Football ESPN FPI projects the remaining games on Rutgers Football's schedule
- Thread starter Richie O
- Start date
This thing is useless. So much recency bias. If we lose 38-7 to Michigan, all of the BiG game percentages will drop by 10%.
I’m surprised they’re giving us a better chance to beat Michigan than PSU.
Hey does a Wagner win count as part of the 6 required for a bowl game?
I think that's true but with each game played there's more data on each team that will affect the percentages.
Take this all with a grain of salt... but assuming these game odds are accurate, we would have an 81.2% chance of bowling. I dont trust that since the game odds are not independent of eachother, but by simulating the season a bunch of times with these odds, thats what we are looking at.
For a BETTER bowl game.
So everyone is clear, the rule has always been that one game against a non-BCS team can count toward your 6 win bowl requirement. Wagner would count but we'd still need two more wins.
I think many here will agree that if we want to bowl, we need to beat MSU and Indiana. We can't stub our toe in either of those games or it will be tough.
The idea that our home game against Maryland is a toss up is crazy. Right now, they are better, with one of the top QBs in college football. I look forward to Taglovailoa finishing up his eligibility. Not to say it's an automatic loss. But to me, it's almost as tough as Wisconsin or Iowa.
I think many here will agree that if we want to bowl, we need to beat MSU and Indiana. We can't stub our toe in either of those games or it will be tough.
The idea that our home game against Maryland is a toss up is crazy. Right now, they are better, with one of the top QBs in college football. I look forward to Taglovailoa finishing up his eligibility. Not to say it's an automatic loss. But to me, it's almost as tough as Wisconsin or Iowa.
You mean FBS, not BCS, but yes I agree that many are underestimating Maryland. Pretty odd considering they just beat us 37-0 at the end of last season.