Jeff. Similar to the market crash and high inflation you PROMISED me.

A 1 percent decline in the mortgage rate is very significant, perhaps not to Jeff who is raking it in thanks to the Trump stock market. To your average American it is amazing.

But, of course you are a total hypocrite because you VOTED for continued massive deficits with zero cuts. Face it Jeff, you know your party sucks and pop up on this board to go after DOGE of all things. Must suck to be you



Lifetime savings of between 56k and 225k. That is “pretty meaningless” to deranged Jeff.
Trump has reduced spending by 1%. The same one percent decline in a mortgage rate is insignificant. Remember I am talking about a one percent decline not a decline of a percentage point in a mortgage rate. They are not the same thing. A decline of 6.5 to 5.5 in a mortgage is about a 15% decline not 1%. You are mixing up two different concepts and you call me dumb!
 

tjfleck6

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Apr 19, 2008
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Trump has reduced spending by 1%. The same one percent decline in a mortgage rate is insignificant. Remember I am talking about a one percent decline not a decline of a percentage point in a mortgage rate. They are not the same thing. A decline of 6.5 to 5.5 in a mortgage is about a 15% decline not 1%. You are mixing up two different concepts and you call me dumb!
Jeff - you are extremely dumb. My 1 percent question said Mortgage rate and apparently you agree with me while disagreeing with me.

Yes, you are dumb and a hypocrite. You say above Trump has reduced spending by 1 percent. That is an amazing achievement with this narrowly divided and majority anti Trump Senate.

A decline of 1 percent sucks to you after how many years of significant increases? Are you kidding me? When was the last time spending declined?

You don’t care about spending as proven by this dumb take. You are deranged and hate Trump.

“I’m Jeff and Trump sucks because spending is DOWN only 1 percent”
 
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Uncoach

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Just because you identify as a wolf, it doesn’t mean you are a wolf.

edit: this is a parody, just FYI, but it is certainly a bizarro world that a story like this can fool a lot of people. It also insinuates some commentary on our current state of weirdness.

 
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Semi-elite R2R athlete

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Jeff - you are extremely dumb. My 1 percent question said Mortgage rate and apparently you agree with me while disagreeing with me.

Yes, you are dumb and a hypocrite. You say above Trump has reduced spending by 1 percent. That is an amazing achievement with this narrowly divided and majority anti Trump Senate.

A decline of 1 percent sucks to you after how many years of significant increases? Are you kidding me? When was the last time spending declined?

You don’t care about spending as proven by this dumb take. You are deranged and hate Trump.

“I’m Jeff and Trump sucks because spending is DOWN only 1 percent”
Semi-elite!
 

ILisBest

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The choice in 2024 was easy.


My son was a victim of a hit and run in Minneapolis. He captured the first 3 of the license plate, color and kind of car. Police never found the person responsible. Like most large cities, they have an understaffed PD. Thank you Dems!
 
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stoneaxe27

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Oh, Politico. A totally unbiased source. What is a joke were your predictions for massive inflation and a bear market.

Trumps tariff plan is working wonders on all fronts. He’s getting great trade deals, brokering peace, bringing in 30B per month, and lastly garnering unbelievable investments in America. It’s an economic game changer and political weapon to further American interests worldwide. Heck, India is paying the price for buying Russian oil.
I don't believe this is going to age well!
 

Semi-elite R2R athlete

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Keep obsessing over what others look at online
If he shares brain rot engagement bait on an open forum, responses are expected.

He doesn’t just look at it, by the way. I don’t care what he looks at. He looks at it then copies and pastes it here in the hopes of collecting a few “likes.”
 

dtrain79

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Right now, economic growth is weak and the job market isn't great (the latter is complicated by deportations and foreign workers leaving the workforce so I'm inclined to wait awhile on it).

All this "tariff revenue" isn't alleviating the deficit, either, which will only grow as tax cuts kick in.
  • As of August 11, 2025 (covering the period of October 2024 - July 2025), the US government has spent $1.63 trillion more than it has collected in revenue, resulting in a national deficit.
  • This represents an increase of $112 billion compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year (FY24)
That said, I do believe the non-tariff policies are pro-growth, interest rates will come down in the next 12 months, and economic performance generally will improve. Also, the tariffs as currently applied will mostly be struck down in the courts IMHO, tho Trump may return them in a different form.

But the stock market is awesome! Can't complain there! It's a boon to me too. I do think, on balance, this reflects a belief that Trump's pro-growth policies outweigh his (anti-growth) tariff policy.
 

dtrain79

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Just one small point here...this addresses what I am talking about. In big cities, we look at it this way. No one reports it and people look at as victimless. If a group of kids is smoking weed, and/or a transient is smoking crack in the vicinity of kids in a park in Colby, KS.....someone is absolutely reporting it, and local cops would address it. That still happens in small towns. In big cities, it's just looked at as an unfortunate inconvenience.

Doug has mentioned this in the past. In the cities, we just look at crime as something that you have to live with.

Also impacts crime stats and what they tell us about different places. Minor crimes are still charged and prosecuted in small towns. In big cities, people just look the other way.

Cities have always been more chaotic than rural areas. That's literally a function of human behavior. Cities also provide more anonymity for questionable behavior. They also tend to have less resources directed towards behavioral control, relatively speaking

I happen to agree with you that disorder generally is bad. I also think that, no matter how good we could become at maintaining a standard of order, city living will be more chaotic than the countryside. People didn't move into suburbs for no reason back when the auto and economic growth made them doable.
 
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dtrain79

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Here are specific examples of crime statistics being underreported or inaccurate, drawn from documented cases and reliable sources:

1. **San Diego, CA (2007–2008)**: A KGTV 10News investigation revealed systemic underreporting by the San Diego Police Department (SDPD). Victims and officers reported that crimes like assaults, robberies, and attempted rapes were not documented to keep official numbers low. In 2004, SDPD took reports for only 8% of calls for service, compared to 21% for LAPD and 23% for the San Diego County Sheriff’s Department. Whistleblowers alleged directives to avoid taking reports unless absolutely necessary, with one officer comparing it to “cooking the books.” Victims, like a woman attacked in Mission Valley, had reports promised but never filed.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

2. **Los Angeles, CA (2014–2015)**: A city audit found that the Los Angeles Police Department misclassified over 14,000 aggravated assaults as minor crimes, underreporting the 2014 aggravated assault count by approximately 23%. This skewed the perception of violent crime trends in the city.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

3. **Washington, D.C. (2025)**: A Metropolitan Police commander was disciplined for altering crime classifications, including coding overdose deaths as “natural” instead of drug-related to reduce reported crime totals. This contributed to inconsistencies in violent crime data, as noted in a 2023 D.C. Auditor report.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

4. **Atlanta, GA (2002–2004)**: An internal audit revealed that 3.2% of Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Part I crimes were underreported, with some crimes downgraded to lesser categories to artificially lower crime statistics.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

5. **Milwaukee, WI (2012)**: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel exposed that hundreds of serious assaults were misclassified as minor incidents, artificially reducing the city’s violent crime statistics.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

6. **Baltimore, MD (2010)**: The Baltimore Sun reported that police routinely “unfounded” rape cases, marking them as “no crime” without proper investigation, leading to significant underreporting of sexual assault.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

7. **New Orleans, LA (2014)**: Reports from the City Inspector General and the Department of Justice found that the sex crimes unit misclassified rapes as non-criminal events, leaving many cases uninvestigated and underreported.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

8. **Austin, TX (2018–2022)**: A ProPublica/Newsy investigation uncovered the overuse of “exceptional clearance” to close sexual assault cases without arrests, inflating clearance rates and underreporting unresolved cases.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

9. **New York City, NY (2010–2013)**: The Village Voice’s “NYPD Tapes” and internal reviews documented CompStat-driven downgrading of felonies to misdemeanors, such as reclassifying aggravated assaults as minor offenses, to improve crime statistics.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)

10. **FBI NIBRS Transition (2021–2023)**: The FBI’s shift to the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) in 2021 led to nearly 40% of U.S. police agencies failing to submit data, creating a national blind spot. This resulted in incomplete and unreliable national crime trends for those years, as reported by the Marshall Project and FBI data.[](https://www.powermentor.org/blog/underreporting-crime-in-the-united-states-20052025-a-20year-investigative-review)[](https://govfacts.org/analysis/us-crime-statistics-what-10-years-of-data-shows/)

11. **National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) Discrepancies**: The NCVS, conducted by the Bureau of Justice Statistics, consistently shows higher crime rates than FBI UCR data due to unreported crimes. For example, in 2022, only 41.5% of violent crimes and 31.8% of household property crimes were reported to police, with just 21.4% of rape/sexual assaults reported, highlighting a significant “dark figure” of crime.[](https://govfacts.org/analysis/us-crime-statistics-what-10-years-of-data-shows/)

12. **Package Theft in NYC (2019)**: A City Journal article cited a 2019 NYC Department of Transportation report estimating 90,000 packages stolen or lost annually, but these incidents were rarely reflected in official crime statistics due to underreporting by victims and police. These examples illustrate systemic issues like misclassification, unfounding, discouraging reports, and incomplete data submission, all contributing to inaccurate crime statistics. If you’d like, I can dig deeper into any of these cases or search for more recent examples.

I believe the crime rates have probably dropped from their all-time highs the last few years, but it really is anybody's guess how much as numbers have been played with, unreported or underreported.

Yes, reporting errors or malfeasance only occur when crime is going down. This is all noise, it's basically as likely (or more likely) to be an issue when crime goes up. If you want to juke the stats on crime as a copy, you definitely want to juke them when they are making you look bad by going up.

One reason to take reported crimes more seriously is because the victim does. Someone broke into my car a year or so ago (it was unlocked), stole a couple pairs of old sunglasses and some change. It was a crime, I basically didn't care. So that was unreported. But I didn't consider how it would impact the crime stats.

When you deal with comparative statistics - and that's what we are doing - the variable of unreported or misreported crimes is mostly irrelevant BECAUSE THAT VARIABLE EXISTS WHEN THE DATA IS RISING AND FALLING. It's just not meaningfully relevant to the comparison. Unreported crime %s were likely similar in 2010, 2016, 2022, and 2024, so we can still well understand where crime is headed.

This stuff gets more laughable every day because I know where we are going. Come next summer, Trump is going to be touting HISTORIC REDUCTIONS IN CRIME UNDER TRUMP. The data is clear on that. I think he's having a minimal impact, just like I thought Biden has basically no impact on the 2023-24 reductions. But I know where we are headed, HISTORIC REDUCTIONS IN CRIME UNDER TRUMP. Rinse and repeat with the plummeting OD numbers (tho Trump policy is more meaningful here, but things were already rapidly moving in the right direction).
 

BigWill

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Fair enough, did you sell everything in the market to support your claim?
I have been on my laptop all week, killing it on AMD with multiple calls at the average cost of around $ 1.00.
Selling out my contracts at about $ 3.30 !

The same calls hit between $ 5 and $ 6 ! I wish I was a piggy !
 
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BigWill

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Cities have always been more chaotic than rural areas. That's literally a function of human behavior. Cities also provide more anonymity for questionable behavior. They also tend to have less resources directed towards behavioral control, relatively speaking

I happen to agree with you that disorder generally is bad. I also think that, no matter how good we could become at maintaining a standard of order, city living will be more chaotic than the countryside. People didn't move into suburbs for no reason back when the auto and economic growth made them doable.
This is NOT earth shaking thought !
 
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BigWill

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White liberals…Jeff’s party. Ooh look what Trump made me do.


The Judge is PO'ed ! Leave your Sub in the fridge !

Assault on a Police Officer is a no joke crime !

He was also FIRED from his job in THE DOJ !
 

Uncoach

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Holy hells bells. Crazy story. Who else that had a working brain in the 80’s has heard this? Did I miss the story?

 
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