current events thread

ILisBest

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Btw, literally one of the foremost crime data experts on the country regarding DC.

Assessing DC's Violent Crime Trends - by Jeff Asher

Summary - Murder and carjackings definitely down, not at historic lows but tracking positively. Carjackings definitely a crime of the youth. Violent crime also down, but there are reporting issues making this hard to track (probably not intentional ones but they are intervening with the data).

I think it's silly Trump is putting the Guard on the streets, it's him "showing force." Federalizing the anti-crime efforts in DC is much more within his actual purview, and not problematic. Crime in DC can definitely be further tamped down.
The police union disagrees with your take.

 

tjfleck6

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Due to fake reporting and leniency, I’m not buying a “30 year low”. If true, the numbers still suck and with Big Balls getting beat to hell, this Trump use of power will demonstrate that cities can be safe.

The whining Democrats forget the abusive DOJ taking control of so many police forces around America to enhance their lawless vision

 

rillaman

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Hillary Clinton Wow GIF
 

rillaman

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Excess deaths continued to be elevated after the vaccine because very vulnerable people were given false hope with the vaccine.

Elderly and other vulnerable people, who isolated for months, felt confident exposing themselves to every illness they avoided because experts told them they wouldn’t get COVID if they were vaccinated. That was incorrect, and definitely led to the loss of additional lives.

The vaccine didn’t kill them, but it also didn’t protect the most vulnerable from dying.
 

BigWill

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Weird, DC NBC was reporting on rising youth crime just a few months ago. Seems like it is a major problem, specifically with theft and carjackings.
Matt just arrested a two-fer, illegal immigrant AND a juvie !

He is now tied up ALL day and at least 4 hours OT to process the kid thru the myriad of the NYC Juvenile System !
 
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BigWill

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Btw, literally one of the foremost crime data experts on the country regarding DC.

Assessing DC's Violent Crime Trends - by Jeff Asher

Summary - Murder and carjackings definitely down, not at historic lows but tracking positively. Carjackings definitely a crime of the youth. Violent crime also down, but there are reporting issues making this hard to track (probably not intentional ones but they are intervening with the data).

I think it's silly Trump is putting the Guard on the streets, it's him "showing force." Federalizing the anti-crime efforts in DC is much more within his actual purview, and not problematic. Crime in DC can definitely be further tamped down.
Car jacking in DC is UP OVER 500 % !

Facts are hard to hide !
 
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rillaman

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Matt just arrested a two-fer, illegal immigrant AND a juvie !

He is now tied up ALL day and at least 4 hours OT to process the kid thru the myriad of the NYC Juvenile System !

Youth crime is a major problem in many cities across the country. I know it’s been a big story in Co Springs over the last couple years.

 
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BigWill

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Crime stats in 2024 were massively down, with Biden in charge of deporting illegals. In the case of violent crime and property crime, lows hitting where things stood per capita in the 1960s.

Why is that? Because the large majority of crimes in the USA are committed by native born citizens, something I'd think a serious law enforcement officer would want to know. I'm sure that more crimes in NYC are committed by non-citizens than elsewhere, because there's a huge non-citizen population in NYC (including an illegal population).

We can continue to post the facts about this, and you can continue to bleat about the FBI only getting reports from 96% of LE agencies (i.e., basically all of them).

Sometimes you can actually take the L on something, especially when you've been proven wholly wrong.
As USUAL, you post of what you know less than nothing !

The FBI under Joey and Obumma were NOT getting stats from about 50 % of law enforcement departments like the LARGEST PD in the World NYPD.

In your informed brain how many Illegal Immigrants did Joey deport ?

Facts are proof, not your posts here and there.
 
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BigWill

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dtrain79

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This seems to be a fair assessment.


I had this conversation with my sister yesterday. The issue in DC with crime isn't the trend, which is positive, but the fact that DC has had far too much crime for far too long. In fairness, the DC crime problem is very specific to certain neighborhoods, and not general.

As for my view on the topic, federalizing the DC police is not the wrong decision per se (tho I don't have a lot of faith in Trump to handle it well). The National Guard stuff is ridiculous, and just a showcase (I supported the NG on the streets during the LA rioting), but general public order is not at issue here.
 
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dtrain79

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If the vaccine was killing people, life insurance companies would ask your vaccine status, before issuing a policy. They would load rates for those that are vaccinated.

That isn’t happening because the vaccine isn’t killing people.

I love a good reference to how the free market works. Great stuff.
 
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dtrain79

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Car jacking in DC is UP OVER 500 % !

Facts are hard to hide !

Carjackings WERE up 600% or something in late 2023/early 2024 from the 2019 baseline. They've been dropping like a rock since. They are still up 250% or so (there aren't a lot of carjackings overall so the spikes are higher). It's August 2025 now, BigWill. Not November 2023.

"DC has an excellent carjackings dashboard which clearly shows the city’s trends. Carjackings increased in 2020 and then nearly doubled in 2023 before peaking and firmly declining since the start of 2024. Carjackings are still reported more frequently now than they were before COVID, but there has been a consistent drop for more than 18 months. The 16 carjackings reported in DC in July 2025 were the fewest reported in a month since May 2020 — before the surge — and represented an 87 percent drop from July 2023’s total.

The available data suggests that carjackings tend to be disproportionately committed by juveniles. Less than 8 percent of Washington, DC arrests in 2024 were juveniles per MPDC data, but more than half of carjacking arrests involve a juvenile. So it’s also noteworthy the degree to which juvenile arrests for carjackings have fallen, at least through 2024 (2025 arrest data isn’t available yet)."

As USUAL, you post of what you know less than nothing !

The FBI under Joey and Obumma were NOT getting stats from about 50 % of law enforcement departments like the LARGEST PD in the World NYPD.

In your informed brain how many Illegal Immigrants did Joey deport ?

Facts are proof, not your posts here and there.

You seem to live in the world that existed at some prior time. Yes, the FBI data wasn't as good in 2021-22 due to some changes in the system and how they were processing. But that's not applicable today.

HOWEVER, CRIME WAS WAY UP IN 2021-22, WHICH I'VE REPEATEDLY STATED. My whole point has been that it started going down in 2023, and continues to reduce at a breakneck pace. Understand, I don't think you are very bright, but I do think you are smart enough to know that your argument about what was happening in 2022 (crime up, FBI system bad) doesn't still apply 3 years later because you'd like it to.
 
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dtrain79

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Aggregate FBI crime data means next to nothing. I can explain further if anyone is interested but I should probably stay out of it.

I actually rely on crime data from Jeff Asher (who aggregates a substantial number of department statistics to produce a national profile), but if you want to argue that crime is anything other than considerably down from 2022, I'm more than happy to see any facts that would dispel this (there aren't). There was a post-Covid crime wave, likely generated by some combination of police retreat post-Floyd and the general chaos Covid/lockdowns unleashed across society. Since 2023, we've seen major improvements in crime, though not every type of crime follows the same pattern (e.g., auto thefts spiked in 2023 and have since dropped considerably).

Btw, there's a really good argument that the only crime worth tracking is homicide (because it almost never goes unreported). Homicide rates plunged in 2023, 2024, and 2025 looks even better.

Jeff-alytics | Jeff Asher | Substack
 

Uncoach

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Spend some time in how the Chief of DC PD reported crime ! He is suspended and will probably be incarcerated in an old Jan 6 th cell !
He should be. He is one of the reasons you can’t believe the accuracy of crime stats. What is fair is the article commenting that yes the homicide rate has dropped, but it’s still the 4th highest in the US. It’s not acceptable that the capital of the country is this messy, car jackings and getting beat up from robbery. There was literally a murder 2 blocks away from where the Dems were protesting against Feds taking over in DC last night.
 
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dtrain79

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He should be. He is one of the reasons you can’t believe the accuracy of crime stats. What is fair is the article commenting that yes the homicide rate has dropped, but it’s still the 4th highest in the US. It’s not acceptable that the capital of the country is this messy, car jackings and getting beat up from robbery. There was literally a murder 2 blocks away from where the Dems were protesting against Feds taking over in DC last night.

This is the argument against whatever the DC police/leaders have been doing. The city is too dangerous, even if improving.

I don't understand why you guys are all so obsessed with denigrating the data. You'd be citing to it if it established the "crime is getting worse" point.

Here's the reality, crime data has done a very nice job tracking the general sentiment on crime in the US. Crime really was horrific from at some point in the 1970s to the mid-1990s, and it was a top shelf political issue much of this era. It really did drop a ton from the mid-1990s to the mid-2010s (hence crime receding as a political issue). And the aftermath of the Ferguson and Floyd rioting really did lead to crime spikes (the first more localized/second more generalized), which is why we are discussing crime today.

But I do think it's clear that we are moving quickly to a point where crime is just not a front burner topic of political discussion, because it's falling dramatically again, likely to under the roughly 2014 lows since we've kept the data.
 

BigWill

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I had this conversation with my sister yesterday. The issue in DC with crime isn't the trend, which is positive, but the fact that DC has had far too much crime for far too long. In fairness, the DC crime problem is very specific to certain neighborhoods, and not general.

As for my view on the topic, federalizing the DC police is not the wrong decision per se (tho I don't have a lot of faith in Trump to handle it well). The National Guard stuff is ridiculous, and just a showcase (I supported the NG on the streets during the LA rioting), but general public order is not at issue here.
Does or did your Sister live in DC ? My second Sister did, and fully supports his efforts to control crime in and around DC !

I have the faith that President Trump will handle this problem !

Like he has handled the Southern Border, Inflation, Energy, Trillions of foreign investments flowing into the USA, multiple wars in various places in the World, ETC. ETC.
 

BigWill

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This is the argument against whatever the DC police/leaders have been doing. The city is too dangerous, even if improving.

I don't understand why you guys are all so obsessed with denigrating the data. You'd be citing to it if it established the "crime is getting worse" point.

Here's the reality, crime data has done a very nice job tracking the general sentiment on crime in the US. Crime really was horrific from at some point in the 1970s to the mid-1990s, and it was a top shelf political issue much of this era. It really did drop a ton from the mid-1990s to the mid-2010s (hence crime receding as a political issue). And the aftermath of the Ferguson and Floyd rioting really did lead to crime spikes (the first more localized/second more generalized), which is why we are discussing crime today.

But I do think it's clear that we are moving quickly to a point where crime is just not a front burner topic of political discussion, because it's falling dramatically again, likely to under the roughly 2014 lows since we've kept the data.
Like deaths during Covid that are woefully unreported nationally AND worldwide.

We don't denigrate the data, just the methodology used to let you to assume it as factual.

Especially when you have NO experience with actual law enforcement or criminals, or at least none you've exclaimed here.
 
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dtrain79

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Does or did your Sister live in DC ? My second Sister did, and fully supports his efforts to control crime in and around DC !

I have the faith that President Trump will handle this problem !

Like he has handled the Southern Border, Inflation, Energy, Trillions of foreign investments flowing into the USA, multiple wars in various places in the World, ETC. ETC.

My sister lives in Alexandria, probably a 10 minute drive without traffic to the bridge into DC. She's also pretty close to Maryland.