Great post from BDJ by dawgbone33...

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,332
18,657
113
Here we sit at 16-13, scrapping to make the NIT. Only shot at the NCAA
is to win the tourney. Right now we likely need another win to just make
the NIT.

4 key losses are why we are where we are:

61-59 to Florida Atlantic. 1st loss of the year. Bryan Bryant missed
FOUR straight free throws in the last minute and Kodi blew a tip in at
the buzzer. We blew a 10 pt. lead in this one. Hard to say this was a
terrible loss as FIU won the Sun Belt title this year. They are 21-9.
But, you do not lose to a program like FIU at home. You just don't.

63-62 to East Tn State. Another blown lead. Up 13 at the half the Dogs
played like crap in the 2nd half. Still, less than 30 secs left, we had
the lead. ETSU misses the FT but gets the rebound and hits the game
winner. Bryant & Beckham combined for 6 pts. Benock had 3. Ravern
was basically all we had. ETSU finished 2nd in the Atlantic Sun and is
22-10. Not exactly a scrub but still this is the worst loss of the year.

Even without Bost & Sidney you are not supposed to lose at home to
the likes of FIU & ETSU. Both games we had double digit leads and
blew them.

65-62 to Auburn. I change my mind, this is the worst loss of the season.
Up NINETEEN POINTS with 8 min & change left. 19! Those last 8 min.
were the worst played, worst coached, stretch I've seen in a while. You
basically manhandle a team for 32 min. then go brain dead.

84-82 to LSU. You just do not lose at home late in the year to a team
like LSU. They are pitiful. Worst team in the SEC hands down. They have
lost 12 of their last 13! The one win? US. They've lost 7 times by 20 or
more. UK beat them by 38! TSUN beat them by 27! Just an inexcusable,
unexplainable, loss. I change my mind again. THIS is the worst loss of
the season because of who it was against, where it was played, and when
it was in the season.

Now, turn those 4 ridiculous losses to wins and we are:

20-9 overall
10-5 SEC

We would have 3rd best overall SEC record behind FLA (12-3) and ALA
(11-4). We would be 1 game behind ALA in the West with a chance to share
the title with a win over SC this weekend combined with a ALA loss to
GA. ALA would still have the #1 seed for the tournament due to their
sweeping us but we would still have a co-West Div. title on the line
this weekend.

We would likely be on the NCAA bubble. A lot of talk would be those
losses to teams like Virginia Tech, Wash St, & St. Mary's happening
prior to Bost.

We would probably need 1 or 2 wins to make the big dance and that's it.
We would have quality wins on the resume' over Florida & Tennessee,
something we didn't have last year.

4 games in which we had double digit leads over teams we were much better than.

But, we made our bed and we are now lying in it. Win the SEC tournament
or hope, HOPE, the NIT doesn't snub us. All because of those 4 games.
 

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,332
18,657
113
Here we sit at 16-13, scrapping to make the NIT. Only shot at the NCAA
is to win the tourney. Right now we likely need another win to just make
the NIT.

4 key losses are why we are where we are:

61-59 to Florida Atlantic. 1st loss of the year. Bryan Bryant missed
FOUR straight free throws in the last minute and Kodi blew a tip in at
the buzzer. We blew a 10 pt. lead in this one. Hard to say this was a
terrible loss as FIU won the Sun Belt title this year. They are 21-9.
But, you do not lose to a program like FIU at home. You just don't.

63-62 to East Tn State. Another blown lead. Up 13 at the half the Dogs
played like crap in the 2nd half. Still, less than 30 secs left, we had
the lead. ETSU misses the FT but gets the rebound and hits the game
winner. Bryant & Beckham combined for 6 pts. Benock had 3. Ravern
was basically all we had. ETSU finished 2nd in the Atlantic Sun and is
22-10. Not exactly a scrub but still this is the worst loss of the year.

Even without Bost & Sidney you are not supposed to lose at home to
the likes of FIU & ETSU. Both games we had double digit leads and
blew them.

65-62 to Auburn. I change my mind, this is the worst loss of the season.
Up NINETEEN POINTS with 8 min & change left. 19! Those last 8 min.
were the worst played, worst coached, stretch I've seen in a while. You
basically manhandle a team for 32 min. then go brain dead.

84-82 to LSU. You just do not lose at home late in the year to a team
like LSU. They are pitiful. Worst team in the SEC hands down. They have
lost 12 of their last 13! The one win? US. They've lost 7 times by 20 or
more. UK beat them by 38! TSUN beat them by 27! Just an inexcusable,
unexplainable, loss. I change my mind again. THIS is the worst loss of
the season because of who it was against, where it was played, and when
it was in the season.

Now, turn those 4 ridiculous losses to wins and we are:

20-9 overall
10-5 SEC

We would have 3rd best overall SEC record behind FLA (12-3) and ALA
(11-4). We would be 1 game behind ALA in the West with a chance to share
the title with a win over SC this weekend combined with a ALA loss to
GA. ALA would still have the #1 seed for the tournament due to their
sweeping us but we would still have a co-West Div. title on the line
this weekend.

We would likely be on the NCAA bubble. A lot of talk would be those
losses to teams like Virginia Tech, Wash St, & St. Mary's happening
prior to Bost.

We would probably need 1 or 2 wins to make the big dance and that's it.
We would have quality wins on the resume' over Florida & Tennessee,
something we didn't have last year.

4 games in which we had double digit leads over teams we were much better than.

But, we made our bed and we are now lying in it. Win the SEC tournament
or hope, HOPE, the NIT doesn't snub us. All because of those 4 games.
 

Jacknut1

Redshirt
May 23, 2010
333
0
0
If "ifs" and "buts" were candy and nuts, we'd all have a 17ing Merry Christmas!
 

saltybulldog

Redshirt
Nov 15, 2005
1,395
1
32
I agree we should never have lost those games. But even at 20 wins, winning one in the SEC tourney would still keep us out. We would need to make it to Sunday to have a shot. So, it boils down to one game anyway.
 

Coach34

Redshirt
Jul 20, 2012
20,283
1
0
last year its Rider, Richmond, Auburn
the year before thatits Charlotte, San Diego, Texas Tech

who will it be next year? Because we all know it will be the same thing
 

Joe Schmedlap

Redshirt
Aug 11, 2010
1,334
33
48
It is my opinion that 20 wins from an SEC team doesn't mean squat anymore given the weakness of the conference as a whole and the typical weak OOC schedules.State lost those 4 inexcusable games because our team and coaches suck arse. Even had the Bullfrauds won all 4 of those games against turrible competition, it wouldn't mean they were a good team. I really think that any team from the SEC with a legitimate reason to be in the Big Dance this year needs to have 22 or moreregular season victories. The conference is just awful. That is why I think a good coach could come in to Starkville and have lots of early success. It remains to be seen if a new coach could develop the talent already on the roster and recruit new talent. RS cannot coach a lick. His recruiting has been very spotty of late. I'd love to see new blood on the coaching staff next year. I do not expect anything other thanmore of the same though. Wash, rinse, repeat.
 

MadDawg.sixpack

Redshirt
May 22, 2006
3,358
0
0
with those4 wins. Our RPI would still be somewhere in the 70-80 range. Definitely on the outside looking in.
 

615dawg

All-Conference
Jun 4, 2007
6,548
3,414
113
We should have beaten Vanderbilt at home, that would put us at 11-4 in the SEC, going for 12-4 this weekend.
 

RonnyAtmosphere

Redshirt
Jun 4, 2007
2,883
0
0
..argument about why this should be Stansbury's last rodeo @ MSU.


dawgbone33 doesn't make me angry about the team; dawgbone33 makes me angry that a freakin' SEC coach lost to 2 glorified high schools then placed an exclamation point on an already ruined season by then losing to the Mutt Tigers & the Jeff Tigers.
 

Coach34

Redshirt
Jul 20, 2012
20,283
1
0
dawgstudent said:
we always have inexcusable losses. Kind of like Anthony Grant this year.

while Bama is very improved, them not getting their **** together earlier may cost them an NCAA bid. The key to Grant is seeing if they regress any and then come on again like this season, or do they pick up from where they left off this season and have a truly good season.
 

Coach34

Redshirt
Jul 20, 2012
20,283
1
0
should they beat Georgia and win a couple in the Tourney to sneak into the NCAA's, you'd have to say they did finish on a high note considering they havent been to the Tourney in awhile.
 

TBonewannabe

Redshirt
Mar 3, 2008
1,262
0
0
He usually coaches great in the SEC tourney but then loses stupid games like AU and LSU this year. He also usually sucks in the NCAAs. I would like to see someone come in and instill discipline. Stans recruits well but he also benefits from usually getting the best players in MS. He usually doesn't get any big recruits from any where else. Occasionally he will get someone like Mario Austin or Winsome Fraiser.
 

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
13,918
5,768
113
the main problem is that those 4 wins would still leave us with only 1 OOC win in the top 100. The rest of our OOC wins are garbage.

But then again, I don't know how that stacks up with the bubble this year.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,042
25,054
113
If you're going to look at those games and play the "what if" game, you also need to look at:

Appalachian St. - won by 2
Troy - won in overtime
LSU - won by 1
Tennessee - won by 1

If you're going to say we coulda woulda shoulda won those 4 games, you've got to also admit that we coulda woulda shoulda lost these 4. The fact is our record is pretty much right where it should be based on our performance. And there's no excuse for that.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,042
25,054
113
Their only slight hope was that if they won an outright SEC title, the committee might make an exception for them and give them a bid. But they blew that earlier this week. They have no chance at a bid without winning the SEC tournament.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,042
25,054
113
It's a losers game. We're not looking at anther NIT bid because we had a few bad breaks in a few games, we're looking at an NIT bid because our team has sucked for most of the season.
 

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,332
18,657
113
you shouldn't have lost to crappy teams. There is no reason we should have lost those 4 games. There is a reason we should have won the ones you mentioned.
 

Tds & Beer

Redshirt
Jan 26, 2010
1,082
0
0
is exactly why I love playing from behind in the first half and hate having a big lead in the first half, which is an absolutely perfect sign of bad coaching.
 

missouridawg

Junior
Oct 6, 2009
9,388
287
83
I put that in the horrible loss column, primarily because Sidney (and Bailey) would've played that game if our coach instilled discpline in his teams.</p>
 

Sutterkane

Redshirt
Jan 23, 2007
5,100
0
0
We got bitchslapped by a mid level wac team. That is EASILY our worst loss of the year. ETSU and FAU have been roaming around the top 100 rpi. Hawaii has had to play their *** off to get to 157. They were in the high 200s when we lost to them.
 

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
13,918
5,768
113
bama in. Bracketology 101 also had them in. In Lunardi's first four out were Baylor at 77 and Colorado at 81 so yes, its a huge, terrible bubble this year.

Bad basketball teams plus 3 more teams = big bubble.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,042
25,054
113
It's ridiculous to think we should have won our close losses while completely ignoring that we had just as many close wins. Essentially you're saying we should have a perfect record in close games. You don't see winners playing the what if game. Only losers. That's why it's a losers game. You're just making excuses for a ****** season.</p>
 

maroonmania

Senior
Feb 23, 2008
11,084
725
113
I would replace the LSU loss with the Hawaii loss in that group of 4 as being really bad. I know LSU is a horrible team RPI wise but for some reason LSU doesn't look like the lousy team they are when we have played them this year. We were VERY fortunate to beat them in BR and when they beat us in Starkville they were knocking down LONG shots (some contested some not) like they were a really good team. Yes, we played like crap on defense in that game, but we've played like crap on defense in a ton of our games this year. LSU still made the shots when a lot of the teams we've played, even like last night, have not at least to that degree. Hawaii, on the other hand, didn't play very well at all when they beat us its just that was the game after the brawl in the stands and I think we were just totally disjointed as a team at that time.
 

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
13,918
5,768
113
we should have won them b/c we were better than the team we played. I don't care what the score was.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,042
25,054
113
Or probably at Arkansas either. The simple fact is we WERE'T better than those 4 teams when we played them. And again, there's no excuse for that.
 

MaroonedNdaRock

Redshirt
Nov 9, 2010
610
0
0
Stans can coach. For example, Look at how many baskets we get out of TOs. The problem has been managing his talent's egos and selfishness.

I get as frustrated as anyone. Before we fire him though. We better have someone better waiting to take the job. There are plenty of examples of universities firing good coaches over a few bad seasons and the next hire makes matters worse. OM and Cutcliff....UK and Tubby/Gilespe and Arkansas and Nolan Richardson....supposedly Pelphry was the 15th coach they asked to take that job after firing Heath.
 

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
13,918
5,768
113
The original point is that if we had just won the games we were expected to/should have, we could be on the bubble.
 

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,332
18,657
113
without bost, sidney and bailey and coming off a "national incident" - I just say that's a loss that I can somewhat forgive.
 

DawgatAuburn

All-Conference
Apr 25, 2006
10,981
1,763
113
Here's the recap I posted a couple of weeks ago. This year will just be added to the list of disappointing years.

Last year was a massive, massive disappointment. It
started with Rider, continued with Richmond and Western Kentucky, built
steam with Alabama and Arkansas, and came to a head at Auburn and on
senior day. We had no business being in the NIT. That is another fact.

I
don't judge our seasons on the final record. Fair or not, I judge it on
one thing: how good I think we should have been. In truth, that's what
we all do whether we realize it or not. Some people have unrealistically
high expectations. Some people, in my estimation, are satisfied with
far too little. I'd like to think I am a moderate on this issue. I don't
expect another Final Four, ever. I do expect to be in the NCAAs about
1/2 to 2/3 of the time with about half of those as a decent seed (6 or
better). If you do that, you will eventually advance. I could live with
the earlier flameouts if we had followed that up with stronger
performances, but our regular season play made advancing past the first
round difficult, and the second round nearly impossible. The regular
season is why I say we are not meeting expectations. At least MY
expectations.

For example.....

The year before when we
won the SECT, same story. That team was good enough to win four games in
four days, but not good enough to beat Charlotte, San Diego (not San
Diego State mind you, San Diego), a down Washington State team, a way
down Texas Tech team, or a down Cincinnati team. We also closed out
February losing 5 of 6, putting us in position to HAVE to win the
tourney to make the NCAAs. I am glad we did, but we got shipped cross
country and got our *** whipped. Another disappointing season.

The
year before that (2008) was probably the most disappointing of all.
Rhodes, Gordon, Varnado, Stewart, Hansbrough, etc......easily the most
talent Stans has had other than 2004. We lost every single
non-conference game of any consequence that year. Clemson, Southern
Illinois, Miami (OH), Miami (FL), and throw in South Alabama to boot.
OK, we beat Missouri, who finished 16-16 and way out of the NCAAs. I
won't complain about being 12-4 in the league, other than to say I can
guarantee you no player would score 40+ points on my team while making 7
straight threes or whatever it was. He might shoot a lot of FTs, but he
would not hit that many threes. So then we go off to Atlanta as a
favorite to win the SECT, and get beat by Georgia. Georgia. Not Mark
Fox's UGA. Dennis Felton's overmatched squad playing their second game
of the day. The crappy non-conference and the SEC choke cost us at least
one line in seeding in the NCAAs, and we end up an 8 seed where we
promptly bowed out in the second round. Of all the seasons to gripe
about, this one deserves the most.

The year prior, 2007, guess
what we did? Lost all of our notable non conference games, then
struggled to an 8-8 SEC record. But we won the West!! NIT that year too,
which is probably where the talent deserved.

In 2006 we were just pitiful after losing so many players. Every school needs a rebuilding year now and then. This was ours.

Other
than 2008, the 2005 season was the next biggest disappointment. A first
team All American returning, along with Frazier, Power, Harper and
Ervin. There was even a young Charles Rhodes on the bench had we chosen
to play him. We lost our two most notable non conference games that year
too, and beat up on a bunch of nobodies. We struggled to a 9-7 SEC
record, and ended up an 8 seed, eventually losing to Duke. No doubt
Timmy and Branden were huge losses, but from a 2 seed to an 8 seed with
what we had coming back? Disappointing.

This is why we have to
take a hard look at the overall state of the program. I would love to
see Rick reverse this and have us challenging for a top 2-3 spot in the
SEC and an NCAA seed better than 8. But the past six years plus this one
are not very encouraging.
 

drt7891

Redshirt
Dec 6, 2010
6,727
0
0
I think we would be on the bubble. Without FIU, ETSU, Aub., and LSU on the list as "bad losses," really, our only blemish would be the Hawaii' mess (Our only "bad loss" would probably be Hawaii' coming in December). The other losses would be Virginia Tech (knocked off Duke earlier in the week and definitely a contender this year in the ACC) and St. Mary's (very good team). So I think our resume would put us on the bubble, but we would definitely been in that "last 4 in, first 4 out" category.
 

onewoof

Heisman
Mar 4, 2008
14,521
12,540
113
and won the SEC tourney<div>
</div><div>stuff like this, we usually only remember the ones we came out on the losing side of. There are also times we barely squeaked by but we forget those.</div>